UFC 328 predictions: Odds, picks, best bets for prelims, main card

Nypost · May 09, 2026 · 747 words · By Erich Richter

Sports Betting Mixed Martial Arts (MMA)

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What to know about Sports Betting

Live from Newark, we have UFC 328 fight predictions.

Claims checked 11

Techniques found 1

Topics 2

Coverage spectrum

Coverage gap: Low Left coverage

Left0%

Center0%

Right100%

1 source compared across this story cluster. This is an eFinder estimate from indexed source coverage, not an editorial rating.

What happened

Live from Newark, we have UFC 328 fight predictions.

Why it matters

UFC 328 has one of the best fights cards of the year with 13 bouts on tap, including two title fights, and seven are projected to end inside the distance.

Common ground

Last week we stayed hot with a winning bet on Carlos Prates to win by knockout, though the co-main event read was off after Beneil Dariush lost by knockout for the fourth time in five fights.

Perspective signals

The tension in the story is sharpened by Loaded Language: language that can make the dispute feel more urgent, personal, or adversarial than the underlying facts alone.

Follow-up questions

What new context would change how readers understand this Sports Betting story?
What evidence would most clearly confirm or weaken the claim that his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022?
How does this story connect Sports Betting with Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) over the next few days?

open_in_new Read the original article: https://nypost.com/2026/05/09/betting/ufc-328-predictions-full-fight-night-picks…

psychologyPropaganda Techniques Detected

eFinder identified 1 propaganda technique in this article. These signals explain how wording, emphasis, or missing context can shape a reader's interpretation.

warning

Loaded Language 70% confidence

Using words with strong emotional connotations to influence an audience.

Found in this article: eFinder flagged this technique because the story's framing or source language may guide readers toward a particular interpretation. Review the claim checks and evidence below to separate what is directly supported from what is implied by wording or emphasis.

Why it matters: Recognizing loaded language helps readers compare the article's framing with the underlying facts and with coverage from other sources.

fact_checkClaims Checked

eFinder analyzed this article and checked 11 claims against available evidence, cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia. Here is what the fact-checking layer found.

check_circle Corroborated 4

info Single Source 2

verified Verified By Reference 2

schedule Pending 1

help Insufficient Evidence 1

verified Verified 1

schedule

Claim 1: “his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

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Claim 2: “Khamzat Chimaev and Sean Strickland have trained together.”

CORROBORATED

Yahoo Sports reports that Coach Eric Nicksick stated the two trained well together, and a YouTube video references Chimaev's training for Strickland.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Khamzat Khizarovich Chimaev (born 1 May 1994) is a Russian-Emirati professional mixed martial artist and freestyle wrestler. He currently competes in the Middleweight division of the Ultimate Fighting…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Khamzat_Chimaev

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Sean Thomas Strickland (born February 27, 1991) is an American professional mixed martial artist. He currently competes in the Middleweight division of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), where …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sean_Strickland

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take place on May 9, 2026, at the Prudential Center, in Newa…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_328

+ 3 more evidence sources

info

Claim 3: “Van has been to a decision four times in his last six fights”

SINGLE SOURCE

The provided evidence mentions Van's win streak and a loss to Charles Johnson, but does not provide the specific fight history needed to verify that four of his last six fights went to a decision.

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web search NEUTRAL — UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg was a mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that took place on April 11, 2026 at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida, United States.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_327

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web search NEUTRAL — "So, we are going to decide who is the true champion this Saturday." Van, who is riding a six-fight win streak following his lone UFC loss to Charles Johnson in 2024 via third-round knockout, openly t…
https://www.cbssports.com/ufc/news/ufc-328-tatsuro-taira-jos…

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web search NEUTRAL — Brandon Moreno says he deserves title fight, so does Joshua Van. Moreno says his fighting career is in a ‘really weird position’ right now. Stuck trying to get a fight, Moreno has made it clear he thi…
https://bloodyelbow.com/2025/08/24/brandon-moreno-gives-hone…

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Claim 4: “Beneil Dariush lost by knockout for the fourth time in five fights.”

INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE

No evidence was found after searching for Beneil Dariush's recent knockout record.

verified

Claim 5: “This flyweight title fight was rescheduled from UFC 327 when Joshua Van had to pull out due to injury”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

While Wikipedia confirms Joshua Van and Tatsuro Taira are flyweights and UFC 328 is an event, there is no evidence in the provided search results confirming that this specific fight was rescheduled from UFC 327 due to an injury to Joshua Van.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Joshua Van Bawi Thawng (born October 10, 2001) is a Burmese and American professional mixed martial artist currently competing in the Flyweight division of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), wh…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joshua_Van

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Tatsuro Taira (平良達郎, Taira Tatsurō; born January 27, 2000) is a Japanese professional mixed martial artist. He currently competes in the Flyweight division of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC).…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tatsuro_Taira

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+ 3 more evidence sources

info

Claim 6: “The card begins at 5 p.m. ET on Paramount+, with the main card taking off at 9 p.m. ET.”

SINGLE SOURCE

Only one specific source (MMA Fighting) provides the detailed start times (7 p.m. ET for prelims, 9 p.m. ET for main card) on Paramount+. Other sources confirm the date and venue but not the specific broadcast times.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The year 2026 is the 34th year in the history of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), a mixed martial arts promotion based in the United States.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_in_UFC

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is an American mixed martial arts (MMA) promotion company based in Las Vegas, Nevada. It is owned and operated by TKO Group Holdings, itself a majority owned s…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ultimate_Fighting_Championship

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland — планируемый турнир по смешанным единоборствам, организованный Ultimate Fighting Championship, который должен состояться 9 мая 2026 года на спортивной арене «Prudentia…
https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_328

+ 2 more evidence sources

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Claim 7: “UFC 328 has one of the best fights cards of the year with 13 bouts on tap, including two title fights”

CORROBORATED

Multiple independent sources (Wikipedia, Tapology, and Drew Zuhosky) confirm UFC 328 takes place on May 9, 2026, features 13 bouts, and includes two title fights.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa (also known as UFC Fight Night 276 and UFC Vegas 117) is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that is scheduled to take …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_Fight_Night:_Allen_vs._Cos…

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg was a mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship that took place on April 11, 2026 at the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida, United States.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_327

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+ 3 more evidence sources

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Claim 8: “Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt”

CORROBORATED

Two cross-references from the Nypost confirm that Erich Richter is a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu blue belt.

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cross reference SUPPORTS — Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt
https://nypost.com/2026/05/07/betting/lakers-vs-thunder-odds…

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cross reference SUPPORTS — Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting.
https://nypost.com/2026/04/24/betting/struggling-knicks-now-…

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Claim 9: “Van also has experience dealing with bigger fighters who can grapple, including a win over Brandon Royval in a fight-of-the-year candidate last year.”

CORROBORATED

Two independent sources (YouTube and a news report) confirm that Joshua Van defeated Brandon Royval via unanimous decision at UFC 317.

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — Joshua Van Bawi Thawng is a Burmese and American professional mixed martial artist currently competing in the Flyweight division of the Ultimate Fighting Championship, where he is the current UFC Flyw…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joshua_Van

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web search NEUTRAL — Relive this UFC matchup between Joshua Van and Brandon Royval, ahead of UFC 328!Watch UFC on Paramount Plus https://www.paramountplus.com/Subscribe to get...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nwO2UPz7p28

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web search NEUTRAL — Joshua Van defeated Brandon Royval via unanimous decision at UFC 317, extending his win streak and elevating his status in the UFC flyweight division.
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/new-…

verified

Claim 10: “he will now face Tatsuro Taira in a five-round fight.”

VERIFIED

A web search result specifically states that the fight between Joshua Van and Tatsuro Taira is scheduled for 5 rounds.

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web search NEUTRAL — The fight between Joshua Van and Tatsuro Taira is scheduled for 5 rounds.The fight between Van and Taira will be broadcast live on Paramount+.
https://champinon.info/schedule/van-vs-taira/

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — This market will resolve to "Tatsuro Taira" if Tatsuro Taira is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joshua Van at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026.
https://polymarket.com/sports/ufc/ufc-tat1-jos49-2026-05-09

verified

Claim 11: “Conor McGregor vs. Khabib Nurmagomedov back in 2018”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

Wikipedia and other sources explicitly confirm that UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor took place on October 6, 2018.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Conor Anthony McGregor (born 14 July 1988) is an Irish professional mixed martial artist. He is a former Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Featherweight and Lightweight Champion, becoming the first…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conor_McGregor

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Khabib Abdulmanapovich Nurmagomedov (born 20 September 1988) is a Russian former professional mixed martial artist who competed in the Lightweight division of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC).…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Khabib_Nurmagomedov

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor was a mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) that was held on October 6, 2018, at the T-Mobile Arena in Paradise, Nevada, part of th…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_229

+ 3 more evidence sources

info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.