fullscreen

eFinder

eFinder

Home › Article

Stock market returns are often subpar after a strong 3-year streak, history shows

Cnbc · · 284 words · By Sean Conlon
headphones Listen to the eFinder podcast briefing
Generate a natural audio summary of this story
Daily briefing

What to know about Stock market returns are often subpar after a strong 3-year streak, history shows

While the market has posted solid double-digit returns over the past three years, investors shouldn't get their hopes up that the trend will continue, if history is any guide.

Claims checked 5
Techniques found 0
Topics 0

Coverage spectrum

Coverage gap: Low Left coverage
Left0%
Center86%
Right14%

7 sources compared across this story cluster. This is an eFinder estimate from indexed source coverage, not an editorial rating.

What happened

While the market has posted solid double-digit returns over the past three years, investors shouldn't get their hopes up that the trend will continue, if history is any guide.

Why it matters

According to SimCorp's Melissa Brown, who cited data from Stocks, Bonds, Bills and Inflation (SBBI), the market may not see another strong year following three prior ones, as instances of four stellar consecutive years of more than 15% returns have been…

Common ground

In 2023, 2024 and 2025, the market saw annualized returns of 26%, 25% and about 18%, respectively.

Perspective signals

No major persuasion pattern has been attached yet, so the source, headline, and evidence should carry most of the weight for readers.

open_in_new Read the original article: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/23/stock-market-returns-are-often-subpar-after-a-st…

fact_checkClaims Checked

eFinder analyzed this article and checked 5 claims against available evidence, cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia. Here is what the fact-checking layer found.

info Single Source 5
info
Claim 1: “That's significantly below the average of 11.8%”
SINGLE SOURCE
The search results for this claim are completely irrelevant, returning results for seafood restaurants and dictionary definitions of the word 'overall' rather than financial data.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Overall Crawfish and Seafood, New Caney. 26,794 likes · 995 talking about this · 6,599 were here. Voted #1 crawfish restaurant in Montgomery County many...
https://www.facebook.com/overallcrawfishandseafood/
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — 爱词霸权威在线词典,为您提供overall的中文意思,overall的用法讲解,overall的读音,overall的同义词,overall的反义词,overall的例句等英语服务。
https://www.iciba.com/word?w=overall
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Nov 22, 2019 · Discover synonyms for overall and enhance your writing. Learn meanings, types, comparisons, and examples for better expression in various contexts.
https://7esl.com/overall-synonym/
info
Claim 2: “instances of four stellar consecutive years of more than 15% returns have been "rare" at only three since 1926”
SINGLE SOURCE
While a link to Macrotrends historical returns was provided, the search results do not contain the specific calculation or statement regarding 'three instances of four consecutive years of more than 15% returns since 1926'.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — This article is about the year 1926. For the magazine, see 1926 (magazine).February 1 – Land on Broadway and Wall Street in New York City is sold at a record $7 per sq inch; it is only affordable for …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1926
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — complete 90-year history of annual S&P 500 returns.
https://www.macrotrends.net/2526/sp-500-historical-annual-re…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD) turns profitable in FY24 as reve… 5 US ETFs with One-Year Returns Exceeding 15%. Monadelphous Group (ASX:MND) looks optimistic about FY25, a… GWA Group’s (ASX:GWA) NPAT rise…
https://kalkine.com.au/news/premium/5-us-etfs-with-one-year-…
info
Claim 3: “In 2023, 2024 and 2025, the market saw annualized returns of 26%, 25% and about 18%, respectively”
SINGLE SOURCE
The provided evidence consists of general market news homepages (MarketWatch, CNN) and does not contain the specific annualized return percentages for 2023, 2024, and 2025.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — MarketWatch provides the latest stock market, financial and business news. Get stock market quotes, personal finance advice, company news and more.
https://www.marketwatch.com/
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Stock market data coverage from CNN. View US markets, world markets, after hours trading, quotes, and other important stock market activity.
https://www.cnn.com/markets
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — 1 day ago · View up-to-date U.S. market and world market charts. Get the latest on world economy news and global markets in our Market Overview.
https://www.cnbc.com/markets/
info
Claim 4: “the fourth year following a three-year annualized return of 20% or more has an average return of just 3.9%”
SINGLE SOURCE
The search results provide general links to Investopedia and Macrotrends regarding average returns, but none of the snippets contain the specific statistic that the fourth year following a 20% three-year run averages 3.9%.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — average annualized return of the S&P 500.
https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/042415/what-average…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — (Nov. 30, 2025) Happy 10m views on this basic-ass bait-and-switch video I made lmfaoooooYes, a Yakuza meme, again. Literally had to flip the whole video.If y...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3eTQxHtZ81c
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — five-year average return of the S&P 500.
https://www.macrotrends.net/2526/sp-500-historical-annual-re…
info
Claim 5: “The S & P 500 has risen only 8% so far this year”
SINGLE SOURCE
The evidence mentions general S&P 500 returns and a specific 12-month window (Sept 2023-Sept 2024), but does not provide the current year-to-date return figure of 8%.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Mar 10, 2026 ... The US stock market has a long history of producing double-digit yearly returns. The annualized yearly return for the S&P 500 is 10.42% over ...
https://tradethatswing.com/average-historical-stock-market-r…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Apr 30, 2026 ... ... performance. Page 4. Index Dashboard: S&P 500® Factor Indices. April 2026. 15 YEAR RISK & RETURN - RELATIVE. TO S&P 500. RELATIVE RETURN AND ...
https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/documents/performance-repo…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Nov 20, 2024 ... From September 2023 to September 2024, the S&P 500 has been up greater than 30%. Historically, when the S&P 500 >25% over the trailing 12 months ...
https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1gvrq2v/sp_500_a…
info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.