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Violent conflicts are reshaping what Nigerian farmers grow: what this means for food security

The Conversation · · 770 words · By Abeeb Babatunde Omotoso; Abiodun Olusola Omotayo

The article presents a study analyzing how violent conflict in rural Africa affects agricultural investment and productivity. It discusses findings from Nigerian household data showing reduced crop cultivation, land use, and investment due to insecurity, with recommendations for conflict-sensitive agricultural policies.

open_in_new Read the original article: https://theconversation.com/violent-conflicts-are-reshaping-what-nigerian-farmer…

analyticsAnalysis

0%
Propaganda Score
confidence: 95%
Low risk. This article shows minimal use of propaganda techniques.

fact_checkFact-Check Results

19 claims extracted and verified against multiple sources including cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia.

schedule Pending 9
help Insufficient Evidence 8
verified Verified By Reference 2
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“Agriculture is the backbone of Africa’s economy.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence found in cross-references, web search, or Wikipedia to support the claim about agriculture being Africa's economic backbone.
verified
“It provides livelihoods for over 70% of the rural population.”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
Wikipedia entries retrieved (climate of Africa, West Africa, Wings Over Africa) are unrelated to agricultural livelihood statistics. No evidence corroborates the 70% rural population claim.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The climate of Africa is a range of climates such as the equatorial climate, the tropical wet and dry climate, the tropical monsoon climate, the semi-arid climate (semi-desert and steppe), the desert …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_of_Africa
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — West Africa, also known as Western Africa, is the westernmost region of Africa. The United Nations defines Western Africa as the 16 countries of Benin, Burkina Faso, Cape Verde, The Gambia, Ghana, Gui…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/West_Africa
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Wings Over Africa is a 1936 British adventure film directed by Ladislao Vajda and starring Joan Gardner, Ian Colin, James Harcourt and James Carew. It was written by Ákos Tolnay, Marjorie Deans, Regi…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wings_Over_Africa
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“It contributes to national food security and economic development.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence found in cross-references, web search, or Wikipedia to support claims about food security and economic development contributions from agriculture.
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“Farmers facing insecurity often abandon productive crops, reduce land use and invest less in their farms.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence found in cross-references, web search, or Wikipedia to support claims about farmer behavior in response to insecurity.
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“Conflict destroys lives and property. It also changes the decisions farmers make about investing in their land.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence found in cross-references, web search, or Wikipedia to support claims about conflict altering farmers' investment decisions.
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“Violent conflict altered agricultural investment decisions. It made farmers less likely to cultivate major crops.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence found in cross-references, web search, or Wikipedia to support claims about violent conflict reducing crop cultivation.
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“The cultivation of yam, sweet potato, groundnut, cowpea, maize and cassava declined as conflict incidents increased.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence found in cross-references, web search, or Wikipedia to support claims about specific crop declines correlating with conflict.
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“Sweet potato was the most affected, perhaps because it needs a lot of labour and a longer time to grow.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence found in cross-references, web search, or Wikipedia to support claims about sweet potato being most affected by conflict.
verified
“Our study used panel data from Nigeria’s Living Standards Measurement Study covering the periods 2012/2013, 2015/2016 and 2018/2019.”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
Wikipedia entries retrieved (non-coherent units, Nigeria country info, right to housing) are unrelated to the study's methodology. No evidence corroborates the specific panel data periods.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This is a list of units of measurement in active use, which do not form part of a coherent system of measurement. Many of the items listed here are colloquial units based on familiar objects such as p…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_non-coherent_units_of_…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Nigeria, officially the Federal Republic of Nigeria, is a country in West Africa between the Sahel to the north and the Gulf of Guinea in the Atlantic Ocean to the south. It covers an area of 923,769 …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nigeria
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The right to housing (occasionally right to shelter) is the economic, social and cultural right to adequate housing and shelter. It is recognized in some national constitutions and in the Universal De…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Right_to_housing
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“We combined household coordinates with geocoded conflict data from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) to measure exposure to violent conflict.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence found in cross-references, web search, or Wikipedia to support claims about combining household data with ACLED conflict data.
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“The results indicate that insecurity discourages farmers from engaging in production activities that involve greater risk or long-term investment.”
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“Conflict exposure also affects land allocation decisions.”
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“The analysis showed a reduction in the total cultivated land area and a decline in the share of land allocated to key staple crops.”
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“Conflict led to less spending on agricultural production. Farmers invested less in inputs such as fertilizer, pesticides and hired labour.”
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“Production costs increased on plots managed by men and women. This could be due to reliance on external labour during periods of insecurity.”
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“Disruptions also increase the cost of agricultural production and marketing, making farming less profitable.”
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“Government efforts to support agriculture, such as input subsidies and rural development programmes, don’t work so well in conflict zones.”
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“The adverse effects are more severe for households in highly conflict-prone areas.”
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“Disputes have long-term economic impacts.”
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info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.