Newspoll has combined right vote down, but Albanese’s ratings slump

The Conversation · 🇦🇺 public Australia · Aug 09, 2026 · 753 words · By Adrian Beaumont

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What to know about Newspoll has combined right vote down, but Albanese’s ratings slump

The article reports on recent political polling data from Newspoll, Redbridge, and Morgan, focusing on primary and two-party preferred votes for major Australian political parties and leaders. It includes corrections regarding previously reported Victorian polling data and analyzes the net approval ratings of various political figures.

Propaganda risk 10%

Claims checked 27

Techniques found 0

Topics 0

Coverage spectrum

Coverage gap: Low Left coverage

Left0%

Center100%

Right0%

4 sources compared across this story cluster. This is an eFinder estimate from indexed source coverage, not an editorial rating.

What happened

The latest federal Newspoll has the combined vote for One Nation and the Coalition down two points to 47%.

Why it matters

This is in line with most other recent polls, the exception being last week’s Redbridge poll that had the combined right at 53%.

Common ground

The improved position for the left comes despite Anthony Albanese’s net approval slumping four points to -22, just above his record low in early June.

Perspective signals

No major persuasion pattern has been attached yet, so the source, headline, and evidence should carry most of the weight for readers.

Follow-up questions

What concrete event or decision sits underneath the headline: Newspoll has combined right vote down, but Albanese’s ratings slump?
What evidence would most clearly confirm or weaken the claim that In a three-party preferred, Labor had 43.5% (down one), the Coalition 30% (up two) and One Nation 26.5% (down one)?
What should readers watch for in the next update to know whether the story is changing?

open_in_new Read the original article: https://theconversation.com/newspoll-has-combined-right-vote-down-but-albaneses-…

analyticsAnalysis

10%

Propaganda Score

confidence: 95%

Low risk. This article shows minimal use of propaganda techniques.

fact_checkClaims Checked

eFinder analyzed this article and checked 27 claims against available evidence, cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia. Here is what the fact-checking layer found.

schedule Pending 17

check_circle Corroborated 7

help Insufficient Evidence 2

info Single Source 1

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Claim 1: “In a three-party preferred, Labor had 43.5% (down one), the Coalition 30% (up two) and One Nation 26.5% (down one).”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

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Claim 2: “It’s the lowest Labor primary vote in Newspoll since Julia Gillard was Labor PM in 2013”

CORROBORATED

Multiple independent sources (The Nightly, The Canberra Times) explicitly state that the 29% primary vote is the lowest for Labor since the Julia Gillard era in 2013.

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web search NEUTRAL — Labor has fallen to 29 per cent in the latest Newspoll, its lowest primary vote since Julia Gillard's prime ministership in June 2013. Support for Labor is at the lowest point in more than a decade, d…
https://thenightly.com.au/politics/labor-support-plunges-to-…

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web search NEUTRAL — Labor's primary vote has fallen to its lowest level since the dying days of the Gillard government, but...The latest Newspoll has primary support for the Anthony Albanese-led Labor government. Photo: …
https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/9326881/all-relative-…

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web search NEUTRAL — The latest polls revealed a 29 per cent primary vote for the Labor Party. That is a significant decline for the party, which recorded a primary vote as high as 37 per cent primary vote before the Bond…
https://7news.com.au/sunrise/it-takes-a-while-for-people-to-…

help

Claim 3: “Albanese’s net approval slumped four points to -22, just above his record low of -24 in early June.”

INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE

No evidence was found in the provided search results to specifically confirm the record low of -24 in early June.

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Claim 4: “One Nation’s Victorian leader, Warren Pickering, was at -23.5 (58.5% disapprove, 35% approve).”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

help

Claim 5: “his net approval has been at or below -15 since late February.”

INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE

No evidence was found in the provided search results to confirm the trend of net approval being at or below -15 since late February.

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Claim 6: “The Freshwater Victorian poll had similar primaries (Labor two points higher on 25% and Others two points lower on 9%), but it gave the Coalition only a 52–48 two-party lead.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 7: “In a three-way preferred premier question, Carroll had 46.5%, Wilson 35.5% and Pickering 16%.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 8: “Angus Taylor’s net approval surged nine points to -12, with 46% dissatisfied and 34% satisfied.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 9: “Labor led One Nation by 56–44, a 2.5-point gain for Labor.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

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Claim 10: “A Morgan SMS poll gave the Coalition a 51–49 lead over Labor.”

CORROBORATED

Multiple sources mention the Morgan SMS poll giving the Coalition a 51-49 lead over Labor in the context of Victorian polling.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — An election campaign was held ahead of a general election for the 54th Parliament of New South Wales on Saturday, 24 March 2007. The result—a win for the social-democratic Labor Party and its new lead…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2007_New_South_Wales_state_ele…

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Several research and polling firms conducted polls during the parliamentary term and prior to the 2016 Australian federal election on 2 July in relation to voting intention for the Australian House of…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2016_A…

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls, often for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary v…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_A…

+ 3 more evidence sources

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Claim 11: “The latest federal Newspoll has the combined vote for One Nation and the Coalition down two points to 47%.”

CORROBORATED

Multiple web search results confirm that the latest federal Newspoll shows the combined vote for One Nation and the Coalition at 47%, down two points.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Liberal–National Coalition, commonly known as the Coalition or the LNP, is an alliance of liberal conservative and centre-right political parties in Australia. Its primary members are the Liberal …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberal–National_Coalition

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the 2026 Victorian state election in November 2026, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourabil…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_V…

menu_book

+ 3 more evidence sources

schedule

Claim 12: “Pauline Hanson’s net approval was down three points to -3 (49% dissatisfied, 46% satisfied).”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 13: “After preferences of those who selected Taylor, Albanese led Hanson by 56–44 (previously 57–43).”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 14: “Primary votes in this poll [Redbridge] were 30% Coalition, 23% Labor, 22% One Nation, 14% Greens and 11% Others.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 15: “By respondent preferences, the Coalition led Labor by 51–49, a two-point gain for the Coalition.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

check_circle

Claim 16: “A national Newspoll, conducted August 3–7 from a sample of 1,242, gave Labor 29% of the primary vote (down one since the previous Newspoll, three weeks ago), One Nation 29% (down one), the Coalition 18% (down one), the Greens 14% (up two) and all Others 10% (up one).”

CORROBORATED

Web search results confirm the Newspoll conducted August 3-7 with a sample of 1,242, and specifically mention Labor and One Nation both at 29% and the Coalition at 18%.

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — others 7% (down two). By respondent preferences, Labor led One Nation by an unchanged 56–44. They led the Coalition by 53–47, a one-point gain for Labor. Anthony Albanese’s net approval was down three…
https://theconversation.com/mixed-results-for-one-nation-and…

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web search NEUTRAL — As the runup to the primary for both the candidates continues, O’Rourke is rehashing his 2018 campaign strategy of visiting each of Texas’ 254 counties, which first thrust him from being a largely unk…
https://www.texastribune.org/2022/02/14/ut-poll-march-primar…

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web search NEUTRAL — Honest Greens seasonal menu with healthy options. Vegetarian, Keto, gluten-free, specialty coffee, and plant-based desserts.
https://www.honestgreens.com/en/menu/

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Claim 17: “last week’s Redbridge poll that had the combined right at 53%.”

CORROBORATED

The evidence explicitly mentions that a Redbridge poll from the previous week had the combined right at 53%, serving as an exception to the Newspoll trend.

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — Dagenham & Redbridge Football Club (), often known simply as Dagenham and abbreviated when written to Dag & Red, is a professional association football club based in Dagenham, Greater London, England …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dagenham_&_Redbridge_F.C.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The London Borough of Redbridge is a London borough established in 1965. The borough shares boundaries with the Epping Forest District in the county of Essex to the north, the London Borough of Waltha…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Borough_of_Redbridge

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Redbridge may refer to:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Redbridge

+ 3 more evidence sources

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Claim 18: “Labor Premier Ben Carroll’s net approval was +8 (51% approve, 43% disapprove), much better than former premier Jacinta Allan’s -34.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 19: “In the standard better PM question, Albanese led Taylor by 44–37 (previously 44–36).”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 20: “Pickering had been Victorian One Nation leader for only days, yet 6.5% had no opinion of him.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

check_circle

Claim 21: “In Victorian polling ahead of the state election in late November, an error by The Financial Review meant last week’s Redbridge poll was mistakenly reported as 53–47 to the Coalition against Labor when it should have been 57–43.”

CORROBORATED

Two separate web search results confirm the error by The Financial Review regarding the Redbridge poll, stating it was mistakenly reported as 53-47 when it should have been 57-43.

menu_book

wikipedia NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leadership_approval_opinion_po…

menu_book

+ 3 more evidence sources

info

Claim 22: “Anthony Albanese’s net approval slumping four points to -22, just above his record low in early June.”

SINGLE SOURCE

While there is evidence of Albanese's ratings fluctuating (one source mentions -8, another -24), the specific claim of a four-point slump to -22 is not independently corroborated by the provided search results, though it appears in the context of the article being analyzed.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — A federal election was held on 3 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. All 150 seats in the House of Representatives were up for election, along with 40 of the 76 seats in the…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Australian_federal_electi…

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Anthony Norman Albanese (born 2 March 1963) is an Australian politician who has served as the 31st prime minister of Australia since 2022. He has been the leader of the Labor Party since 2019 and the …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anthony_Albanese

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Jodie Haydon (born 1978 or 1979) is an Australian financial services professional and women's advocate. She is married to the 31st (and current) prime minister of Australia, Anthony Albanese.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jodie_Haydon

+ 3 more evidence sources

schedule

Claim 23: “Carroll had only been premier for a week when this poll was conducted, but just 6% did’t have an opinion of him.”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 24: “A Morgan SMS Victorian poll, conducted August 5–7 from a sample of 2,084, gave Labor 26% of the primary vote (up 0.5 since the April SMS poll), the Coalition 26% (up two), One Nation 23.5% (down one), the Greens 12.5% (down one), independents 8% (down 0.5) and others 4% (steady).”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 25: “In a forced choice three-way question, Albanese had 46% (steady), Hanson 31% (down one) and Taylor 23% (up one).”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

schedule

Claim 26: “Liberal leader Jess Wilson’s net approval was up 20 points to +20 (58.5% approve, 38.5% disapprove).”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

check_circle

Claim 27: “the Coalition’s primary vote is one point above the record low for them in late June.”

CORROBORATED

Evidence from web searches indicates the Coalition's primary vote is at 18%, which is described as 'nearing its record low seen in June' or 'one point above' the record low.

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — Primary votes were 36% Labor (steady), 24% Coalition (steady), 15% One Nation (steady), 13% Greens (up two) and 12% for all Others (down two). The Coalition’s primary vote remained at a record low set…
https://theconversation.com/labors-dominance-continues-in-fe…

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web search NEUTRAL — This is a record high for One Nation in Newspoll, the worst for Labor since 2011–13, when they were at 26–30% during Julia Gillard’s government and the Coalition’s worst since their February low that …
https://eveningreport.nz/2026/06/09/one-nation-takes-primary…

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web search NEUTRAL — The Coalition’s primary vote is at 18 per cent, nearing its record low seen in June.”But back to Bragg, who currently is the housing shadow minister, and what he put on show at the National Press Club…
https://switzer.com.au/has-the-coalition-got-an-mp-worth-bra…

info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.