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The lesson of NYC crime dropping is that ‘no bail’ is a terrible mistake

Nypost · · 571 words · By Jim Quinn
Criminal justice system Bail Reform Public safety
open_in_new Read the original article: https://nypost.com/2026/05/04/opinion/the-lesson-of-nyc-crime-dropping-is-that-n…

psychologyDetected Techniques

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Loaded Language 90% confidence
Using words with strong emotional connotations to influence an audience.
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Name Calling / Labeling 75% confidence
Attaching a negative label to a person or group to reject them without evidence.
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Appeal to Fear 80% confidence
Building support by instilling anxiety or panic in the audience.
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Causal Oversimplification 85% confidence
Assuming a single cause for a complex issue.
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Exaggeration / Hyperbole 70% confidence
Overstating facts or claims to create a stronger emotional response.

fact_checkFact-Check Results

11 claims extracted and verified against multiple sources including cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia.

info Single Source 7
help Insufficient Evidence 2
verified Verified By Reference 1
schedule Pending 1
info
“Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch released new crime statistics indicating that, compared to last April, crime in New York City last month was down 9.5% overall.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The specific statistic (9.5% decrease) is mentioned in one web search result. While other results mention crime declines, they do not provide this specific percentage or attribute it to Jessica Tisch in a way that constitutes independent corroboration.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The City of New York Police Department, also known as the New York City Police Department (NYPD), is the primary law enforcement agency within New York City. Established on May 23, 1845, the NYPD is t…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_City_Police_Departmen…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The New York City Transit Police Department was a law enforcement agency in New York City that existed from 1953 (with the creation of the New York City Transit Authority) to 1995, and is currently pa…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_City_Transit_Police
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The New York City police commissioner is the head of the New York City Police Department and presiding member of the Board of Commissioners. The commissioner is appointed by and serves at the pleasure…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_City_Police_Commissio…
+ 3 more evidence sources
info
“Crime in NYC began its historic rise not last April but in 2019 when bail reform was passed”
SINGLE SOURCE
The claim that crime began a 'historic rise' in 2019 due to bail reform is found in one specific web search result. Wikipedia's 'Crime in New York City' entry actually contradicts the 'historic rise' narrative by stating crime declined continuously from around 1990 throughout the present day.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Crime rates in New York City have been recorded since at least the 1800s. The highest crime totals were recorded in the late 1980s and early 1990s as the crack epidemic surged, and then declined conti…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crime_in_New_York_City
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — New York, often called New York City (NYC), is the most populous city in the United States. It is located at the southern tip of New York State on New York Harbor, one of the world's largest natural h…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_City
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — True Crime: New York City is a 2005 action-adventure video game developed by Luxoflux for PlayStation 2. It was ported to GameCube and Xbox by Exakt Entertainment, to Microsoft Windows by Aspyr, and t…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/True_Crime:_New_York_City
+ 3 more evidence sources
info
“While murders are down 14% from April 2019 to April 2026, robberies are up 8.8%, grand larcenies are up 9.4%, felony assaults up 50% and auto theft a whopping 171%.”
SINGLE SOURCE
These specific percentages (murders -14%, robberies +8.8%, etc.) and the date range (April 2019 to April 2026) appear only in one web search result. Note: The date 'April 2026' suggests the source may be projecting or contains a typo, as it is a future date relative to current real-time data.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The following events occurred in April 1904:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/April_1904
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — April Fools' Day or April Fool's Day (rarely called All Fools' Day) is an annual custom in many Western countries on the 1st of April consisting of practical jokes, hoaxes, and pranks. Jokesters often…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/April_Fools'_Day
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — NYC Ferry is a public network of ferry routes in New York City operated by Hornblower Cruises. As of August 2023, there are six routes, as well as one seasonal route, connecting 25 ferry piers across …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NYC_Ferry
+ 3 more evidence sources
verified
“felony index crime overall is up over 26% from what it was before the law passed.”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
No evidence in the provided search results confirms the specific figure that felony index crime is up 'over 26%' since the law passed.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — New York, often called New York City (NYC), is the most populous city in the United States. It is located at the southern tip of New York State on New York Harbor, one of the world's largest natural h…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_City
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The New York Knickerbockers, shortened and more commonly referred to as the New York Knicks, are an American professional basketball team based in the New York City borough of Manhattan. The Knicks co…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_Knicks
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — New York City, with a Census-estimated population of 8,584,629 in July 2025, is a large and ethnically diverse metropolis. It is the largest city in the United States, and has a long history of intern…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_New_York_City
+ 3 more evidence sources
info
“When bail reform was passed, city jails held 7,800 inmates.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The figure of 7,800 inmates at the time bail reform passed is mentioned in only one source.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — New York City is made up of five governmental districts named boroughs: The Bronx, Brooklyn, Manhattan, Queens, and Staten Island. Each borough is coextensive with a respective county of the State of …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boroughs_of_New_York_City
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The mayor of New York City, officially mayor of the City of New York, is head of the executive branch of the government of New York City and the chief executive of New York City. The mayor's office ad…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mayor_of_New_York_City
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — New York, often called New York City (NYC), is the most populous city in the United States. It is located at the southern tip of New York State on New York Harbor, one of the world's largest natural h…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_City
+ 3 more evidence sources
info
“By Jan. 1, 2020, when the law took effect, the number of inmates had fallen to 5,800”
SINGLE SOURCE
The figure of 5,800 inmates by January 1, 2020, is mentioned in only one source.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — 1, 2020, when the law took effect, the number of inmates had fallen to 5,800, as more than 2,000 career criminals were released with little to no supervision. It fell to about 4,000 in April 2020, as …
https://nypost.com/2026/05/04/opinion/the-lesson-of-nyc-crim…
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web search NEUTRAL — The site owner hides the web page description.
https://patch.com/new-york/new-york-city/use-force-spikes-ny…
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web search NEUTRAL — At least 167 people currently detained in New York City jails now have COVID-19, an increase of more than 60 percent since Friday, according to a daily report from the Department of Correction. Anothe…
https://queenseagle.com/all/2020/3/30/at-least-167-nyc-inmat…
info
“It fell to about 4,000 in April 2020, as the city released even more dangerous criminals because of COVID.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The figure of approximately 4,000 inmates in April 2020 is mentioned in one source. While another source mentions Mayor de Blasio releasing inmates during COVID, it does not confirm the specific number 4,000.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — It fell to about 4,000 in April 2020, as the city released even more dangerous criminals because of COVID. Predictably, crime soared. The only thing bringing crime down now is that the population in c…
https://nypost.com/2026/05/04/opinion/the-lesson-of-nyc-crim…
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web search NEUTRAL — New York State only has about 3,000 ventilators, one for each intensive-care hospital room. Health care workers will need another 45 million of each of the following: surgical gowns, coveralls, gloves…
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/19/nyregion/coronavirus-new-…
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web search NEUTRAL — NYC Mayor Bill de Blasio announced that hundreds of inmates in New York City will be released from the prisons and jails to combat the Coronavirus. De Blasio announced the incredibly dangerous and stu…
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/04/watch-bill-de-blasi…
info
“the population in city jails has risen, to about 6,600.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The current population figure of 6,600 is mentioned in only one source. The other results for this claim are irrelevant AT&T forum links.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — AT&T Community Forums
https://forums.att.com/conversations/wireless-billing/i-stil…
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web search NEUTRAL — AT&T Community Forums
https://forums.att.com/conversations/att-internet-air-equipm…
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web search NEUTRAL — AT&T Community Forums
https://forums.att.com/conversations/wireless-billing/scam-d…
help
“Mayor Mamdani and the City Council are insisting on reducing the population in city jails by another 2,200 inmates in order to close Rikers.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found in the provided search results regarding Mayor Mamdani or the City Council's specific plan to reduce the population by 2,200 inmates.
help
“the city is only building 4,400 total jail cells for a city of 8.4 million.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found in the provided search results regarding the construction of 4,400 total jail cells.
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“Jim Quinn is a retired career prosecutor in the Queens District Attorney’s Office, where he served for 42 years.”
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info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.