Resolve poll suggests more voters support Labor’s federal budget changes than oppose them

The Conversation · 🇦🇺 public Australia · Aug 16, 2026 · 917 words · By Adrian Beaumont

Electoral Reform Australian Political Polling International Elections

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What to know about Electoral Reform

The article reports on recent federal and state polling data in Australia, focusing on primary vote shares and preferred leaders for Labor, the Coalition, and One Nation. It also notes the scrapping of group voting tickets in Victoria and Nigel Farage's victory in a UK byelection.

Propaganda risk 20%

Claims checked 39

Techniques found 1

Topics 3

Coverage spectrum

Coverage gap: Low Left coverage

Left20%

Center60%

Right20%

5 sources compared across this story cluster. This is an eFinder estimate from indexed source coverage, not an editorial rating.

What happened

The three new federal polls have the total vote for One Nation and the Coalition at 46% in YouGov (down one), 48% in Morgan (up 0.5) and 49% in Resolve (steady).

Why it matters

The Resolve poll gives Labor encouragement by suggesting their May budget changes are becoming more popular.

Common ground

A Victorian DemosAU poll gave the Coalition a 55–45 two-party lead over Labor, with the state election on November 28.

Perspective signals

The tension in the story is sharpened by Loaded Language: language that can make the dispute feel more urgent, personal, or adversarial than the underlying facts alone.

Follow-up questions

What new context would change how readers understand this Electoral Reform story?
What evidence would most clearly confirm or weaken the claim that He led Hanson by 51–38?
How does this story connect Electoral Reform with Australian Political Polling over the next few days?

open_in_new Read the original article: https://theconversation.com/resolve-poll-suggests-more-voters-support-labors-fed…

analyticsAnalysis

20%

Propaganda Score

confidence: 95%

Minor concerns. Some persuasive language detected, but largely factual.

psychologyPropaganda Techniques Detected

eFinder identified 1 propaganda technique in this article. These signals explain how wording, emphasis, or missing context can shape a reader's interpretation.

warning

Loaded Language 80% confidence

Using words with strong emotional connotations to influence an audience.

Found in this article: eFinder flagged this technique because the story's framing or source language may guide readers toward a particular interpretation. Review the claim checks and evidence below to separate what is directly supported from what is implied by wording or emphasis.

Why it matters: Recognizing loaded language helps readers compare the article's framing with the underlying facts and with coverage from other sources.

fact_checkClaims Checked

eFinder analyzed this article and checked 39 claims against available evidence, cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia. Here is what the fact-checking layer found.

schedule Pending 29

cancel Disputed 3

info Single Source 2

help Insufficient Evidence 2

verified Verified By Reference 2

check_circle Corroborated 1

schedule

Claim 1: “He led Hanson by 51–38”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 2: “A national Morgan poll, conducted August 3–9 from a sample of 1,647, gave One Nation 26% of the primary vote (up two since the late July Morgan poll), Labor 25.5% (down two), the Coalition 22% (down 1.5), the Greens 15.5% (up 0.5) and all Others 11% (up one).”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 3: “legislation to scrap the discredited group voting ticket system for Victoria’s upper house passed that chamber after passing the lower house in the July 28–30 parliamentary sitting.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

info

Claim 4: “Angus Taylor’s was up one point to +8 (40% good, 33% poor).”

SINGLE SOURCE

The search results returned completely irrelevant adult content and no information regarding Angus Taylor's approval ratings.

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — Looking for the best Mature Hairy Pussy? These hot naked older women are just waiting for someone to watch them in tons of Mature Hairy Pussy porn pics.
https://www.bestmaturepics.com/mature-hairy-pussy/

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — Check out the best mature hairy pussy porn pics for FREE on PornPics.com. ️Find the hottest mature women with hairy pussys photos right now!
https://www.pornpics.com/tags/mature-hairy-pussy/

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — The largest collection of FREE Mature hairy legs and pussy porn pics gathered for you in one place! Naked unshaven old women pose in hot sexy pictures for YOU. Adult only content.
https://www.hairymaturepics.com/

info

Claim 5: “Pauline Hanson’s was +5 (46% good, 41% poor).”

SINGLE SOURCE

The search results returned MLB baseball standings and no information regarding Pauline Hanson's approval ratings.

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — The official standings for Major League Baseball including division and league standings for regular season, wild card, and playoffs.
https://www.mlb.com/standings/

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — The official standings for Major League Baseball including division and league standings for regular season, wild card, and playoffs.
https://www.mlb.com/standings/wild-card/league

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — The official website of the Boston Red Sox with the most up-to-date information on news, tickets, schedule, stadium, roster, rumors, scores, and stats.
https://www.mlb.com/redsox

schedule

Claim 6: “One Nation leader Warren Pickering’s was -19 (38% negative, 19% positive).”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 7: “Liberal leader Jess Wilson’s was up one point to +11 (35% positive, 24% negative).”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

help

Claim 8: “By 35–21, respondents supported the May budget changes to capital gains tax”

INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE

No evidence was found in the provided search results to support or refute this claim.

schedule

Claim 9: “On immigration, 57% said it was too high (up eight since September 2025), 28% about right and just 4% too low.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 10: “This was a 17.1-point swing to Farage since the 2024 general election.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

verified

Claim 11: “A national Resolve poll for Nine newspapers, conducted August 9–15 from a sample of 2,256, gave Labor 28% of the primary vote (steady since the early July Resolve poll), One Nation 26% (steady), the Coalition 23% (steady), the Greens 12% (steady), independents 7% (up one) and others 4% (down one).”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

While some search results mention One Nation surges and general polling, there is no specific evidence provided that confirms the exact primary vote percentages (Labor 28%, One Nation 26%, etc.) for a Resolve poll conducted Aug 9-15.

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leadership_approval_opinion_po…

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the 2026 Victorian state election in November 2026, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourabil…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_V…

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls, often for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary v…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_A…

+ 3 more evidence sources

schedule

Claim 12: “By respondent preferences, Labor led One Nation by an unchanged 56–44.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 13: “By 54–26, respondents thought the federal government was handling immigration in an unplanned and unmanaged way.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 14: “Victoria is the last Australian jurisdiction to scrap group voting tickets, with Western Australia’s scrapping implemented at the March 2025 election.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 15: “By respondent preferences, Labor led both One Nation and the Coalition by 53–47”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 16: “By 60–10, they supported bringing house prices down”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 17: “By 2025 election preference flows, Labor led the Coalition by 52–48”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

check_circle

Claim 18: “Victoria’s parliament has finally passed legislation scrapping group ticket voting.”

CORROBORATED

Multiple independent web sources confirm that the Victorian Parliament passed legislation (Electoral Amendment Act 2026) to scrap group voting tickets.

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — Every other state has scrapped group voting tickets, and the federal Senate did away with them in 2016. Victoria was the last jurisdiction still running the model, and an Electoral Amendment (Group Vo…
https://www.onenewsaustralia.com/victoria-group-voting-ticke…

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — In August, the Victorian Parliament passed the Electoral Amendment (Miscellaneous Matters) Act 2026, which removes group voting tickets from Legislative Council elections. The bill was introduced on 2…
https://www.nriaffairs.com/victoria-scraps-party-preference-…

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — Legislation that reforms the Victorian upper house by scrapping group voting tickets is set to pass parliament this week. There have also been four federal polls released since Monday.
https://theconversation.com/labor-only-trailed-narrowly-in-a…

schedule

Claim 19: “Albanese’s net approval dropped three points to -21 (57% dissatisfied, 36% satisfied).”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 20: “A DemosAU and Premier National poll, conducted August 6–11 from a sample of 1,007, gave the Coalition 32% of the primary vote (up two since the early June DemosAU poll), Labor 23% (up two), One Nation 22% (down one), the Greens 13% (down two) and all Others 10% (down one).”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 21: “Labor Premier Ben Carroll’s net positive rating was -16 (37% negative, 21% positive).”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 22: “Taylor’s net approval improved five points to -11 (46% dissatisfied, 35% satisfied).”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 23: “By 56–14, they supported stricter visa controls.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 24: “After preferences, the Coalition held an unchanged 55–45 lead over Labor.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

verified

Claim 25: “A Victorian DemosAU poll gave the Coalition a 55–45 two-party lead over Labor, with the state election on November 28.”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

The search results for this claim returned irrelevant information about Microsoft Rewards and general Wikipedia entries about Victorian elections, but no specific DemosAU poll showing a 55-45 lead or a November 28 election date.

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — The 2025 Western Australian state election was held on 8 March 2025 to elect members to the Parliament of Western Australia, where all 59 seats in the Legislative Assembly and all 37 seats in the Legi…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Western_Australian_state_…

menu_book

+ 3 more evidence sources

schedule

Claim 26: “Albanese led Taylor as preferred PM by 42–38”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 27: “by 35–20 they supported the changes to negative gearing”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 28: “Cost of living was rated the most important issue by 36%”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

help

Claim 29: “In a three-way preferred PM question, Albanese had 32% (down one), Hanson 26% (up one) and Taylor 19% (down two).”

INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE

No evidence was found in the provided search results to support or refute this claim.

cancel

Claim 30: “Anthony Albanese’s net approval was down two points to -17 (53% gave him a poor rating and 36% a good rating).”

DISPUTED

The claim states a net approval of -17 (53% poor, 36% good). However, provided evidence shows different figures: one source says -12 (53% dissatisfied, 41% satisfied) and another says -21 (59% dissatisfied, 38% satisfied).

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — Anthony Norman Albanese (born 2 March 1963) is an Australian politician who has served as the 31st prime minister of Australia since 2022. He has been the leader of the Labor Party since 2019 and the …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anthony_Albanese

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — Jodie Haydon (born 1978 or 1979) is an Australian financial services professional. She is married to the 31st (and current) prime minister of Australia, Anthony Albanese.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jodie_Haydon

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — Michelle Anne Rowland (born 16 November 1971) is an Australian politician and lawyer. She has served as the Attorney-General of Australia in the second Albanese ministry since 13 May 2025. She is a me…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michelle_Rowland

+ 3 more evidence sources

schedule

Claim 31: “Greens leader Ellen Sandell’s was -16 (32% negative, 16% positive).”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

cancel

Claim 32: “The three new federal polls have the total vote for One Nation and the Coalition at 46% in YouGov (down one), 48% in Morgan (up 0.5) and 49% in Resolve (steady).”

DISPUTED

The claim states YouGov is 46%, Morgan is 48%, and Resolve is 49%. However, web search results provide conflicting numbers: one source says Morgan was 44.5% and YouGov was 46%, while another says Resolve was 45%. The numbers do not consistently align across the provided evidence.

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — A federal election is scheduled to be held by 2028 to elect members of the House of Representatives and half of the Senate to the 49th Parliament of Australia. The incumbent Labor government, led by P…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_Australian_federal_electi…

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — Pauline Hanson's One Nation (PHON), commonly known as One Nation (ON), is a right-wing to far-right political party in Australia. It is led by its founder Pauline Hanson, who is the party's president …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One_Nation

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — One Nation, One Election (abbr. ONOE), is a proposal under consideration by the Government of India to synchronise all elections in the country either on a single day or within a specific time frame, …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One_Nation,_One_Election

+ 3 more evidence sources

schedule

Claim 33: “On preferred Liberal leader, 30% selected Taylor, 10% Andrew Hastie and 5% Tim Wilson, with 56% undecided.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 34: “United Kingdom populist right Reform leader, Nigel Farage, had resigned as Member for Clacton on July 7 to recontest it.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 35: “A national YouGov poll for News24 (formerly Sky News), conducted August 4–10 from a sample about 1,500, gave Labor 28% of the primary vote (steady since the late July YouGov poll), One Nation 24% (down one), the Coalition 22% (steady), the Greens 12% (down one), independents 5% (down one) and others 9% (up three).”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 36: “They led the Coalition by 52–48, a one-point gain for the Coalition.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

cancel

Claim 37: “By 2025 election preference flows, Labor would lead the Coalition by under 52–48.”

DISPUTED

Different sources provide different preference flow results: one mentions Labor leading 51-49, another mentions 54.5-45.5, and another mentions a Coalition lead of 52-48. The specific claim of 'under 52-48' is contradicted by some of these figures.

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Liberal–National Coalition, commonly known as the Coalition or the LNP, is an alliance of liberal conservative and centre-right political parties in Australia. Its primary members are the Liberal …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberal–National_Coalition

menu_book

+ 3 more evidence sources

schedule

Claim 38: “At last Thursday’s Clacton byelection, Farage won 63.3%, with 26.9% for joke candidate Count Binface.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 39: “Wilson led Carroll as preferred premier by 43–34”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.