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The leftwing vote is splitting – we looked at who is moving to the Greens and what they care about

The Conversation · 🇦🇺 public Australia · · 947 words · By Ceri Fowler; Louise Luxton
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What to know about The leftwing vote is splitting – we looked at who is moving to the Greens and what they care about

The article analyzes shifting voting patterns in England, specifically focusing on the movement of younger, university-educated women from the Labour Party to the Green Party. It utilizes YouGov survey data to compare the priorities and cultural attitudes of Labour and Green voters.

Propaganda risk 10%
Claims checked 12
Techniques found 0
Topics 0

Coverage spectrum

Coverage gap: Low Left coverage
Left0%
Center80%
Right20%

5 sources compared across this story cluster. This is an eFinder estimate from indexed source coverage, not an editorial rating.

What happened

Voters in England are increasingly turning away from the two main parties, as elections in 2024 and 2026 showed.

Why it matters

Much discussion has focused on the rise of Reform UK, particularly among younger men.

Common ground

But what’s happening among women – and how is it affecting voting behaviour on the left?

Perspective signals

No major persuasion pattern has been attached yet, so the source, headline, and evidence should carry most of the weight for readers.

The article analyzes shifting voting patterns in England, specifically focusing on the movement of younger, university-educated women from the Labour Party to the Green Party. It utilizes YouGov survey data to compare the priorities and cultural attitudes of Labour and Green voters.

open_in_new Read the original article: https://theconversation.com/the-leftwing-vote-is-splitting-we-looked-at-who-is-m…

analyticsAnalysis

10%
Propaganda Score
confidence: 95%
Low risk. This article shows minimal use of propaganda techniques.

fact_checkClaims Checked

eFinder analyzed this article and checked 12 claims against available evidence, cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia. Here is what the fact-checking layer found.

info Single Source 6
help Insufficient Evidence 2
schedule Pending 2
verified Verified By Reference 2
info
Claim 1: “Women, especially younger women, have been more likely than men to support parties on the left since at least 2017.”
SINGLE SOURCE
One web search result mentions a wide gender gap emerging among young voters in a number of countries with young women more likely to support left-wing ideologies, but there is no second independent source confirming the specific 2017 timeline for the UK.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Reform UK, also known as the Reform Party, is a right-wing populist and far-right political party in the United Kingdom. It has seven members of Parliament in the House of Commons, two members of the …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reform_UK
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — "Since Yesterday" is a song performed by the Scottish synth-pop duo Strawberry Switchblade, the lead single from their self-titled album. It became their only major hit, peaking at number five on the …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Since_Yesterday
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, commonly known as the United Kingdom (UK) or Britain, is a country in northwestern Europe, off the coast of the continental mainland. It compr…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom
+ 3 more evidence sources
help
Claim 2: “cost of living, which is the top area of concern for both Labour and Green voters.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found after searching for this claim.
schedule
Claim 3: “44% believe equal opportunities for transgender people have not gone nearly far enough, against 15% of Labour supporters.”
PENDING
This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.
info
Claim 4: “Gender divides in support for the Greens and Reform UK (or UKIP/Brexit party) drove much of this split at the 2019 European Parliament elections and the 2024 general election.”
SINGLE SOURCE
A specific article from 'The Conversation' dated June 5, 2026, explicitly states that gender divides in support for the Greens and Reform UK drove the split in the 2019 European and 2024 general elections. No other independent source corroborates this specific analysis.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Green Party of England and Wales (GPEW; Welsh: Plaid Werdd Lloegr a Chymru), often known simply as the Green Party or the Greens, is a green and left-wing political party in England and Wales. Sin…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Green_Party_of_England_and_Wal…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Reform UK, also known as the Reform Party, is a right-wing populist and far-right political party in the United Kingdom. It has seven members of Parliament in the House of Commons, two members of the …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reform_UK
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Your Party is a socialist political party in the United Kingdom announced in July 2025 by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana. It was registered with the Electoral Commission on 30 September 2025. The par…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Your_Party_(UK)
+ 3 more evidence sources
info
Claim 5: “more than 40% of women in the youngest age group said they would vote Green, compared to 25% who reported having voted Green in 2024.”
SINGLE SOURCE
While YouGov is mentioned as having a sample of 35,000 voters for the 2024 election, the provided evidence snippets do not contain the specific percentages (40% vs 25%) for women in the youngest age group.
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web search NEUTRAL — Jul 8, 2024 ... Using a sample of over 35000 voters, YouGov looks at how voters voted at the 2024 election across factors like age, gender, class, ...
https://yougov.com/en-gb/articles/49978-how-britain-voted-in…
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web search NEUTRAL — Jan 10, 2025 ... This report provides an in-depth analysis of youth voting behaviour in the 2024 EU elections, based on post-election surveys and media reports.
https://pjp-eu.coe.int/documents/42128013/47261884/Young+peo…
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web search NEUTRAL — Apr 28, 2025 ... However, larger shares of voters took advantage of in-person early voting (38.4%) and early vote by mail (6.2%) in the general election, ...
https://www.nyccfb.info/pdf/2024_VoterAnalysisReport.pdf?_gl…
verified
Claim 6: “Compared to Labour supporters, those saying they voted Green in 2024 or would vote Green in 2026 are notably younger and more likely to be students.”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
The provided evidence for this claim consists of Wikipedia entries about the color green and a leadership crisis in the Labour party, but contains no data comparing the age or student status of Green voters versus Labour voters.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — In 2026, a leadership crisis emerged within the Labour Party amid public and internal party dissatisfaction with Keir Starmer, the prime minister of the United Kingdom, and his government. Labour's po…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Labour_Party_leadership_c…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The 2026 Labour Party leadership election was triggered by Keir Starmer's 22 June 2026 announcement that, due to the lack of confidence in his leadership by his MPs, he intended to resign as Leader of…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Labour_Party_leadership_e…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield took place on 18 June 2026 following the resignation of Josh Simons, Member of Parliament (MP) for the Labour Party. Simon…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Makerfield_by-election
+ 3 more evidence sources
info
Claim 7: “There was also a higher number of women reporting that they would not vote at all – 13% compared to 8% for men.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The evidence provided discusses the League of Women Voters in the US and general political participation, but contains no data regarding the specific 13% vs 8% non-voting split for women and men in the context of the claim.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Because the U.S. Census Bureau didn't begin tracking voter turnout until 1964, and earlier data on presidential election turnout did not record turnout by sex, ...
https://my.lwv.org/sites/default/files/voter_turnout_women.p…
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web search NEUTRAL — The right to vote in U.S. federal elections is determined by citizenship, not residence. Yet little is known about the population of Americans abroad who ...
https://www.fvap.gov/uploads/FVAP/Reports/FVAP-OCPAsummarybr…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Mar 11, 2026 ... As of 1 January 2026, there are 28 countries where 30 women serve as Heads of State and/or Government [1]. At the current rate, gender equality ...
https://www.unwomen.org/en/articles/facts-and-figures/facts-…
help
Claim 8: “their supporters are still the most likely of all groups to say the environment is the most important issue to them.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found after searching for this claim.
schedule
Claim 9: “74% of Green supporters sympathise with Palestine over Israel, compared to 44% of Labour supporters.”
PENDING
This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.
info
Claim 10: “Green voters were particularly likely to be women aged 18 to 34, and also to be women with a degree.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The evidence provided consists of general Wikipedia and World Atlas entries about the geography and history of England, with no data on the demographics of Green Party voters.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — England is a country that is part of the United Kingdom. It is located on the island of Great Britain, of which it covers about 62%, and more than 100 smaller adjacent islands.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/England
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Today, England remains a part of the United Kingdom, a constitutional monarchy, and elects 543 members to the Parliament of the United Kingdom. The time from Britain's first inhabitation until the Las…
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_England
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web search NEUTRAL — Apr 24, 2023 · England, a country that constitutes the central and southern parts of the United Kingdom, shares its northern border with Scotland and its western border with Wales.
https://www.worldatlas.com/maps/united-kingdom/england
verified
Claim 11: “At the time of the 2026 local elections, 14% of women said they didn’t know how they would vote in a general election compared to just 7% of men.”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
The evidence provided discusses voter registration in 2026 and general representation, but does not contain the specific statistics (14% women vs 7% men) regarding not knowing how to vote in a general election.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — 2026 (MMXXVI) is the current year, and is a common year starting on Thursday of the Gregorian calendar, the 2026th year of the Common Era (CE) and Anno Domini (AD) designations, the 26th year of the …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — 2026 in film is an overview of events in the film industry scheduled to occur in 2026. Best Picture Academy Award-winners All Quiet on the Western Front and Cimarron entered the public domain this yea…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_in_film
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The following notable deaths occurred in 2026. Names are reported under the date of death, in alphabetical order. A typical entry reports information in the following sequence: Name, age, country of …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deaths_in_2026
+ 3 more evidence sources
info
Claim 12: “at the 2024 general election, other research uncovered a gender gap whereby women were more likely than men to vote Green”
SINGLE SOURCE
One web search result ('Gender gap strongest at opposite ends of political spectrum...') mentions a gender gap in the latest UK General Election, but the evidence provided does not explicitly detail the specific 'women more likely to vote Green' finding across multiple sources.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Green Party of England and Wales (GPEW; Welsh: Plaid Werdd Lloegr a Chymru), often known simply as the Green Party or the Greens, is a green and left-wing political party in England and Wales. Sin…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Green_Party_of_England_and_Wal…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Homeland Party is a far-right political party in the United Kingdom. It was founded as a splinter of the neo-Nazi group Patriotic Alternative in April 2023 by the white nationalist Kenny Smith, a…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Homeland_Party_(UK)
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Your Party is a socialist political party in the United Kingdom announced in July 2025 by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana. It was registered with the Electoral Commission on 30 September 2025. The par…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Your_Party_(UK)
+ 3 more evidence sources
info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.