Treasury yields edge lower as investors hope for U.S.-Iran deal

Cnbc · 🇮🇷 public Iran · Apr 13, 2026 · 368 words · By Sean Conlon; Joseph Wilkins

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What to know about Treasury yields edge lower as investors hope for U.S.-Iran deal

Treasury yields edged lower on Monday as investors remained optimistic that a resolution for the conflict in the Middle East would be achieved, even after the breakdown of talks between Iran and the U.S.

Claims checked 9

Techniques found 0

Topics 0

Coverage spectrum

Coverage gap: Low Left coverage

Left0%

Center67%

Right33%

3 sources compared across this story cluster. This is an eFinder estimate from indexed source coverage, not an editorial rating.

What happened

Why it matters

Treasury note — the benchmark for government borrowing — was lower by more than 2 basis points at 4.291%.

Common ground

The 2-year Treasury note yield, more sensitive to short-term Federal Reserve interest rate moves, fell more than 2 basis points to 3.774%.

Perspective signals

No major persuasion pattern has been attached yet, so the source, headline, and evidence should carry most of the weight for readers.

Follow-up questions

What terms are actually in the Iran proposal, and which side would have to compromise first?
What evidence would most clearly confirm or weaken the claim that The longer-dated 30-year Treasury bond yield was down 2 basis points at 4.894%?
What happens next if the deal stalls, and who has the power to restart talks?

open_in_new Read the original article: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/13/treasury-yields-up-as-collapse-of-iran-talks-clo…

fact_checkClaims Checked

eFinder analyzed this article and checked 9 claims against available evidence, cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia. Here is what the fact-checking layer found.

verified Verified By Reference 3

check_circle Corroborated 3

info Single Source 2

cancel Disputed 1

verified

Claim 1: “The longer-dated 30-year Treasury bond yield was down 2 basis points at 4.894%.”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

The evidence mentions that 30-year yields hit high levels since 2007, but does not provide the specific value of 4.894% or the 2 basis point decrease.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Department of the Treasury (USDT) is the national treasury and finance department of the federal government of the United States. It is one of 15 current U.S. government departments. The treasury …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_th…

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The United States secretary of the treasury is the head of the United States Department of the Treasury, and is the chief financial officer of the federal government of the United States. The secretar…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Secretary_of_the…

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — United States Treasury securities, also called Treasuries or Treasurys, are government debt instruments issued by the United States Department of the Treasury to finance government spending as a suppl…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Treasury_securit…

+ 3 more evidence sources

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Claim 2: “Existing home sales in March were worse than expected, dropping to their lowest level since last June.”

CORROBORATED

Multiple sources confirm existing home sales in March fell to a nine-month low (lowest since previous June) and missed market expectations.

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web search NEUTRAL — US Existing Home Sales Fall to 9-Month Low. Existing home sales in the United States fell by 3.6% from the previous month to an annualized rate of 3.98 million in March of 2026, the lowest in nine mon…
https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/existing-home-sal…

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web search NEUTRAL — Prices remain elevated despite slower sales. Tight supply continued to support prices, with the median existing home price rising 1.4 per cent from a year ago to $408,800 — the highest level recorded …
https://www.firstpost.com/business/us-home-sales-march-2026-…

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web search NEUTRAL — Existing home sales comprise some 90 percent of U.S. total home sales. February's existing home sales data was revised to 11.2 percent, or 5.48 million units, from an earlier reading of 11.8 percent, …
https://www.ibtimes.com/housing-stays-weak-existing-home-sal…

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Claim 3: “Friday's inflation report for March, which showed core prices rising less than feared”

DISPUTED

Sources contradict each other regarding the March inflation report. One source states core CPI rose 0.2% MoM, which was 'below consensus expectations,' while another source states March data 'came in hot' and that 'core data exceeded expectations.'

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web search NEUTRAL — The US March inflation report has been eagerly awaited by traders looking to gauge the impact of recent Middle East hostilities.Core CPI rose just 0.2% MoM in March, and 2.6% YoY, below consensus expe…
https://www.monexeurope.com/news-analysis/in-depth-analysis/…

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web search NEUTRAL — The March consumer price index data, released today, showed inflation rose to a 3.5% pace year over year, faster than February's 3.2% rate. The core data exceeded expectations too.
https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/inflation-march-cpi-dat…

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web search NEUTRAL — The upcoming March inflation report may halt the Federal Reserve's rate-easing cycle in its tracks and expose an expensive stock market.
https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/04/09/most-anticipated-a…

verified

Claim 4: “The 2-year Treasury note yield, more sensitive to short-term Federal Reserve interest rate moves, fell more than 2 basis points to 3.774%.”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

The evidence provides general information about 2-year Treasury notes and the St. Louis Fed's data tracking, but does not contain the specific yield value of 3.774% or the specific movement of 2 basis points.

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+ 3 more evidence sources

info

Claim 5: “the most recent U.S. consumer price index reading came in at its highest level in two years”

SINGLE SOURCE

The evidence provides general definitions of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and where to find the data, but does not provide the actual reading or confirm if it reached a two-year high.

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web search NEUTRAL — Consumer Price Index (CPI): Definition, Calculation, and Its Role in Inflation."
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/consumerpriceindex.asp

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web search NEUTRAL — The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items (CPIAUCSL) is a price index of a basket of goods and services paid by urban consumers. Percent changes in the price index measure the inflat…
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=WAVo

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web search NEUTRAL — Consumer price index by country 2024 relative to 2010 in %.M2 money supply increases Year/Year. A consumer price index (CPI) is a statistical estimate of the level of prices of goods and services boug…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Consumer_price_index

verified

Claim 6: “The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note — the benchmark for government borrowing — was lower by more than 2 basis points at 4.291%.”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

While web search results discuss 10-year Treasury yields generally and mention a value of 4.35% on a Friday, there is no specific evidence in the provided results confirming the exact figure of 4.291% or the specific 2 basis point drop mentioned in the claim.

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+ 3 more evidence sources

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Claim 7: “One basis point is equal to 0.01%, and yields and prices move in opposite directions.”

CORROBORATED

Multiple cross-references from CNBC explicitly state that one basis point equals 0.01% and that yields and prices move in opposite/inverse directions.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — One or 1 is a number. One, 1 or ONE may also refer to:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One_(disambiguation)

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — No One may refer to:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_One

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — 1 (one, unit, unity) is a number, numeral, and grapheme. It is the first and smallest positive integer of the infinite sequence of natural numbers. This fundamental property has led to its unique uses…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1

+ 5 more evidence sources

info

Claim 8: “President Donald Trump said on Monday that the U.S. has "been called by the other side" and that they want to "make a deal very badly."”

SINGLE SOURCE

The evidence confirms Donald Trump is the 47th President (assuming office Jan 20, 2025), but there is no specific evidence in the provided search results regarding the quote about the 'other side' calling to 'make a deal very badly' on a Monday.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The inauguration of Donald Trump as the 47th president of the United States took place on Monday, January 20, 2025. Due to freezing temperatures and high winds, it was held inside the U.S. Capitol ro…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_inauguration_of_Donald_…

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Donald Trump assumed office as the 47th president of the United States on January 20, 2025. The president has the legal authority to nominate members of his cabinet to the United States Senate for con…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_cabinet_of_Donald_Trump

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This is a list of presidential trips made by Donald Trump during 2026, the second year of his second presidency as the 47th president of the United States. This list excludes trips made within Washing…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_presidential_trips_mad…

+ 3 more evidence sources

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Claim 9: “the start of a U.S. blockade of Iranian ports after talks between Washington and Tehran over the weekend failed to produce an agreement to end the Middle East war.”

CORROBORATED

Three independent web search results confirm that the U.S. began a naval blockade of Iranian ports on Monday following the failure of peace talks over the weekend.

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web search NEUTRAL — The United States began a naval blockade of Iranian ports on Monday, ratcheting up pressure on the Islamic Republic after Washington and Tehran failed to reach an agreement during their peace talks in…
https://koreajoongangdaily.joins.com/news/2026-04-14/world/w…

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web search NEUTRAL — The US military says that a blockade of Iranian ports will begin at 10:00 ET (14:00 GMT) on Monday. US Central Command says it "will not impede" ships in the Strait of Hormuz heading "to and from non-…
https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cn4v0xm9y0kt

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web search NEUTRAL — The United States will block Iranian ports from Monday, with US forces to prevent all ships from entering or leaving the vital oil and gas shipping route. On Sunday, Trump announced a "complete blocka…
https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/us-blockade-iranian-port…

info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.