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No more half measures on Iran's nuclear, missile programs | The Jerusalem Post

· 1030 words · By YOSSI KUPERWASSER
open_in_new Read the original article: https://www.jpost.com/opinion/article-893807

fact_checkFact-Check Results

19 claims extracted and verified against multiple sources including cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia.

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“When I was a member of the Israeli team that met with the Obama administration ahead of 2015 nuclear negotiations with Tehran, we warned the US team not to allow Iran to continue enriching uranium, since that would ultimately give rise to a nuclear crisis posing an existential danger to Israel and the West.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The provided evidence only contains general information about Israel and Iran relations (Wikipedia entries) but does not contain specific reports from multiple independent sources confirming the exact warning given by Israeli representatives to the Obama administration ahead of the 2015 negotiations. The evidence is insufficient to corroborate this specific historical claim.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Iran and Israel have not maintained a formal diplomatic relationship with each other since the Islamic Revolution in 1979. Beginning in the mid-1980s, the Iran–Israel proxy conflict has grown to large…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran–Israel_relations
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Israel, officially the State of Israel, is a country in the Southern Levant region of West Asia. It is bordered by Lebanon to the north, Syria to the northeast, Jordan to the east, and Egypt to the so…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Israel supported Iran during the Iran–Iraq War. Israel was one of the main suppliers of military equipment to Iran during the war. Israel also provided military instructors during the war, and in turn…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israeli_support_for_Iran_durin…
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“Instead, Washington and the five other world powers negotiating with Iran 11 years ago capitulated to demands that Tehran continue enriching uranium.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The web search results confirm the existence of the 2015 deal and the context of enrichment levels, but they do not independently corroborate the claim that the US and five other world powers 'capitulated' to demands allowing enrichment, nor do they provide multiple independent sources detailing this specific action.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The 2025–2026 Iranian protests are a series of nationwide demonstrations against the government of Iran that began on 28 December 2025 amid a deepening economic crisis. The unrest followed a sharp dep…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025–2026_Iranian_protests
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — On April 12, 2025, Iran and the United States began a series of negotiations aimed at reaching a nuclear peace agreement, following a letter from US president Donald Trump to Iranian supreme leader Al…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025–2026_Iran–United_States_n…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This timeline of the 2026 Iran war covers the period since 28 February 2026. The war is ongoing.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_2026_Iran_war
+ 3 more evidence sources
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“Even the minimal restrictions agreed to on paper were due to lapse by 2030, making the Iran nuclear deal less a solution to a foreseeable global threat than a safe path for Iran to develop a large arsenal of nuclear weapons.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The evidence provided for this claim consists of general web search results about the term 'minimal' and unrelated Wikipedia articles about the 2026 Iran war. There is no evidence in the provided set that confirms the specific detail that 'minimal restrictions agreed upon in the Iran nuclear deal were set to lapse by 2030.'
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — On 28 February 2026, the United States and Israel launched airstrikes on Iran targeting military and government sites and assassinating several Iranian officials, including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Iran_war
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Iran, officially the Islamic Republic of Iran, and also known as Persia, is a country in West Asia. It borders Iraq to the west, Turkey, Azerbaijan, and Armenia to the northwest, the Caspian Sea to th…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This timeline of the 2026 Iran war covers the period since 28 February 2026. The war is ongoing.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_2026_Iran_war
+ 3 more evidence sources
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“After the US pulled out of the deal in 2018, Iran accelerated the development of its military nuclear program, accumulating sufficient quantities of highly enriched uranium to produce fissile material for at least 10 nuclear bombs within months.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was gathered for this claim.
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“Iran also expedited its production rate of highly enriched uranium and began preparations for weaponizing it, at long last prompting the International Atomic Energy Agency to declare Iran in breach of its non-proliferation obligations.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The evidence provides general information about the AEOI and IAEA (Wikipedia), but none of the provided sources independently confirm the specific sequence of events: that Iran increased production AND that this *led* the IAEA to declare a breach. The evidence is insufficient for corroboration.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI) is the main Iranian government agency responsible for operating nuclear energy and nuclear fuel cycle installations in Iran. The AEOI is the primary organ…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atomic_Energy_Organization_of_…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) is an intergovernmental organization that seeks to promote the peaceful use of nuclear energy and to inhibit its use for any military purpose, including n…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Atomic_Energy_Ag…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Iran's nuclear program comprises a number of nuclear facilities, including nuclear reactors and various nuclear fuel cycle facilities.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_facilities_in_Iran
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“In addition to developing nuclear material, Iran has also increased its production of long-range ballistic missiles, which it used in the US-Israel war with Iran in March to attack civilian population centers, civilian infrastructure, and military bases across the Middle East.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The web search results provide general information about Iran's population and news updates, but none of the sources independently corroborate the specific claim that Iran used long-range ballistic missiles in a 'US-Israel war with Iran in March' to attack specific targets.
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web search NEUTRAL — 4 hours ago · Iran live updates: Iranian FM expected to return to Islamabad, travel to Russia Ongoing diplomacy centered on Pakistan is yet to achieve a breakthrough.
https://abcnews.com/International/live-updates/iran-live-upd…
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web search NEUTRAL — With a population of over 92 million, Iran ranks 17th globally in both geographic size and population. It is divided into five regions with 31 provinces. Tehran is the nation's capital, largest city, …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran
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web search NEUTRAL — 1 day ago · Stay on top of Iran latest developments on the ground with Al Jazeera’s fact-based news, exclusive video footage, photos and updated maps.
https://www.aljazeera.com/where/iran/
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“In addition to the damage the missiles can inflict on their own, they are also a critical component of Tehran’s nuclear program, as they are capable of delivering nuclear warheads to any target not only in the Middle East, but also to parts of western Europe, Asia, and Africa that lie within a 4,000-kilometer (2,500-mile) radius of Iran.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The web search results confirm that Iran possesses ballistic missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads, but they do not independently corroborate the specific technical detail regarding the 4,000-kilometer radius or the inclusion of Western Europe, Asia, and Africa in that specific context.
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web search NEUTRAL — Several of Iran's ballistic missiles have the range and payload capacity to carry a nuclear warhead, should Iran choose to develop one. This has drawn international concern and sanctions.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran's_ballistic-missile_progr…
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web search NEUTRAL — Iran’s nuclear program and missile arsenal have garnered increased international scrutiny.
https://www.cfr.org/articles/what-are-irans-nuclear-and-miss…
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web search NEUTRAL — In addition, Iran must not be allowed to produce long-range ballistic missiles that are capable of carrying nuclear warheads, and must reopen the Strait of Hormuz for free and unimpeded shipping.
https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/425965
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“The March war has made it extremely difficult for Tehran to move forward with its development of either nuclear weapons or long-range ballistic missiles, and at the same time, severely weakened Iranian military capabilities and the fanatic Iranian leadership.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The web search results mention the context of strikes and the ongoing crisis, but they do not provide multiple independent sources confirming that the 'March war' specifically caused the threefold outcome: hindering nuclear development, hindering missile development, AND weakening the military/leadership.
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web search NEUTRAL — Volume 18, Issue 4, March 10, 2026 U.S. President Donald Trump continues to allege, without evidence, that Iran's nuclear program posed an imminent threat to the United States, justifying his decision…
https://www.armscontrol.org/issue-briefs/2026-03/us-war-iran…
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web search NEUTRAL — As the violent escalation in the Middle East entered a third day on Monday sparked by the bombing of Iran by Israel and the United States, the head of the UN atomic energy agency urged a return to dip…
https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/03/1167064
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web search NEUTRAL — The slow-moving crisis around Iran's potential nuclear weapons ambitions is escalating in ways that could have far-reaching consequences—from an increased likelihood of further conflict to lasting dam…
https://carnegieendowment.org/emissary/2025/07/iran-nuclear-…
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“These goals were accomplished by striking not only nuclear facilities, which were the primary focus of the June 2025 war with Iran, but also by attacking the nuclear and ballistic missile supply chain: factories producing the explosives, the steel structure of the missiles, the navigation systems, and the fuses, along with many launch sites.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was gathered for this claim.
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“Many Iranian military command posts and bases were hit, as were many IRGC leaders, who were replaced by progressively weaker and less experienced figures lower down in the hierarchy.”
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No evidence was gathered for this claim.
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“In addition, the Iranian air force and navy, along with its air defenses, were severely impaired.”
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“Iran must give up its military nuclear program and deliver to the US the 450 kilograms of highly enriched uranium the Iranians already have, as well as the uranium enriched at lower levels, and guarantee that they will not enrich more uranium in the country.”
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“In addition, Iran must not be allowed to produce long-range ballistic missiles that are capable of carrying nuclear warheads, and must reopen the Strait of Hormuz for free and unimpeded shipping.”
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“Finally, any negotiation with Tehran must ensure that Iran is no longer able to continue supporting its terror proxies, including Hamas in Gaza, the Houthis in Yemen, and Hezbollah in Lebanon, which joined Iran in attacking Israeli civilians and is infringing on the Lebanese government’s sovereignty over the use of force in its own country.”
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“Iran has maintained the capability to launch missiles and drones towards Israel and the Gulf states throughout the war, has deterred Iranian civilians from renewing the protests that left thousands massacred by the IRGC earlier this year, has closed the Strait of Hormuz, and has coordinated missile attacks with its proxies.”
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“The failure of the first round of talks has already prompted the Trump administration to announce a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, to pressure the regime without causing lasting damage to Iran’s infrastructure.”
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“In addition, it’s still possible that the US and Israel will carry out their threat to hit Iranian power plants and oil facilities, and if this does not work, then boots on the ground may be needed to achieve what air strikes alone cannot.”
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“The writer, a retired Israeli brigadier-general, leads the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security.”
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“He is a former head of the research division of the IDF Military Intelligence Directorate and director-general of the Strategic Affairs Ministry.”
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info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.