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Iran war: Strait of Hormuz shutdown could spark food crisis

Deutsche Welle · · 1110 words · By Nik Martin
open_in_new Read the original article: https://www.dw.com/en/iran-us-israel-war-food-crisis-prices-fertilizer-energy-co…

fact_checkFact-Check Results

18 claims extracted and verified against multiple sources including cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia.

schedule Pending 8
help Insufficient Evidence 6
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“The Strait of Hormuz carries around a fifth of global crude and LNG exports from the Gulf to the rest of the world.”
CORROBORATED
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Strait of Hormuz, a major maritime choke point for global energy trade, has experienced ongoing geopolitical and economic disruption since 28 February 2026, following joint military strikes by the…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Strait_of_Hormuz_crisis
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — QatarEnergy LNG, formerly Qatargas, is the world's largest liquefied natural gas (LNG) company. It produces and supplies the globe with 77 million metric tonnes of LNG annually from across its seven v…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/QatarEnergy_LNG
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Strait of Hormuz () is a waterway between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman. On the north coast lies Iran, and on the south coast lies the Musandam Peninsula, shared by the United Arab Emirate…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strait_of_Hormuz
+ 1 more evidence source
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“Gulf nations account for 20% of global traded volumes of key fertilizers such as ammonia, phosphates and sulfur.”
CORROBORATED
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — A bay is a recessed, coastal body of water that directly connects to a larger main body of water, such as an ocean, a lake, or another bay. A large bay is usually called a gulf, sea, sound, or bight. …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bay
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Gulf War was an armed conflict between Iraq and a 42-country coalition led by the United States. The coalition's efforts were in two phases: Operation Desert Shield, which marked the military buil…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gulf_War
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Persian Gulf, sometimes called the Arabian Gulf, is a mediterranean sea in West Asia. The body of water is an extension of the Arabian Sea and the larger Indian Ocean located between the Arabian P…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Persian_Gulf
+ 1 more evidence source
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“Nearly half the world's traded urea comes from the Gulf region, with Qatar accounting for one-tenth of the global supply.”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Qatar, officially the State of Qatar, is a country in West Asia. It occupies the Qatar Peninsula on the northeastern coast of the Arabian Peninsula in the Middle East; it shares its sole land border w…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qatar
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Qatar diplomatic crisis was a high-profile deterioration of relations between Qatar and the Arab League between 2017 and 2021. It began when Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Eg…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qatar_diplomatic_crisis
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf (Arabic: مَجلِس التَّعَاوُن لِدُوَلِ الْخَلِيْجِ الْعَرَبِيَّة), also known as the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC; Arabic: مجلس التعاون الخليجي),…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gulf_Cooperation_Council
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“When QatarEnergy halted production after Iranian strikes on Ras Laffan, hundreds of thousands of tons of key fertilizer nutrients and precursors were sidelined.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
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“The compounding effects of the Iran war threaten the third major risk to global food security in six years, after the COVID-19 pandemic and Moscow's seizure of farmland and ports used to export Ukrainian grain.”
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cross reference SUPPORTS — The compounding effects of the Iran war threaten the third major risk to global food security in six years.
https://www.dw.com/en/iran-us-israel-war-food-crisis-prices-…
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“Fertilizer prices have risen 10 to 30% since the latest conflict began, although they're still some 40% lower than in the weeks after Russian tanks rolled into Ukraine.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
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“About 1.33 million tons of fertilizer are exported through Hormuz every month, and a 30-day closure could trigger shortages.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
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“Joseph Glauber stated that higher fertilizer prices will affect crop choice and reduce fertilizer use in poorer countries.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
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“Iran fired on at least three vessels in or near Hormuz, according to the United Kingdom's Maritime Trade Operations.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
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“A prolonged disruption of Hormuz could significantly tighten fertilizer availability in regions like Brazil, India, and parts of the EU.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
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“China has imposed import restrictions on phosphate and nitrogen fertilizers but may be pressured to relax them.”
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“Brent crude prices remain around $100, with US West Coast diesel prices surging to $4.69 per gallon.”
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“International Monetary Fund Chief Kristalina Georgieva warned that sustained energy price increases could add 0.4 percentage points to global inflation.”
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“India relies on the Gulf for up to two-thirds of its nitrogen fertilizer imports, with a shortage threatening the monsoon planting season.”
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“Brazil depends on Gulf-sourced urea for 40% of its nitrogen needs, with disruptions threatening soy and maize yields.”
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“Sub-Saharan Africa faces heightened risk due to low fertilizer use rates and price sensitivity, potentially worsening hunger.”
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“Iran's inflation was over 40% before the conflict, with food prices rising further due to disruptions.”
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“Gulf states import 80-90% of their food and rely on Hormuz for inbound shipments, with prolonged closures risking strategic reserve depletion.”
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info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.