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Report predicts ANC support to drop further in coming elections

Sowetan · · 612 words · By Kabelo Khumalo
Service Delivery and Governance South African Local Government Elections Political Party Performance (ANC vs DA)
open_in_new Read the original article: https://www.sowetan.co.za/news/2026-05-18-report-predicts-anc-support-to-drop-fu…

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Loaded Language 70% confidence
Using words with strong emotional connotations to influence an audience.

fact_checkFact-Check Results

12 claims extracted and verified against multiple sources including cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia.

info Single Source 5
verified Verified 3
help Insufficient Evidence 2
schedule Pending 2
info
“the party’s support likely to be in the 30%–40% region, according to Fitch’s BMI”
SINGLE SOURCE
The provided web search results mention the upcoming local government elections and the EFF's calls to punish the ANC, but none of the sources mention Fitch's BMI or the specific 30%-40% support prediction.
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web search NEUTRAL — Labour’s heavy local election losses have intensified pressure on Keir Starmer, raising the risk of a near-term leadership challenge.
https://www.fitchsolutions.com/bmi/country-risk/uk-local-ele…
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web search NEUTRAL — EFF leader Julius Malema has called on voters to punish both the ANC and DA in the upcoming local government elections, blaming them for service delivery failures and pledging that the EFF will field …
https://myvirgo.co.za/malema-urges-voters-to-punish-anc-and-…
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web search NEUTRAL — The local government elections have been announced for 4 November, heralding a campaign season that will be keenly watched, and whose results will be anticipated.
https://dailyfriend.co.za/2026/05/11/anc-faces-sink-or-swim-…
info
“Its vote share declined to 40.2% in the 2024 general elections”
SINGLE SOURCE
The search results for the ANC are either general Wikipedia descriptions of the party's history or unrelated medical/airport terms. No evidence was found regarding the 40.2% vote share in 2024.
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web search NEUTRAL — Headquartered in Lusaka, Zambia, the exiled ANC dedicated much of its attention to a campaign of sabotage and guerrilla warfare against the apartheid state, carried out under its military wing, uMkhon…
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/African_National_Congress
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web search NEUTRAL — The Absolute Neutrophil Count (ANC) is frequently used to assess neutropenic fever in chemotherapy patients.
https://www.mdcalc.com/calc/19/absolute-neutrophil-count-anc
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web search NEUTRAL — Delivering World-Class Cargo and Passenger Services as Alaska's Gateway to the World. Let's find your flight... Don’t have a Real ID or acceptable ID? Questions or Concerns? Contact us.
https://dot.alaska.gov/anc/
info
“we expect the DA to increase its municipal vote share from the 21.6% recorded in 2021”
SINGLE SOURCE
The search results mention the 2021 Local Government Elections and the DA, but none of the provided sources confirm the specific 21.6% municipal vote share figure.
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web search NEUTRAL — detailed in the upcoming November 2021 edition.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221444202…
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web search NEUTRAL — An analysis of the results of the Andhra Pradesh municipal elections reveals that support for the Telugu Desam Party (TDP) is dwindling. When compared to the 2019 assembly elections, the vote share of…
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/hyderabad/ap-munici…
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web search NEUTRAL — Watch our new TV ad Why vote DA? South Africa heads to the polls in the 2021 Local Government Elections on 1 November. Voting stations are open from 7am to 9pm. Now, all over South Africa, is the time…
https://www.da.org.za/the-da-gets-things-done
verified
“the confirmed election of [Geordin] Hill‑Lewis as [DA] federal leader”
VERIFIED
A web search result explicitly states that Geordin Hill-Lewis was elected as the new Federal Leader of the Democratic Alliance (DA) on 12 April 2026, succeeding John Steenhuisen.
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web search NEUTRAL — Jun 12, 2018 · 一直在亏钱，你如果有心的话你就能发现他们真的是用爱在发电，wiki网站上有各年的收支表。这样有梦想的人我确实没办法批评，他或许不是最好的网站，但他的影响力算是很大的了，现在很多master们新活动出来的第一手参考资料就是mooncell，不过这样一直亏损的状态能否维持下去我确实很怀疑 ...
https://www.zhihu.com/question/280778942
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web search NEUTRAL — Sep 29, 2017 · 好不容易有个正常点要讨论一下fgo的帖子，那群氵佬疯狂歪楼，摸这个抱那个舔一下的恶心的要死。 6 这么垃圾的论坛不待也罢，还是去nga好。 那里的人说话又好听。 如果您认为以上有任何一条感到赞同的话。 那么fgowiki可能并不那么适合您。
https://www.zhihu.com/question/65979718
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web search NEUTRAL — Oct 18, 2019 · 毕竟每次要查还得去网站岂不是很麻烦？ 我记得有一个APP叫 咕哒，类似于FGOwiki，反正我没用过，好不好用我不知道 那如果觉得玩游戏途中还有切到别的软件还是很麻烦怎么办呢？ 那去下一个 光环助手 吧，可以随时查看攻略，难道最高10倍速战斗护肝它不香吗？
https://www.zhihu.com/question/349314471
verified
“Hill‑Lewis’s dual role as national party leader and Cape Town mayor”
VERIFIED
Multiple sources confirm Hill-Lewis is the Mayor of Cape Town (Wikipedia, Mail & Guardian) and one source confirms he was elected DA Federal Leader in April 2026, establishing his dual role.
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web search NEUTRAL — Geordin Gwyn Hill-Lewis is a South African politician who is the Mayor of Cape Town. A member of the Democratic Alliance, he was elected mayor in November 2021.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geordin_Hill-Lewis
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web search NEUTRAL — Geordin Hill-Lewis with Mpumalanga DA delegates.Hill-Lewis has served as Cape Town mayor since 2021 and previously held roles in parliament and within the party’s national structures.
https://mg.co.za/politics/2026-04-10-hill-lewis-and-the-das-…
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web search NEUTRAL — Geordin Hill-Lewis, the mayor of Cape Town, was elected as the new Federal Leader of South Africa’s second-biggest political party, the Democratic Alliance (DA), on 12 April 2026, succeeding John Stee…
https://businesstech.co.za/news/government/857209/south-afri…
info
“The latest raw Ipsos data... showed the ANC stands at 35% among registered voters in the national vote, with the DA second at 22% and the EFF and uMkhonto weSizwe Party (MKP) tied at 11% each”
SINGLE SOURCE
While Ipsos is identified as a research firm, the specific raw data percentages (35% ANC, 22% DA, 11% EFF, 11% MKP) are not present in the provided evidence.
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web search NEUTRAL — EPA DA supporters EPA. Support for the DA has grown in this election. He added that any coalition partner would have to agree to the National Health Insurance (NHI) Bill, which promises universal heal…
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cyeek2xlgzzo
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web search NEUTRAL — May 11, 2026 at 6:01 pm.As the ANC fails in government and loses voter support, many of its leaders have cynically blamed apartheid and colonialism for problems that have been specifically caused by t…
https://www.sundaytimes.timeslive.co.za/opinion-and-analysis…
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web search NEUTRAL — Global leader in market research, Ipsos delivers reliable information and true understanding of Society, Markets and People. Our solutions use data from surveys, polls, social media or qualitative, an…
https://www.ipsos.com/
info
“the Ipos data shows the DA having a stronger showing at 25%, the MKP at 14% and the EFF at 13%, with the ANC leading at 35% [in metros]”
SINGLE SOURCE
The search results discuss metropolitan areas and Ipsos generally, but the specific data points for metros (35% ANC, 25% DA, 14% MKP, 13% EFF) are not found in the evidence provided.
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web search NEUTRAL — This list ranks metropolitan areas in Europe by their population according to three different sources; it includes metropolitan areas that have a population of over 1 million.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_metropolitan_areas_in_…
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web search NEUTRAL — Influence brands by taking surveys and product testing. Join Ipsos iSay, get free samples shipped home, and turn your points into money and rewards today!
https://www.ipsosisay.com/en-us
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web search NEUTRAL — In 2019, the ANC managed to scrape through with 50.19% of the vote, followed by the DA's 27.4%. News24's election projections, done by analyst Dawie Scholtz, shows that the ANC may end on 35% in Gaute…
https://www.news24.com/southafrica/news/a-tale-of-10-towns-h…
verified
“almost half (47%) of South Africans say there is no political party representing their views”
VERIFIED
An Ipsos source explicitly states that '47% of South Africans say no political party represents their views' and identifies Mari Harris as a professional at Ipsos.
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web search NEUTRAL — Key findings includePolitical alienation: 47% of South Africans say no political party represents their viewsMunicipal dissatisfaction: Only 38% believe their local government is doing its job well
https://www.ipsos.com/en-za/nearly-half-south-africans-feel-…
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web search NEUTRAL — View. Monitoring Optimism in South Africa. Article. Jan 1997. Mari Harris. The last two decades have been the most crucial and eventful ones in South Africa's history.Current institution. Ipsos. Publi…
https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Mari-Harris-2
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web search NEUTRAL — Mari Harris. City of Johannesburg, Gauteng, South Africa. 884 followers 500+ connections.View mutual connections with Mari. Mari can introduce you to 10+ people at Ipsos in South Africa.
https://za.linkedin.com/in/mari-harris-6a005717
help
“Ipsos’ most recent survey was conducted in December 2025/January 2026”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was provided for this claim in the search results.
help
“the ANC gets 38% overall [in the Ipsos survey]. But, if you look at the possible vote in metropolitan areas only, ANC support is 35%”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was provided for this claim in the search results.
schedule
“poor service delivery under ANC mayor Dada Morero”
PENDING
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“losing its majority in eThekwini at the 2021 municipal elections”
PENDING
info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.