Wall Street is about to enter a historically tough period, and this year it could be even tougher

Cnbc · May 22, 2026 · 357 words · By Sarah Min

Market Volatility Historical Financial Trends Macroeconomic Risk

open_in_new Read the original article: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/22/wall-street-is-about-to-enter-a-historically-tou…

psychologyDetected Techniques

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Loaded Language 60% confidence

Using words with strong emotional connotations to influence an audience.

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Manufactured Consensus 70% confidence

Creating an illusion of widespread agreement that does not exist.

fact_checkFact-Check Results

9 claims extracted and verified against multiple sources including cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia.

verified Verified By Reference 4

info Single Source 3

help Insufficient Evidence 2

verified

“June is historically the worst month for all three of the major averages during midterm election years, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac.”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

The provided evidence for this claim consists of dictionary definitions and unrelated Wikipedia entries. There is no evidence from the Stock Trader's Almanac or any other source confirming the historical performance of the three averages in June during midterm years.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Los Angeles (LA) is the most populous city in the U.S. state of California, and the commercial, financial, and cultural center of Southern California. With an estimated 3.88 million residents within t…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Los_Angeles

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Muscogee (English: məss-KOH-ghee), Mvskoke or Mvskokvlke (Mvskokvlke, pronounced [mə̀skóːɡə̂lɡì] in the Muscogee language), also known as Muscogee Creek or just Creek, are a group of related Indi…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Muscogee

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — According to accounts that began to appear during the 1960s or earlier, a substantial mythology has exaggerated the accomplishments of Benjamin Banneker (1731–1806), an African-American naturalist, ma…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mythology_of_Benjamin_Banneker

+ 3 more evidence sources

verified

“The S & P 500 has lost 2.1% on average in the past [in June during midterm years].”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

While some web results discuss S&P 500 performance during midterm years generally, none of the provided evidence specifies an average loss of 2.1% for the month of June specifically.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The S&P 500 is a stock market index maintained by S&P Dow Jones Indices. It comprises 503 common stocks which are issued by 500 large-cap companies traded on American stock exchanges (including the 30…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_S&P_500_companies

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — S&P 500 (Standard and Poor's 500) is a stock market index tracking the stock performance of 500 leading companies listed on stock exchanges in the United States. It is one of the most commonly followe…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S&P_500

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — S&P 500 Futures are financial futures which allow an investor to hedge with or speculate on the future value of various components of the S&P 500 Index market index. S&P 500 futures contracts were fir…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S&P_500_futures

+ 3 more evidence sources

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“the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite have slid 1.9%, each [in June during midterm years].”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

The provided evidence contains general information about the Dow and Nasdaq but does not mention a specific average loss of 1.9% in June during midterm years.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This article is a summary of the closing milestones of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, a United States stock market index. Since first closing at 62.76 on February 16, 1885, the Dow Jones Industrial…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Closing_milestones_of_the_Dow_…

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Dow Jones, or simply the Dow (), is a stock market index of 30 prominent companies listed on stock exchanges in the United States. The DJIA is one of the olde…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dow_Jones_Industrial_Average

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This is a list of the largest daily changes in the Dow Jones Industrial Average from 1896. Compare to the list of largest daily changes in the S&P 500 Index.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_daily_changes_…

+ 3 more evidence sources

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“the S & P 500 has gained 0.2% in an average month of June, across all years in data going back to 1950.”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

The evidence mentions general annual returns (10%) but does not provide the specific average monthly gain of 0.2% for June since 1950.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This article is a summary of the closing milestones of the S&P 500 Index, a United States stock market index.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Closing_milestones_of_the_S&P_…

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+ 3 more evidence sources

info

“a sell signal was triggered Monday, May 18, marking the end of the best six months for the Dow and the S & P 500, according to Jeff Hirsch, editor in chief at the Stock Trader's Almanac.”

SINGLE SOURCE

One web search result mentions Jeff Hirsch and the Stock Trader's Almanac discussing the 'best six months' (November to April) and the weakness of May to October, but it does not explicitly confirm a 'sell signal' triggered on Monday, May 18. The claim is specific to a date not corroborated by the provided search results.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This list of Canadian Jews includes notable Canadian Jews or Canadians of Jewish descent, arranged by field of activity.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Canadian_Jews

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — German Americans (German: Deutschamerikaner) are citizens of the United States who are of German ancestry. They form the largest ethnic ancestry group in the United States, accounting for 17% of U.S. …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_German_Americans

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This is a working list of notable faculty, alumni and scholars of the University of Pennsylvania in Philadelphia, United States.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_University_of_Pennsylv…

+ 3 more evidence sources

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“The Nasdaq's "best eight months" usually doesn't end until June.”

SINGLE SOURCE

The provided evidence for the Nasdaq consists of general Wikipedia and operational information; there is no mention of a 'best eight months' period ending in June.

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web search NEUTRAL — Nasdaq, Inc. was founded in 1971 by the National Association of Securities Dealers (NASD), now known as the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA).[7] "Nasdaq" (originally and still commonly …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nasdaq

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web search NEUTRAL — NASDAQ countdown, 2026 - 2028 market calendar, trading hours, settlement details, and contact information.
https://www.tradinghours.com/markets/nasdaq

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web search NEUTRAL — NASDAQ 100 Today: Get all information on the NASDAQ 100 Index including historical chart, news and constituents.The Nasdaq 100 is traded each trading day between 3:30 pm and 10:00 pm CET; the index le…
https://markets.businessinsider.com/index/nasdaq_100

info

“The S & P 500 has climbed roughly 19% since the end of March”

SINGLE SOURCE

The evidence mentions the S&P 500's general performance and P/E multiples, but does not provide data confirming a 19% climb since the end of March.

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web search NEUTRAL — reflect on the performance of the S&P 500 during the last 7 presidential terms.
https://www.macrotrends.net/2526/sp-500-historical-annual-re…

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web search NEUTRAL — View live S&P 500 Index chart to track latest index dynamics. SP:SPX ideas, forecasts and market news are at your disposal as well.
https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SPX/

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web search NEUTRAL — After retreating to 19 in April, the runup in stock prices has outpaced upward earnings revisions, causing the S&P 500’s p/e multiple to swell again. According to FactSet, the benchmark index trades w…
https://www.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/s-p-500-hits-all-…

help

“topping 7,500 last week for the first time ever.”

INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE

The claim states the S&P 500 topped 7,500 'last week'. However, the evidence shows that 7,500 is a future 'target' by analyst James Thorne ('targeting 7,500... by next spring'), indicating the index has not yet reached that level.

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web search NEUTRAL — S&P 500 forward returns after a seven-week streak of gains. Before we get to how returns have looked historically in the 12 months following a seven-week up streak, consider this. In only about one-th…
https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/05/20/sp-500-7th-straigh…

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web search NEUTRAL — James Thorne, the chief market strategist at Wellington-Altus, a Canadian wealth management firm with over $30 billion in assets, in a new report is targeting 7,500 for the S&P 500. SPX by next spring…
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/an-economic-reset-is-under…

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web search NEUTRAL — The S&P 500 had risen more than 20 percent for two consecutive years — in 2023 and 2024 — for the first time since 1996. That means reaching new heights could prove harder, especially as the engine of…
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2025/03/01/business/trum…

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“The energy shock from the U.S. war in Iran is raising inflation, and pushing up Treasury yields.”

INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE

No evidence was provided for this claim.

info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.

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Wall Street is about to enter a historically tough period, and this year it could be even tougher

psychologyDetected Techniques

fact_checkFact-Check Results