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Whipsaw market actions leaves traders looking for direction. The 'fear gauge' might offer a clue

Cnbc · · 368 words · By Oliver Renick
open_in_new Read the original article: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/13/whipsaw-market-actions-leaves-traders-looking-fo…

fact_checkFact-Check Results

15 claims extracted and verified against multiple sources including cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia.

schedule Pending 5
verified Verified 3
info Single Source 2
verified Verified By Reference 2
help Insufficient Evidence 2
cancel Disputed 1
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“the index staged a 1.5% intraday rally into the close”
DISPUTED
The claim states there was a 1.5% intraday rally into the close, but evidence from The Motley Fool explicitly states the Nasdaq-100 'fell 1.9% on Tuesday', which directly contradicts the notion of a rally into the close.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This article is a summary of the closing milestones of the Nasdaq Composite, a United States stock market index. Since first opening at 100.00 on February 5, 1971, the Nasdaq Composite has increased, …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Closing_milestones_of_the_Nasd…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Nasdaq-100 (NDX) is a stock market index made up of equity securities issued by 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. It is a modified capitalization-weighted…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nasdaq-100
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is an American publicly owned global investment management firm that offers funds, subadvisory services, separate account management, and retirement plans and services for in…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T._Rowe_Price
+ 3 more evidence sources
info
“the S&P 500 ended less than 12 points lower on Tuesday”
SINGLE SOURCE
Web search results confirm the S&P 500 closed lower on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, but none of the provided sources specify the exact point drop (e.g., 'less than 12 points').
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The 2026 Indianapolis 500 (branded as the 110th Running of the Indianapolis 500 presented by Gainbridge for sponsorship reasons) is an upcoming IndyCar Series race that will be held on Sunday, May 24,…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Indianapolis_500
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This is a list of the largest daily changes in the S&P 500 from 1923. Compare to the list of largest daily changes in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_daily_changes_…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This article is a summary of the closing milestones of the S&P 500 Index, a United States stock market index.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Closing_milestones_of_the_S&P_…
+ 3 more evidence sources
verified
“volatility in the S&P 500 as measured by the Cboe VIX Index ended down on the day”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
While there are general results for the VIX index, none of the provided evidence specifically confirms whether the VIX ended 'down on the day' for the specific Tuesday in question.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — On 20 February 2020, stock markets across the world suddenly crashed after growing instability due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The crash ended on 7 April 2020. Beginning on 13 May 2019, the yield curve …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_stock_market_crash
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This article is a summary of the closing milestones of the S&P 500 Index, a United States stock market index.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Closing_milestones_of_the_S&P_…
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web search NEUTRAL — The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) slipped about 1.2% Thursday morning to hover just above the 17 level, extending a steady drift lower from the 31.05 peak set on March 27. The fear gauge is down 28% ove…
https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/05/07/vix-stands-firm-a…
+ 2 more evidence sources
verified
“despite a brief pop to 19.01, the highest since April 28”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
One source mentions the VIX jumping to 'more than 19.5' on a Monday, but there is no evidence confirming a specific touch of 19.01 on Tuesday or that this was the highest since April 28.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — On 20 February 2020, stock markets across the world suddenly crashed after growing instability due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The crash ended on 7 April 2020. Beginning on 13 May 2019, the yield curve …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_stock_market_crash
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This article is a summary of the closing milestones of the S&P 500 Index, a United States stock market index.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Closing_milestones_of_the_S&P_…
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web search NEUTRAL — VIX is the ticker symbol and popular name for the Chicago Board Options Exchange's CBOE Volatility Index, a popular measure of the stock market's expectation of volatility based on S&P 500 index optio…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/VIX
+ 2 more evidence sources
info
“VIX options were the 10th most-active traded, with four times more calls bought than puts”
SINGLE SOURCE
The search results provide general information about VIX options and Barchart's tools, but do not provide the specific trading volume or the call-to-put ratio for that specific Tuesday.
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web search NEUTRAL — Most Active. Volume Leaders Price Volume Leaders Volume Advances Trading Liquidity.Volume totals reflect options traded during the current session. Put Volume Total: The total volume of all put option…
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/$VIX/options
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web search NEUTRAL — Get the library of my best options guides & presentations → 160+ page Options Trading for Beginners guide and bonus content: https://projectoption.com/fre...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7PM4rNDr4oI
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web search NEUTRAL — VIX Options: Trade volatility directly with options on the VIX Index.Build your education foundation with the essential course covering options use cases, terminology, and mechanics. Master the basics…
https://www.cboe.com/tradable-products/vix/vix-options
verified
“Brent Kochuba, founder of options-data provider SpotGamma, wrote in a note to clients Tuesday morning”
VERIFIED
Multiple sources confirm Brent Kochuba is the founder of SpotGamma and that he provides options-data analysis and notes to clients.
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web search NEUTRAL — Top Stocks To Watch Into OPEX - Exclusive Options Trades & Insights https://spotgamma.com/opex/Join SpotGamma Founder, Brent Kochuba, live to discuss a...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_NzMSh2Mpo0
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web search NEUTRAL — SpotGamma analyses the options market with proprietary market data and daily reports to empower all traders to see how options drive stocks."I signed up for the monthly plan last night, and my trade t…
https://spotgamma.com/
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web search NEUTRAL — That’s according to Brent Kochuba, founder at SpotGamma, a financial insights company applying proprietary methodologies toward index and equity options modeling. “Just recently, we hit a low in reali…
https://www.benzinga.com/fintech/21/07/21991020/identifying-…
verified
“crude oil pushed above $102”
VERIFIED
A web search result explicitly states 'Brent crude prices rose above $102 Wednesday', which corroborates the claim that crude oil pushed above $102.
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web search NEUTRAL — LONDON: Brent crude prices rose above $102 Wednesday, reaching a 28-month high, as mounting unrest in Egypt offset an increase in US energy stockpiles, traders said.Copper and tin futures meanwhile...
https://www.geo.tv/latest/17984-oil-price-hits-28-month-high…
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web search NEUTRAL — Brent crude oil is one of the principal benchmark prices for oil traded globally. Originating from the North Sea, Brent serves as a key pricing reference for crude oil produced in Europe, Africa, and …
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/brent-crude-oil
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web search NEUTRAL — Oil Price Charts. Oilprice.com offers real-time oil prices for over 150 global crude blends and indexes, with live charts, comparisons, and smart analytical tools used worldwide. Jump to comparison ch…
https://oilprice.com/oil-price-charts/
verified
“the 10-year Treasury yield touched the highest since July”
VERIFIED
Trading Economics explicitly reports that the US 10-Year Treasury note climbed to 4.48% on Wednesday, 'its highest level since July 2025'.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — The yield on the US 10-Year Treasury note climbed to 4.48% on Wednesday, its highest level since July 2025, amid growing signs that the conflict involving Iran is adding to inflationary pressures. Pro…
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/government-bond-y…
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web search NEUTRAL — View a 10-year yield estimated from the average yields of a variety of Treasury securities with different maturities derived from the Treasury yield curve.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10/
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web search NEUTRAL — The longer-dated 30-year Treasury bond yield was up 2 basis points at 5.05%, its highest level since July 17. One basis point is equal to 0.01%, and yields and prices move in opposite directions.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/treasury-yields-are-…
help
“Options flow in tech ETFs SMH, QQQ and DRAM did shift less bullish, with more calls sold than bought in each”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found in the provided search results regarding the specific options flow for SMH, QQQ, and DRAM ETFs.
help
“In SMH, more puts were sold than bought”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found in the provided search results regarding put options for the SMH ETF.
schedule
“iShares long-term bond ETF (TLT), which dropped two-thirds of a percent to a near one-year low”
PENDING
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“CPI data showed the warmest reading in almost three years”
PENDING
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“Traders bought more than 151,000 TLT puts and sold just 97,000, while purchasing less than 76,000 calls, according to ThinkOrSwim data”
PENDING
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“One trader spent more than $1 million buying 24,000 of the July 81 puts”
PENDING
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“The ETF traded just shy of 600,000 contracts on the day, the 13th-busiest ticker in the session, according to SpotGamma”
PENDING
info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.