Josh Brown calls a breakout in this insurance stock that has been going sideways for a year

Cnbc · May 14, 2026 · 717 words · By Josh Brown; Sean Russo; Joshua Brown

Technical Analysis Stock Market Analysis Insurance Industry Profitability

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What to know about Technical Analysis

(This is The Best Stocks in the Market , brought to you by Josh Brown and Sean Russo of Ritholtz Wealth Management.) Josh — Pure and simple, Allstate (ALL) is a breakout in progress.

Claims checked 14

Techniques found 2

Topics 3

Coverage spectrum

Coverage gap: Low Left coverage

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Center100%

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1 source compared across this story cluster. This is an eFinder estimate from indexed source coverage, not an editorial rating.

What happened

(This is The Best Stocks in the Market , brought to you by Josh Brown and Sean Russo of Ritholtz Wealth Management.) Josh — Pure and simple, Allstate (ALL) is a breakout in progress.

Why it matters

After a long period of consolidation, we're now seeing price challenging the upper end of the range, which I will describe below after Sean tells you the story.

Common ground

Yes, we're in a market being led by the AI capex boom.

Perspective signals

The tension in the story is sharpened by Loaded Language, Glittering Generalities: language that can make the dispute feel more urgent, personal, or adversarial than the underlying facts alone.

Follow-up questions

What new context would change how readers understand this Technical Analysis story?
What evidence would most clearly confirm or weaken the claim that The stock broke out of that long consolidation range in late Q1 2026 and pushed into the $220 area?
How does this story connect Technical Analysis with Stock Market Analysis over the next few days?

open_in_new Read the original article: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/14/josh-brown-calls-a-breakout-in-this-insurance-st…

psychologyPropaganda Techniques Detected

eFinder identified 2 propaganda techniques in this article. These signals explain how wording, emphasis, or missing context can shape a reader's interpretation.

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Loaded Language 80% confidence

Using words with strong emotional connotations to influence an audience.

Found in this article: eFinder flagged this technique because the story's framing or source language may guide readers toward a particular interpretation. Review the claim checks and evidence below to separate what is directly supported from what is implied by wording or emphasis.

Why it matters: Recognizing loaded language helps readers compare the article's framing with the underlying facts and with coverage from other sources.

warning

Glittering Generalities 70% confidence

Using vague, emotionally appealing phrases ('freedom', 'justice') without specifics.

Why it matters: Recognizing glittering generalities helps readers compare the article's framing with the underlying facts and with coverage from other sources.

fact_checkClaims Checked

eFinder analyzed this article and checked 14 claims against available evidence, cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia. Here is what the fact-checking layer found.

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verified Verified By Reference 4

help Insufficient Evidence 3

info Single Source 3

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Claim 1: “The stock broke out of that long consolidation range in late Q1 2026 and pushed into the $220 area”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

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Claim 2: “ALL spent the better part of last year going nowhere, grinding between $190 and $205”

INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE

No evidence was found after searching for this claim.

verified

Claim 3: “property-liability insurance (auto and home), which generated $14.8B in earned premiums in Q1 2026”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

The evidence provided mentions Q2 and Q3 results (e.g., $15.36B in Q3), but there is no mention of Q1 2026 specifically or the $14.8B figure for that period.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Rosemont is a village in Cook County, Illinois, United States, located immediately northwest of Chicago. As of the 2020 census, the village had a population of 3,952. The village was incorporated in 1…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rosemont,_Illinois

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Allianz SE ( AL-ee-ənts; German: [aˈli̯ants] ) is a German multinational financial services company headquartered in Munich, Germany. Its core businesses are insurance and asset management. Allianz is…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allianz

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This list of Internet top-level domains (TLD) contains top-level domains, which are those domains in the DNS root zone of the Domain Name System of the Internet. A list of the top-level domains by th…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Internet_top-level_dom…

+ 3 more evidence sources

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Claim 4: “Allstate is also growing its policy base to 212 million”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

No evidence provided mentions the specific number of policies (212 million) in Allstate's policy base.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The 2025 Alabama Crimson Tide football team represented the University of Alabama during the 2025 NCAA Division I FBS football season. The season was the Crimson Tide's 131st overall season, and 92nd …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Alabama_Crimson_Tide_foot…

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This page documents all tornadoes confirmed by various weather forecast offices of the National Weather Service in the United States in July and August 2023. Tornado counts are considered preliminary …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_tornadoe…

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+ 3 more evidence sources

info

Claim 5: “meaningful rate increases (7.2% passed on to homeowners)”

SINGLE SOURCE

While Morningstar mentions Allstate has been 'increasing prices on many of its policies,' there is no specific mention of a 7.2% rate increase for homeowners in the provided evidence.

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — Get an online insurance quote for quality coverage in the blink of an eye. Allstate offers insurance for your car, home, rental, motorcycle and more.
https://www.allstate.com/

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web search NEUTRAL — An Allstate agency in Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada Allstate in Toronto The Allstate Corporation is an American insurance company, headquartered in Glenview, Illinois (with a Northbrook, Illinois add…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allstate

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web search NEUTRAL — Allstate My Account application to manage existing Allstate policies online. Pay bills, file a claim, get ID cards, make policy changes and more.
https://myaccountrwd.allstate.com/anon/account/login

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Claim 6: “the 50-day at $211”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

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Claim 7: “Both the dividend (2% yield) and their buyback program are big components of their total return.”

INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE

The claim states a 2% dividend yield, but MarketBeat explicitly reports the current dividend yield for Allstate (NYSE:ALL) as 2.71%.

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web search NEUTRAL — The current dividend yield for Allstate (NYSE:ALL) is 2.71%.
https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NYSE/ALL/dividend/

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web search NEUTRAL — S&P 500 Dividend Yield chart, historic, and current data. Current S&P 500 Dividend Yield is 1.07%, a change of +0.34 bps from previous market close.
https://www.multpl.com/s-p-500-dividend-yield

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web search NEUTRAL — Last Dividend per share. $0.7800. Forward Dividend yield.Yes, MMM's past year earnings per share was $5.22, and their annual dividend per share is $2.97. MMM's dividend payout ratio is 56.9%, which is…
https://www.wallstreetzen.com/stocks/us/nyse/mmm/dividends

verified

Claim 8: “The stock has made 17 new all time highs this year.”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

Web search results provide links to stock price trackers and analysis, but none of the provided snippets confirm that the stock hit 17 new all-time highs this year.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Allstate Corporation is an American insurance company, headquartered in Glenview, Illinois (with a Northbrook, Illinois address) since 2022. Founded in 1931 as part of Sears, Roebuck and Co., it w…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allstate

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Allstate Arena is a multi-purpose arena in Rosemont, Illinois, United States, northwest of Chicago, located at the corner of Mannheim Road and Lunt Avenue, just north of Mannheim Road's interchange wi…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allstate_Arena

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Dennis Dexter Haysbert (born June 2, 1954) is an American actor and voice actor. He is known for his roles as President David Palmer on the first five seasons of 24, baseball player Pedro Cerrano in …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dennis_Haysbert

+ 3 more evidence sources

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Claim 9: “RSI at 52”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

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Claim 10: “leading to net investment income growth of 10% year over year”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

The evidence contains general definitions of Year over Year growth and investment calculators, but no specific financial data regarding Allstate's net investment income growth of 10%.

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+ 3 more evidence sources

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Claim 11: “In total, Allstate returned $881 million to shareholders in Q1 2026 through a combination of dividends and share repurchases”

SINGLE SOURCE

No evidence provided mentions the specific amount of $881 million returned to shareholders in Q1 2026.

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — Get an online insurance quote for quality coverage in the blink of an eye. Allstate offers insurance for your car, home, rental, motorcycle and more.
https://www.allstate.com/

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web search NEUTRAL — Nov 10, 2023 · We do more than provide insurance — we give people peace of mind and the confidence to embrace today while being ready for whatever comes next.
https://www.allstatecorporation.com/

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Claim 12: “the 200-day at $206”

PENDING

This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.

help

Claim 13: “common shares down 3% year over year to start 2026”

INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE

No evidence was found after searching for this claim.

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Claim 14: “In total return, the stock is up 28% the past year and 87% the past three years (23% annualized).”

SINGLE SOURCE

The evidence discusses general revenue expectations and 3-year average total asset growth, but does not provide the specific total return percentages (28% and 87%) for the stock.

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web search NEUTRAL — Allstate Total Revenue.Allstate has a history of exceeding Wall Street’s expectations, beating revenue estimates every single time over the past two years by 2% on average.
https://markets.financialcontent.com/stocks/article/stocksto…

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web search NEUTRAL — During the past 13 years, Allstate's highest 3-Year average Total Assets Growth Rate was 10.40%.
https://www.gurufocus.com/term/Total+Assets/ALL/Total-Assets…

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web search NEUTRAL — made an average return of 8.19% per year over the last 20 years.
https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/042415/what-average…

info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.