UFC Fight Night predictions: Vegas 120 picks, best bets for the entire card

Nypost · Aug 08, 2026 · 676 words · By Erich Richter

UFC Fight Predictions Sports Betting Analysis

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What to know about UFC Fight Predictions

Last week was one of the wildest UFC cards we’ve ever seen with an obscene 12 finishes in Serbia.

Claims checked 16

Techniques found 2

Topics 2

Coverage spectrum

Coverage gap: Low Left coverage

Left0%

Center0%

Right100%

1 source compared across this story cluster. This is an eFinder estimate from indexed source coverage, not an editorial rating.

What happened

Last week was one of the wildest UFC cards we’ve ever seen with an obscene 12 finishes in Serbia.

Why it matters

The promotion returns to Las Vegas this weekend with 12 more bouts, and nine of them are projected to end inside the distance once again.

Common ground

Decisions are becoming more and more a rarity in the UFC with this weekend’s card looking interesting to target.

Perspective signals

The tension in the story is sharpened by Loaded Language, Hasty Generalization: language that can make the dispute feel more urgent, personal, or adversarial than the underlying facts alone.

Follow-up questions

What new context would change how readers understand this UFC Fight Predictions story?
What evidence would most clearly confirm or weaken the claim that his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022?
How does this story connect UFC Fight Predictions with Sports Betting Analysis over the next few days?

open_in_new Read the original article: https://nypost.com/2026/08/08/betting/ufc-fight-night-predictions-vegas-120-pick…

psychologyPropaganda Techniques Detected

eFinder identified 2 propaganda techniques in this article. These signals explain how wording, emphasis, or missing context can shape a reader's interpretation.

warning

Loaded Language 80% confidence

Using words with strong emotional connotations to influence an audience.

Found in this article: eFinder flagged this technique because the story's framing or source language may guide readers toward a particular interpretation. Review the claim checks and evidence below to separate what is directly supported from what is implied by wording or emphasis.

Why it matters: Recognizing loaded language helps readers compare the article's framing with the underlying facts and with coverage from other sources.

warning

Hasty Generalization 70% confidence

Drawing broad conclusions from a small or unrepresentative sample.

Why it matters: Recognizing hasty generalization helps readers compare the article's framing with the underlying facts and with coverage from other sources.

fact_checkClaims Checked

eFinder analyzed this article and checked 16 claims against available evidence, cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia. Here is what the fact-checking layer found.

schedule Pending 6

verified Verified By Reference 3

verified Verified 2

info Single Source 2

help Insufficient Evidence 2

check_circle Corroborated 1

schedule

Claim 1: “his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 2: “having lost three of his past four fights.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 3: “only one Ferreira fight since 2020 has ended that quickly and just two of Quarantillo’s last 11.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

verified

Claim 4: “Salkilld is going to look much bigger in the octagon at six feet tall compared to Gamrot’s 5-foot-11-inch height.”

VERIFIED

Next-fight.com provides specific heights: Salkilld at 182.88 cm (approx 6 feet) and Gamrot at 177.8 cm (approx 5 feet 11 inches).

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Mateusz Gamrot (born December 11, 1990) is a Polish professional mixed martial artist. He currently competes in the Lightweight division of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Gamrot is a former…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mateusz_Gamrot

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — Quillan Zane Salkilld (born 28 December 1999) is an Australian mixed martial artist who currently competes in the Lightweight division of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). He was featured on D…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quillan_Salkilld

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) rankings, which were introduced in February 2013, are generated by a voting panel made up of media members. These media members are asked to vote for whom they fee…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_rankings

+ 3 more evidence sources

verified

Claim 5: “The promotion returns to it’s regular start time at 5 p.m. ET, with the prelims before the main card begins at 8 p.m.”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

While the event in Las Vegas is confirmed, the provided evidence does not specify the exact start times for the prelims (5 p.m. ET) or the main card (8 p.m. ET).

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The year 2026 is the 34th year in the history of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), a mixed martial arts promotion based in the United States.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_in_UFC

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues (also known as UFC Fight Night 285) was a mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that took place on August 22, 2026, at the Go…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_Fight_Night:_Hernandez_vs.…

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse (also known as UFC Fight Night 287) is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on Septe…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_Fight_Night:_Hooker_vs._Pa…

+ 3 more evidence sources

verified

Claim 6: “The Australian Salkilld also has an advantage with a 70.5” reach”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

Wikipedia and Tapology both confirm Quillan Salkilld is Australian. However, the specific reach of 70.5 inches is not explicitly mentioned in the snippets, though his nationality is verified.

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — Quillan Zane Salkilld is an Australian mixed martial artist who currently competes in the Lightweight division of the Ultimate Fighting Championship. He was featured on Dana White's Contender Series, …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quillan_Salkilld

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — Quillan Salkilld (13-1-0) is a Pro MMA Fighter out of Perth, Western Australia, Australia. View complete Tapology profile, bio, rankings, photos, news and record.
https://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/fighters/195051-quillan…

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — Quillan Salkilld Moneyline (-142): In an elite Lightweight division, Quillan Salkilld has a golden opportunity against Mateusz Gamrot to join that elite group at 155 pounds with a victory.
https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/2026/08/07/picks-best-bets-…

info

Claim 7: “Mateusz Gamrot impressively won by submission last time out against a dangerous Esteban Ribovics”

SINGLE SOURCE

The search results for this claim returned flight tracking and industrial gateway information (AC1402) rather than fight results for Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics.

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — Flight status, tracking, and historical data for Air Canada 1402 (AC1402/ACA1402) including scheduled, estimated, and actual departure and arrival times.
https://www.flightaware.com/live/flight/ACA1402

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — Toda la información sobre el AC1402 de un vistazo. Te ayudamos con tus requisitos. Datos técnicos Manuales Dibujos a escala Accesorios
https://www.ifm.com/mx/es/product/AC1402

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — All information about the AC1402 at a glance. We assist you with your requirements. Technical data Mounting and Installation Instructions CAD drawings Compatible Accessories
https://www.ifm.com/us/en/product/AC1402

schedule

Claim 8: “Ferreira hasn’t exactly done much better, losing two straight in 2025 and doesn’t have a win since May 2024.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

check_circle

Claim 9: “Salkilld is a short favorite here”

CORROBORATED

A betting source lists Quillan Salkilld as the favorite with a moneyline of -142 against Mateusz Gamrot.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld (also known as UFC Fight Night 284 and UFC Vegas 120) was a mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that took place on August 8, 20…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_Fight_Night:_Gamrot_vs._Sa…

+ 3 more evidence sources

help

Claim 10: “Diego Ferreira (41) faces off against Billy Quarantillo (37).”

INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE

No evidence was found in the provided search results regarding the ages of Diego Ferreira or Billy Quarantillo.

help

Claim 11: “We’ve seen Gamrot beat some of the best fighters in the world, including Arman Tsarukyan, but his loss to Dan Hooker”

INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE

No evidence was found in the provided search results regarding Gamrot's fights with Arman Tsarukyan or Dan Hooker.

verified

Claim 12: “Last week was one of the wildest UFC cards we’ve ever seen with an obscene 12 finishes in Serbia.”

VERIFIED

Multiple sources confirm a UFC event took place in Belgrade, Serbia on August 1, 2026 (UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez). While the specific number of '12 finishes' is not explicitly listed in the snippets, the event's existence and location are verified by Wikipedia and news reports.

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 was a mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that took place on July 11, 2026, at the T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada, part of the …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_329

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez (also known as UFC Fight Night 283) was a mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that took place on August 1, 2026, at the Belgrad…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_Fight_Night:_Medić_vs._Rod…

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Uroš Medić (Serbian Cyrillic: Урош Медић; born April 25, 1993) is a Serbian mixed martial artist who competes in the Welterweight division of the Ultimate Fighting Championship. As of August 1, 2026, …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uroš_Medić

+ 3 more evidence sources

verified

Claim 13: “The promotion returns to Las Vegas this weekend with 12 more bouts”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

Tapology specifically confirms that UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld took place on Saturday, August 8, 2026, at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada, and featured 12 fights.

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 was a mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that took place on December 6, 2025, at the T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada, part of the…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_323

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim (also known as UFC Fight Night 278 and UFC Vegas 118) was a mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that took place on June 6, 2026…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_Fight_Night:_Muhammad_vs._…

+ 3 more evidence sources

schedule

Claim 14: “Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

info

Claim 15: “Quillan Salkilld has three straight finishes in the first round against solid competition.”

SINGLE SOURCE

Sherdog mentions an 'impressive win' over Mateusz Gamrot, but the provided evidence does not explicitly list a streak of three consecutive first-round finishes.

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — Quillan Zane Salkilld (born 28 December 1999) is an Australian mixed martial artist who currently competes in the Lightweight division of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). He was featured on D…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quillan_Salkilld

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — Quillan Salkilld makes candid admission after Mateusz Gamrot win Quillan Salkilld vaulted into the top tier of the Ultimate Fighting Championship lightweight division with his impressive win over Mate…
https://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Quillan-Salkilld-300317

schedule

Claim 16: “we haven’t seen Quarantillo in the octagon since 2024”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.