What to know about Prediction Markets vs. Parimutuel Betting
Prediction markets are omnipresent these days, but one thing you won’t find listed at prediction markets Kalshi or Polymarket is horse racing.
Claims checked12
Techniques found1
Topics3
Coverage spectrum
Coverage gap: Low Left coverage
Left0%
Center86%
Right14%
7 sources compared across this story cluster. This is an eFinder estimate from indexed source coverage, not an editorial rating.
What happened
Prediction markets are omnipresent these days, but one thing you won’t find listed at prediction markets Kalshi or Polymarket is horse racing.
Why it matters
Despite the booming rise of sports event contracts over the past year, horse racing’s power brokers are drawing a hard line against letting prediction market companies touch the 151st Preakness Stakes at Laurel Park — or any other races for that matter.
Common ground
And that’s not because there isn’t money to be made.
Perspective signals
The tension in the story is sharpened by Loaded Language: language that can make the dispute feel more urgent, personal, or adversarial than the underlying facts alone.
Follow-up questions
What new context would change how readers understand this Prediction Markets vs. Parimutuel Betting story?
What evidence would most clearly confirm or weaken the claim that Horse racing wagering in the U.S. operates under a parimutuel system?
How does this story connect Prediction Markets vs. Parimutuel Betting with Industry Control over the next few days?
eFinder identified 1 propaganda technique in this article. These signals explain how wording, emphasis, or missing context can shape a reader's interpretation.
Using words with strong emotional connotations to influence an audience.
Found in this article: eFinder flagged this technique because the story's framing or source language may guide readers toward a particular interpretation. Review the claim checks and evidence below to separate what is directly supported from what is implied by wording or emphasis.
Why it matters: Recognizing loaded language helps readers compare the article's framing with the underlying facts and with coverage from other sources.
fact_checkClaims Checked
eFinder analyzed this article and checked 12 claims against available evidence, cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia. Here is what the fact-checking layer found.
helpInsufficient Evidence3
infoSingle Source3
check_circleCorroborated3
schedulePending2
verifiedVerified By Reference1
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Claim 1: “Horse racing wagering in the U.S. operates under a parimutuel system”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was provided in the search results to confirm the parimutuel system of U.S. horse racing wagering.
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Claim 2: “The companies still offer traditional Preakness Stakes betting through their separate horse-racing apps, FanDuel Racing and DraftKings Racing”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was provided regarding the specific apps 'FanDuel Racing' and 'DraftKings Racing' or their offering of Preakness Stakes betting.
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Claim 3: “Last month, the National Thoroughbred Racing Association sent a letter to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to remind them of the Interstate Horse Racing Act”
SINGLE SOURCE
Multiple sources confirm that NTRA CEO Tom Rooney sent a letter to the CFTC chairman regarding the Interstate Horseracing Act and the legality of horse racing contracts on prediction markets.
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NEUTRAL
— NTRA CEO Tom Rooney sent a letter to the CFTC arguing horse racing event contracts fall under the Interstate Horseracing Act of 1978, not the CFTC's jurisdiction. The Derby is weeks away.
https://hellorookie.com/the-ntra-says-prediction-markets-can…
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NEUTRAL
— The National Thoroughbred Racing Association (NTRA) is claiming that the top prediction market apps will not be able to legally trade the Kentucky Derby.The NTRA contends that the IHA overrides the Co…
https://predictionpro.com/news/ntra-vs-cftc-legal-battle-ken…
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NEUTRAL
— Tom Rooney, president and CEO of the National Thoroughbred Racing Association (NTRA), sent a letter to the chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on April 2 saying as much.
https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/articles/horse-raci…
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Claim 4: “Churchill Downs, the host track of the Derby, later confirmed it requested the removal and Polymarket complied.”
CORROBORATED
Sources confirm that Churchill Downs contacted Polymarket to request the removal of the market and that Polymarket complied.
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NEUTRAL
— The Kentucky Derby appears to be a perfect match for prediction markets, which have rapidly expanded into sports over the past year. But you won’t see the Derby on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket…
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/options/articles/predictio…
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NEUTRAL
— Polymarket briefly tested the waters by opening a Derby market last week, but that didn’t last long. According to Churchill Downs, the platform removed it after being contacted.“And Polymarket complie…
https://www.gamblingnews.com/news/prediction-markets-skipped…
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NEUTRAL
— Prediction markets are blocked from the Kentucky Derby by the 1978 Interstate Horseracing Act.Given that Polymarket complied immediately when asked to remove its 2026 Derby markets rather than mount a…
https://hellorookie.com/why-kalshi-and-polymarket-are-sittin…
verified
Claim 5: “the Interstate Horseracing Act of 1978 mandates any off-track wagering entities to secure approvals from racetracks and state regulators to accept bets”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
The text of the Interstate Horseracing Act of 1978 (Public Law 95-515) confirms that an interstate off-track wager may be accepted only if consent is obtained from the host racing association.
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NEUTRAL
— cited as the "Interstate Horseracing Act of 1978". Findings and policy.(6) "off-track State" means the State in which an interstate off-. track wager is accepted
https://www.congress.gov/95/statute/STATUTE-92/STATUTE-92-Pg…
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NEUTRAL
— The court ruled that requiring TwinSpires to obtain a Michigan license to accept wagers from Michigan residents violated the IHA’s preemption of state regulations governing interstate off-track wageri…
https://www.zwillgen.com/gaming/no-more-horsin-around-michig…
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NEUTRAL
— (6) "off-track State" means the State in which an interstate offtrack wager is accepted5. (a) An interstate off-track wager may be accepted by an 15 USC 3004. off-track betting system only if consent …
https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/95/s1185/text
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Claim 6: “Last year’s Preakness Stakes generated over $110 million in wagers on the 14-race card.”
SINGLE SOURCE
While evidence mentions 14-race cards and the Preakness Stakes, no source provided specifically confirms the $110 million figure for the previous year's total wagers.
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NEUTRAL
— The Preakness Stakes is a Grade I race run over a distance of.In February 2017, the Maryland Stadium Authority released the first phase of a study saying that Pimlico needed $250 million in renovation…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Preakness_Stakes
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NEUTRAL
— Friday’s 14-race card will be anchored as usual by the 102nd running of the 1 1/8-mile Black-Eyed Susan Stakes for 3-year-old fillies, and the Preakness obviously is the marquee race on Saturday’s fan…
https://www.americasbestracing.net/lifestyle/2026-beginners-…
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NEUTRAL
— Here are the Preakness Stakes winners over the years, with the winning horse and the winning time in parentheses.The purse for the 149th running of the Preakness Stakes sits at $2 million. That number…
https://ca.sports.yahoo.com/news/preakness-stakes-2024-live-…
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Claim 7: “Polymarket’s offshore platform briefly listed a Kentucky Derby market earlier this year before taking it down, according to ESPN.”
CORROBORATED
Two independent sources confirm that Polymarket briefly opened a Kentucky Derby market and then removed it.
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NEUTRAL
— Polymarket is an American cryptocurrency-based prediction market which offers a platform where individuals can place bets on future outcomes, including sports matches, economic indicators, weather pat…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polymarket
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NEUTRAL
— Polymarket briefly tested the waters by opening a Derby market last week, but that didn’t last long. According to Churchill Downs, the platform removed it after being contacted.
https://www.gamblingnews.com/news/prediction-markets-skipped…
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NEUTRAL
— ·CS2. Show more markets. Polymarket. The World's Largest Prediction Market™.Polymarket operates globally through separate legal entities. Polymarket US is operated by QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US, a CF…
https://polymarket.com/
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Claim 8: “the Belmont Stakes on June 6”
PENDING
This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.
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Claim 9: “one thing you won’t find listed at prediction markets Kalshi or Polymarket is horse racing”
CORROBORATED
Multiple sources discuss the absence of horse racing on these platforms, specifically noting that they are 'sitting out' or that you 'won't see the Derby' on Kalshi and Polymarket due to legal risks.
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NEUTRAL
— Show more markets. Polymarket. The World's Largest Prediction Market™.Polymarket operates globally through separate legal entities. Polymarket US is operated by QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US, a CFTC-reg…
https://polymarket.com/
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NEUTRAL
— Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket work differently from traditional sportsbooks. Users enter into contracts at specific odds, and prices move with new information and liquidity.
https://www.ingame.com/kalshi-vs-polymarket/
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NEUTRAL
— Mention markets are the high-octane, fast-twitch speed competitions of the prediction market world. But they’re just one corner of it. Users of Kalshi and its primary rival, Polymarket, can bet on eve…
https://www.bloomberg.com/features/2026-prediction-markets-p…
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Claim 10: “The day’s handle marked the second-highest total in Preakness history, climbing 11.3 percent from the $98.9 million wagered on the 2024 race card.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
The claim states the handle climbed 11.3% from $98.9 million in 2024. However, the evidence explicitly states that the $98.9 million wagered was 'down less than 3% from the $101.7 million bet in 2023', directly contradicting the claim of an increase from a 2024 baseline.
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NEUTRAL
— The Preakness Stakes is an American thoroughbred horse race held annually on the third Saturday in May at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore, Maryland (except in 2026 when it will move to Laurel Park du…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Preakness_Stakes
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NEUTRAL
— The $98.9 million wagered was down less than 3% from the $101.7 million bet in 2023. Both cards featured 14 races, but this year’s had just 107 starters, down from the 118 that raced last year.
https://www.betmaryland.com/news/preakness-stakes-handle-ris…
Claim 11: “Churchill Downs Incorporated... agreed to acquire the intellectual property rights to the Preakness Stakes and Black-Eyed Susan Stakes for $85 million from 1/ST Racing’s Maryland division on April 21.”
PENDING
This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.
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Claim 12: “FanDuel and DraftKings... are also steering clear of horse-racing contracts.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The evidence mentions FanDuel and DraftKings' involvement in prediction markets generally, but does not explicitly confirm they are 'steering clear' of horse-racing contracts specifically in the same way as the claim suggests; it only notes FanDuel's current limited offering on CME.
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NEUTRAL
— Horse Racing. UFL.Rival FanDuel is also set to get involved with prediction markets, having partnered with CME Group, but has not yet made a clear statement about whether it will offer sports event co…
https://sports.yahoo.com/article/draftkings-offer-sports-con…
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NEUTRAL
— DraftKings and FanDuel exit the American Gaming Association over prediction market regulation.Prediction markets work like a financial exchange, offering contracts on future events that you can buy or…
https://www.actionnetwork.com/news/draftkings-and-fanduel-br…
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NEUTRAL
— Those numbers put DraftKings well ahead of longtime rival FanDuel in prediction markets. FanDuel currently only offers access to contracts on CME — though it has plans to change that.
https://www.ingame.com/draftkings-ceo-prediction-markets-irr…
infoDisclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.