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Robinhood is making a move in prediction markets. Deutsche Bank thinks it could turn the stock around

Cnbc · · 303 words · By Davis Giangiulio
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What to know about Robinhood is making a move in prediction markets. Deutsche Bank thinks it could turn the stock around

Recent moves by trading platform Robinhood into prediction markets could boost the stock, which is down more than 40% from its 52-week high, according to Deutsche Bank.

Claims checked 10
Techniques found 0
Topics 0

Coverage spectrum

Coverage gap: Low Left coverage
Left0%
Center88%
Right12%

8 sources compared across this story cluster. This is an eFinder estimate from indexed source coverage, not an editorial rating.

What happened

Recent moves by trading platform Robinhood into prediction markets could boost the stock, which is down more than 40% from its 52-week high, according to Deutsche Bank.

Why it matters

The bank in a Friday note reiterated its buy rating on the stock and hiked its price target to $98.

Common ground

That implies an 11% gain from Thursday's close.

Perspective signals

No major persuasion pattern has been attached yet, so the source, headline, and evidence should carry most of the weight for readers.

open_in_new Read the original article: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/05/deutsche-bank-says-robinhoods-prediction-market-…

fact_checkClaims Checked

eFinder analyzed this article and checked 10 claims against available evidence, cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia. Here is what the fact-checking layer found.

check_circle Corroborated 4
help Insufficient Evidence 2
verified Verified By Reference 2
info Single Source 1
cancel Disputed 1
info
Claim 1: “Rothera's fees will be capped at 1 cent per contract”
SINGLE SOURCE
The provided evidence for this claim contains irrelevant results (a domain 1cent.in and a phone plan) and does not provide a corroborating news source for the 1 cent fee cap.
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web search NEUTRAL — Robinhood is routing its World Cup event contracts to Rothera, the joint venture derivatives exchange and clearinghouse it launched in 2026, while keeping…
https://predictionnews.com/story/rothera-files-soccer-contra…
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web search NEUTRAL — 1Cent.
https://1cent.in/
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web search NEUTRAL — Get a flat monthly rate with talk, text, and data. No contracts, no surprise fees - just simple, affordable prepaid plans from chatr.
https://www.chatrwireless.com/plans
help
Claim 2: “Kalshi's maximum of 2 cents per contract”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found in the search results regarding Kalshi's maximum fee per contract.
cancel
Claim 3: “The bank in a Friday note reiterated its buy rating on the stock and hiked its price target to $98”
DISPUTED
One source reports Deutsche Bank raised the price target to $105 on June 17, 2026, while the claim states it was hiked to $98. This creates a contradiction in the specific price target figure.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Wells Fargo & Company is an American multinational financial services company. The company operates in 35 countries and serves more than 70 million customers worldwide. It is a systemically important …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wells_Fargo
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Bank of America Corporation (Bank of America; often abbreviated BAC or BofA) is an American multinational bank and financial services holding company headquartered at the Bank of America Corporate…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bank_of_America
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — U.S. Bancorp (stylized as us bancorp) is an American multinational banking institution headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota and incorporated in Delaware. It is the 7th-largest bank in the United St…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._Bancorp
+ 3 more evidence sources
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Claim 4: “the prediction market it backed in a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group”
CORROBORATED
Multiple sources explicitly state that Rothera is a joint venture between Robinhood and Susquehanna International Group.
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web search NEUTRAL — 4 days ago ... Rothera, a joint venture between Susquehanna International Group and Robinhood that launched in June, captured $2 billion and 7% of the U. S ...
https://www.facebook.com/Entrepreneur/posts/according-to-rep…
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web search NEUTRAL — Rothera is building the premier prediction market in partnership with Robinhood and Susquehanna International Group. By empowering traders to take positions ...
https://www.rothera.io/
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web search NEUTRAL — Jun 4, 2026 ... It's also a major milestone for Robinhood's prediction markets business, as we route event contracts to Rothera, a CFTC-licensed exchange and ...
https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/the-world-cup-is-now-tr…
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Claim 5: “Select event contracts related to the World Cup and professional baseball will be routed to the platform”
CORROBORATED
Multiple sources confirm that select event contracts for the World Cup and professional baseball are being routed to Rothera.
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web search NEUTRAL — We’ve lowered the cost to trade prediction markets on Robinhood, and are now routing event contracts to Rothera, a new affiliate exchange With a record 48 teams playing in more than 100 matches across…
https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/the-world-cup-is-now-tr…
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web search NEUTRAL — The World Cup marks the first step in that journey.” Robinhood, which is also dealing with some of the same legal issues as Kalshi and Polymarket, said selected World Cup and professional baseball con…
https://nextpredict.io/market-news/industry/robinhood-world-…
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web search NEUTRAL — Robinhood is now routing select event contracts, starting with World Cup and pro baseball wagers, to Rothera, the exchange it launched in a joint venture with Susquehanna.
https://www.stsheet.com/p/under-the-hood
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Claim 6: “Robinhood will still feature event contracts from Kalshi and ForecastEx, Interactive Brokers ' prediction market platform”
CORROBORATED
Sources confirm Robinhood offers predictions via Kalshi and ForecastEx, and that ForecastEx is associated with Interactive Brokers.
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web search NEUTRAL — ForecastEx 2028 presidential market opening. Interactive Brokers is geared toward institutional and professional traders. Its forecast contracts were the first to pay interest on contracts, giving tra…
https://predictionnews.com/news/forecastex-launches-2028-ele…
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web search NEUTRAL — Kalshi and Robinhood both offer event contracts, but differently. While Kalshi is a prediction market exchange, Robinhood is an investment platform that offers predictions via KalshiEx and ForecastEx.…
https://www.casino.org/us/predictions/kalshi-vs-robinhood/
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web search NEUTRAL — Interactive Brokers is expanding its prediction markets offering, giving eligible clients access to event contracts from Kalshi, CME Group and ForecastEx through a single trading platform.
https://defirate.com/news/interactive-brokers-expands-predic…
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Claim 7: “On Thursday, Robinhood announced that it was starting to direct some of its event contracts to Rothera”
CORROBORATED
Multiple independent web sources confirm that Robinhood is routing World Cup event contracts to Rothera.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Robinhood is routing its World Cup event contracts to Rothera, the joint venture derivatives exchange and clearinghouse it launched in 2026, while keeping…Prediction markets, resolved by noon ET. What…
https://predictionnews.com/story/rothera-files-soccer-contra…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Robinhood said it will direct some World Cup event contracts through Rothera, its own prediction market. That could affect the volume the company sends to partner Kalshi. Rothera is a partnership betw…
https://www.casino.org/news/robinhood-moving-some-world-cup-…
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web search NEUTRAL — Prediction markets had become the fastest-growing new engine in Robinhood's product line. However, this relationship has recently undergone some subtle changes. Robinhood's Ambition: Reclaiming the Pi…
https://www.odaily.news/en/post/5211361
help
Claim 8: “ForecastEx's fee structure [is] similar [to Rothera's 1 cent cap]”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found in the search results regarding ForecastEx's fee structure relative to Rothera.
verified
Claim 9: “this fast-growing asset class, which has already seen over 16bn contracts traded year-to-date in 2026”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
While sources confirm high volumes in prediction markets in 2026 (e.g., $50 billion monthly volume), none of the provided evidence mentions the specific figure of '16 billion contracts traded year-to-date'.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Since the introduction of the Benz Patent Motorwagen in 1886, some passenger cars and light trucks can claim to being the highest selling vehicles in the automobile markets. While references to verify…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_automobil…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Frederick Christ Trump (October 11, 1905 – June 25, 1999) was an American real estate developer and businessman. He was the father of Donald Trump, the 45th and 47th president of the United States, al…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fred_Trump
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — 16 Handles is a self-serve frozen yogurt company that allows customers to create their own customized frozen yogurt desserts. It was founded in 2008 by Solomon Choi. The company's name, "16 Handles", …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/16_Handles
+ 3 more evidence sources
verified
Claim 10: “the stock, which is down more than 40% from its 52-week high, according to Deutsche Bank”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
While web results provide general stock information and mention a 52-week high of $52.12, there is no specific evidence provided in the search results confirming a Deutsche Bank report stating the stock is down more than 40% from its high.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Robinhood Markets, Inc. is an American financial services company based in Menlo Park, California. It provides an electronic trading platform that facilitates trades of stocks, exchange-traded funds (…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robinhood_Markets
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Vladimir Tenev (Bulgarian: Владимир Тенев; born 13 February 1987) is an American entrepreneur who is most notably the co-founder, Chairman, and CEO of Robinhood, a US-based financial technology servic…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vlad_Tenev
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Baiju Prafulkumar Bhatt (born 1984/1985) is an Indian American billionaire entrepreneur. He is the founder of Cowboy Space Corporation and the co-founder and former co-chief executive officer of Robin…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baiju_Bhatt
+ 3 more evidence sources
info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.