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New 2028 presidential election poll released — and it’s terrible news for Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris

Nypost · · 381 words · By Zain Khan
2028 Presidential Election Polling Democratic Party Internal Competition Republican Party Internal Competition
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What to know about 2028 Presidential Election Polling

New 2028 presidential election poll released — and it’s terrible news for Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris See more of our coverage in your search results.

Claims checked 9
Techniques found 1
Topics 3

Coverage spectrum

Coverage gap: Low Left coverage
Left0%
Center83%
Right17%

6 sources compared across this story cluster. This is an eFinder estimate from indexed source coverage, not an editorial rating.

What happened

New 2028 presidential election poll released — and it’s terrible news for Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris See more of our coverage in your search results.

Why it matters

Add The California Post on GoogleThe Democrats have already taken a hit in the polls even two years before the 2028 presidential election.

Common ground

Secretary of State Marco Rubio has gained significant support compared to the previous poll and is now virtually tied with presumptive GOP nominee JD Vance at 35%, according to the Emerson College poll.

Perspective signals

The tension in the story is sharpened by Loaded Language: language that can make the dispute feel more urgent, personal, or adversarial than the underlying facts alone.

open_in_new Read the original article: https://nypost.com/2026/05/28/us-news/new-2028-presidential-election-poll-releas…

psychologyPropaganda Techniques Detected

eFinder identified 1 propaganda technique in this article. These signals explain how wording, emphasis, or missing context can shape a reader's interpretation.

warning
Loaded Language 90% confidence
Using words with strong emotional connotations to influence an audience.
Found in this article: eFinder flagged this technique because the story's framing or source language may guide readers toward a particular interpretation. Review the claim checks and evidence below to separate what is directly supported from what is implied by wording or emphasis.
Why it matters: Recognizing loaded language helps readers compare the article's framing with the underlying facts and with coverage from other sources.

fact_checkClaims Checked

eFinder analyzed this article and checked 9 claims against available evidence, cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia. Here is what the fact-checking layer found.

check_circle Corroborated 5
info Single Source 4
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Claim 1: “Rubio... picked up significant support, rising from just 20%.”
CORROBORATED
Evidence from May 28, 2026, confirms Rubio's support rose to 35% from 20% in the February poll.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Jeanette Christina Dousdebes Rubio (née Dousdebes; born December 5, 1973) is an American former professional cheerleader. She is married to United States Secretary of State and former senator Marco Ru…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeanette_Dousdebes_Rubio
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Marco Antonio Rubio (, ROO-bee-oh; born May 28, 1971) is an American politician, attorney, and diplomat serving since 2025 as the 72nd United States secretary of state. He is also the acting national …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marco_Rubio
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Marco Rubio, then the junior United States senator from Florida, formally announced his 2016 presidential campaign on April 13, 2015, at the Freedom Tower in Downtown Miami. Early polling showed Rubio…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marco_Rubio_2016_presidential_…
+ 3 more evidence sources
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Claim 2: “Secretary of State Marco Rubio has gained significant support compared to the previous poll and is now virtually tied with presumptive GOP nominee JD Vance at 35%, according to the Emerson College poll.”
CORROBORATED
Multiple independent web search results from May 28, 2026, confirm that an Emerson College poll shows JD Vance and Marco Rubio virtually tied (separated by one point) for the 2028 primary, with Rubio at 35%.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The 2026 United States Senate special election in Florida is expected to be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida, to finish the las…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_spec…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of t…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2024 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are decl…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_…
+ 3 more evidence sources
info
Claim 3: “other candidates included Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, Senators Ted Cruz and Robert F. Kennedy Jr., all of whom polled significantly behind Rubio and Vance at below 5%.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The evidence confirms these individuals are in the 2028 hypothetical pool, but the specific 'below 5%' figure for this specific May poll is not explicitly detailed in the snippets provided.
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web search NEUTRAL — May 28, 2026 · The poll shows Vance with 36% support, down from 52% in a February national poll, compared to Rubio's 35%, up from 20% in the February poll.
https://www.facebook.com/59News/posts/the-poll-shows-vance-w…
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web search NEUTRAL — May 30, 2026 · A new poll on the 2028 presidential race is a massive downer for Republican and Democratic frontrunners alike. A new survey from Emerson ...
https://www.silive.com/politics/2026/05/new-2028-poll-a-mass…
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web search NEUTRAL — Jun 27, 2025 · ... Emerson College 2028 Hypothetical Republican Primary survey are included below: JD Vance- 46%; Marco Rubio- 12%; Ron DeSantis- 9%; Robert F.
https://kool108.iheart.com/content/2025-06-27-overwhelming-f…
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Claim 4: “While the vice president maintains a one-point lead, with 36% of voters likely to support him as the Republican nominee, he appears to have lost more than 15 points in support after polling at 52% in February of this year.”
CORROBORATED
A Facebook post and other web search results from May 28, 2026, explicitly state that Vance has 36% support, down from 52% in a February national poll.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Republican Party, also known as the Grand Old Party (GOP), is a right-wing to far-right political party in the United States. It emerged as the main rival of the Democratic Party in the 1850s, and…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republican_Party_(United_State…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Republican is a newspaper based in Springfield, Massachusetts, covering news in the Greater Springfield area, as well as national news and pieces from Boston, Worcester and northern Connecticut. …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Republican_(Springfield,_M…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Twelve presidential debates and nine forums were held between the candidates for the Republican Party's nomination for president in the 2016 United States presidential election, starting on August 6, …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Republican_Party_presiden…
+ 3 more evidence sources
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Claim 5: “Backing for Democratic contenders waned overall, with no candidate receiving more than 20% support in a crowded field that included Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris.”
CORROBORATED
Web search results from May 28, 2026, confirm that no Democratic candidate received more than 20% support, with Pete Buttigieg leading at 18%.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The 2024 United States presidential election in Maryland took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia parti…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidentia…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. Those named in the polls were declared candidat…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Ralph Waldo Emerson (May 25, 1803 – April 27, 1882), who went by his middle name Waldo, was an American essayist, lecturer, philosopher, minister, abolitionist, and poet who led the Transcendentalist …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ralph_Waldo_Emerson
+ 3 more evidence sources
info
Claim 6: “The new poll found Newsom dropped four points from 20% in February, while Harris fell three points from 13%.”
SINGLE SOURCE
While the general trend of a 'muddled race' for Democrats is mentioned in multiple sources, the specific point drops for Newsom (20% to 16%) and Harris (13% to 10%) are not explicitly detailed in the provided evidence snippets, though the context of the poll is corroborated.
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web search NEUTRAL — Aug 20, 2025 · Buttigieg led in that survey, with 19 percent support.” Poll: California Democrats like Gavin Newsom over Kamala Harris in 2028.
https://www.facebook.com/groups/595142717910172/posts/198404…
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web search NEUTRAL — Sep 10, 2025 · California Governor Gavin Newsom has some early support for the 2028 Democratic primary, but his lead is small. Polls show him ahead in two ...
https://www.facebook.com/Timesnow/posts/california-governor-…
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web search NEUTRAL — Mar 20, 2026 · Gov. Gavin Newsom would have an edge as the next Democratic nominee for president if California Democratic voters had the final say now, ...
https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2026-03-20/newsom-l…
info
Claim 7: “Similarly, on the liberal bloc, Illinois Governor J. B. Pritzker and Silicon Valley Representative Ro Khanna polled at or below 5%.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The evidence confirms the existence of the poll and the candidates, but the specific 'at or below 5%' figure for Pritzker and Khanna is not explicitly detailed in the snippets.
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web search NEUTRAL — This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2028 United States presidential election.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for…
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web search NEUTRAL — May 28, 2026 ... A May 24-25 survey from Emerson College Polling shows former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg leading the prospective race with 18% ...
https://www.dailysignal.com/2026/05/28/democrat-presidential…
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web search NEUTRAL — May 28, 2026 ... Backing for Democratic contenders waned overall, with no candidate receiving more than 20% support in a crowded field that included Gavin ...
https://nypost.com/2026/05/28/us-news/new-2028-presidential-…
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Claim 8: “The poll was conducted May 24–25 and surveyed 1,000 likely voters.”
CORROBORATED
A web search result explicitly mentions a 'May 24-25 survey from Emerson College Polling'. While the sample size of 1,000 is not explicitly in the snippet, the dates are confirmed by multiple sources.
info
Claim 9: “Governors Josh Shapiro and Andy Beshear also saw slight increases, rising from 7% to 10% and from 5% to 9%, respectively.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The provided evidence confirms the existence of the poll and the candidates, but the specific percentage increases for Shapiro and Beshear are not explicitly listed in the snippets.
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web search NEUTRAL — Apr 2, 2026 · Josh Shapiro will probably spending that on his law suit and photo opped. 4w · 2 likes.
https://www.facebook.com/triblive/posts/pennsylvania-gov-jos…
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web search NEUTRAL — Aug 29, 2025 · Democratic primary voters now see California Gov. Gavin Newsom as their top choice for president in 2028, according to a new poll.
https://www.masslive.com/politics/2025/08/new-poll-finds-thi…
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web search NEUTRAL — May 30, 2026 · Gavin Newsom and former Vice President Kamala Harris. The survey showed a muddled race for the Democrats, with no party member garnering more ...
https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/2028-poll-massi…
info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.