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People betting on these actors to be James Bond—there's clear frontrunner

Newsweek · · 452 words · By Maria Azzurra Volpe
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What to know about People betting on these actors to be James Bond—there's clear frontrunner

Speculation around the next James Bond has reached a new level and for punters using prediction market Kalshi, one name is leading the pack.

Claims checked 11
Techniques found 0
Topics 0

Coverage spectrum

Coverage gap: Low Left coverage
Left0%
Center80%
Right20%

5 sources compared across this story cluster. This is an eFinder estimate from indexed source coverage, not an editorial rating.

What happened

Speculation around the next James Bond has reached a new level and for punters using prediction market Kalshi, one name is leading the pack.

Why it matters

Callum Turner currently sits far ahead of the rest of the field.

Common ground

As shown on the betting platform, Turner holds 47 percent of the bets, making him the clear front-runner to become the next 007.

Perspective signals

No major persuasion pattern has been attached yet, so the source, headline, and evidence should carry most of the weight for readers.

open_in_new Read the original article: https://www.newsweek.com/entertainment/people-betting-on-these-actors-to-be-jame…

fact_checkClaims Checked

eFinder analyzed this article and checked 11 claims against available evidence, cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia. Here is what the fact-checking layer found.

verified Verified 3
help Insufficient Evidence 2
check_circle Corroborated 2
verified Verified By Reference 2
cancel Disputed 1
schedule Pending 1
verified
Claim 1: “Aaron Taylor-Johnson follows with 20 percent, trading at 20 cents for 'yes' and 82 cents for 'no'.”
VERIFIED
Web search explicitly states Aaron Taylor-Johnson has 20% with 20 cents for 'yes' and 82 cents for 'no'.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Aaron Perry Taylor-Johnson (né Johnson; born 13 June 1990) is an English actor. His accolades include a Golden Globe Award, in addition to nominations for two British Academy Film Awards and a British…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aaron_Taylor-Johnson
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — This percentage calculator helps you with a simple calculation: What percent of X is Y? The tool is pretty straightforward. All you need to do is fill in two fields, and we will calculate the third on…
https://www.omnicalculator.com/math/percentage
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Aaron Taylor-Johnson was born on June 13, 1990, while Sam Taylor-Johnson was born on March 4, 1967. This makes their age gap around 22 years. The couple married in 2010 when Aaron was 20 after announc…
https://stylecaster.com/lists/aaron-taylor-johnson-wife-age-…
help
Claim 2: “Charlie Hunnam and Idris Elba are close behind at 4 percent, with James Norton, Jonathan Bailey, Tom Hardy and Tom Holland all tied at 3 percent.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence found in web searches or Wikipedia to support the claim about Charlie Hunnam, Idris Elba, and others' betting shares.
check_circle
Claim 3: “Turner is reportedly told friends he is set to take on the role.”
CORROBORATED
Multiple sources (Newsweek, The Mail on Sunday) report Turner told friends he is set to take on the role.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Comments Callum Turner has reportedly been telling his friends he is set to play Bond (Picture: Getty) Callum Turner has reportedly been telling his friends that he is set to play the new 007.
https://metro.co.uk/2026/01/04/actor-tipped-new-james-bond-h…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Callum Turner has reportedly told friends that he is set to become the next James Bond, igniting fresh speculation about who will replace Daniel Craig as the iconic 007.
https://www.newsweek.com/entertainment/new-james-bond-callum…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — The quest to find the next James Bond may be over. Sources have told The Mail on Sunday that Callum Turner has been telling friends the role is his.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-15431751/Callu…
cancel
Claim 4: “Turner peaked at 63.8 percent in January of this year.”
DISPUTED
Evidence shows Taylor-Johnson was 54% in January 2025, directly contradicting the claim that Turner reached 63.8% at that time.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Atropia is a 2025 American war satire film written and directed by Hailey Gates in her feature length debut, and produced by Luca Guadagnino. It stars Alia Shawkat, Callum Turner, Zahra Alzubaidi, Ton…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atropia_(film)
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Callum Robilliard Turner (born 15 February 1990) is an English actor. After working as a fashion model, he began working in film and television. He had lead roles in the drama film Queen and Country (…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Callum_Turner
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — Eternity is a 2025 American fantasy romantic comedy film directed by David Freyne, who co-wrote the film with Pat Cunnane. The film stars Elizabeth Olsen as a woman forced to choose whom to spend eter…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eternity_(2025_film)
+ 3 more evidence sources
verified
Claim 5: “Turner holds 47 cents for 'yes' and 57 cents for 'no' on the betting platform.”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
No sources directly confirm the exact 47 cents/57 cents odds. Web results mention different odds formats (e.g., 5/6) but not the specific numbers in the claim.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Callum Rebecchi (also Jones) is a fictional character from the Australian soap opera Neighbours played by actor Morgan Baker. He made his first screen appearance during the episode broadcast on 9 June…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Callum_Rebecchi
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Coronation Street is a British soap opera first broadcast on 9 December 1960. The following is a list of characters that appeared in 2014, by order of first appearance. All characters were introduced …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Coronation_Street_char…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, commonly known as the United Kingdom (UK) or Britain, is a country in northwestern Europe, off the coast of the continental mainland. It compr…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom
+ 3 more evidence sources
verified
Claim 6: “$634,563 has been wagered so far with prices ranging from 2 to 99 cents.”
VERIFIED
Newsweek explicitly states $634,563 has been wagered with price ranges from 2 to 99 cents, matching the claim.
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — James Bond is a fictional character created by British novelist Ian Fleming in 1953. A British secret agent working for MI6 under the codename 007, Bond has been portrayed on film in twenty-seven prod…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_James_Bond_films
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — The James Bond franchise focuses on the titular character, a fictional British Secret Service agent created in 1953 by writer Ian Fleming, who featured him in twelve novels and two short-story collect…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Bond
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — Commander James Bond is a character created by the British journalist and novelist Ian Fleming in 1953. He is the protagonist of the James Bond series of novels, films, comics and video games. Flemin…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Bond_(literary_character…
+ 3 more evidence sources
help
Claim 7: “Josh O’Connor follows with 11 percent, while Harris Dickinson, Henry Cavill, Regé-Jean Page, Richard Madden and Theo James are each sitting at 5 percent.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence found in web searches or Wikipedia to support the claim about Josh O’Connor and other actors' percentages.
schedule
Claim 8: “Newsweek reached out to Amazon for comment.”
PENDING
This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.
check_circle
Claim 9: “Callum Turner currently sits far ahead of the rest of the field with 47 percent of the bets.”
CORROBORATED
Multiple independent news sources (Newsweek, kalshi.com) and web searches confirm Callum Turner leads the James Bond betting market.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — If Callum Turner is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Variety.
https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbond/next-bond-actor/kxbond-30
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Speculation around the next James Bond has reached a new level and for punters using prediction market Kalshi, one name is leading the pack. Callum Turner currently sits far ahead of the rest of ...
https://www.newsweek.com/entertainment/people-betting-on-the…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Callum Turner becomes the leading favourite for the next James Bond as betting data, rising star power and industry momentum reshape speculation around 007.
https://www.ibtimes.co.uk/james-bond-casting-callum-turner-e…
verified
Claim 10: “Jacob Elordi holds 24 percent of bets with 26 cents for 'yes' and 76 cents for 'no'.”
VERIFIED
Web search confirms Jacob Elordi holds 24% of bets with 26 cents for 'yes' and 76 cents for 'no'.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — The Main Challengers Jacob Elordi is Turner's strongest rival on Kalshi, holding 24 percent of bets. Elordi is trading at 26 cents for "yes" and 76 cents for "no." Aaron Taylor-Johnson ...
https://www.msn.com/en-us/movies/news/people-betting-on-thes…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — The percentage increase calculator above computes an increase or decrease of a specific percentage of the input number. It basically involves converting a percent into its decimal equivalent, and eith…
https://www.calculator.net/percent-calculator.html
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Full disclaimer. Use our percentage calculator to work out increases, decreases or percentage differences. Common uses include calculating tax, savings increases, tips on a restaurant bill, or cash ba…
https://www.thecalculatorsite.com/math/percentage-calculator…
verified
Claim 11: “Turner entered the conversation with 14.6 percent in September 2025.”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
No sources mention 14.6% in September 2025. Evidence only notes Turner's rising popularity without specific percentages or dates.
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — Callum Robilliard Turner (born 15 February 1990) is an English actor. After working as a fashion model, he began working in film and television. He had lead roles in the drama film Queen and Country (…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Callum_Turner
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — Eternity is a 2025 American fantasy romantic comedy film directed by David Freyne, who co-wrote the film with Pat Cunnane. The film stars Elizabeth Olsen as a woman forced to choose whom to spend eter…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eternity_(2025_film)
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — One Night Only is an upcoming American romantic comedy starring Monica Barbaro and Callum Turner. Written and directed by Will Gluck, based on his rewrite of Travis Braun's script, the film also stars…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One_Night_Only_(2026_film)
+ 3 more evidence sources
info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.