Iran war: Strait of Hormuz shutdown could spark food crisis
Fact-Check Results
“The Strait of Hormuz carries around a fifth of global crude and LNG exports from the Gulf to the rest of the world.”
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INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
— No relevant evidence found in archive to verify or refute the claim about Hormuz carrying 20% of global exports.
“Gulf nations account for 20% of global traded volumes of key fertilizers such as ammonia, phosphates and sulfur.”
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INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
— No evidence in archive to confirm Gulf nations' share of fertilizer trade volumes.
“Nearly half the world's traded urea comes from the Gulf region, with Qatar accounting for one-tenth of the global supply.”
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INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
— No data in archive to verify Qatar's 10% urea supply share.
“When QatarEnergy halted production after Iranian strikes on Ras Laffan, hundreds of thousands of tons of key fertilizer nutrients and precursors were sidelined.”
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INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
— No evidence in archive about QatarEnergy production halt impacts on fertilizer supply.
“The compounding effects of the Iran war threaten the third major risk to global food security in six years.”
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INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
— No archive evidence to assess Iran war's role in food security risks.
“Fertilizer prices have risen 10 to 30%, although they're still some 40% lower than in the weeks after Russian tanks rolled into Ukraine.”
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INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
— No data in archive to verify fertilizer price comparisons to Ukraine war levels.
“About 1.33 million tons of fertilizer are exported through Hormuz every month.”
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INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
— No evidence in archive about fertilizer export volumes through Hormuz.
“Iran fired on at least three vessels in or near Hormuz, according to the United Kingdom's Maritime Trade Operations.”
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INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
— No archive evidence to confirm Iran's attacks on vessels near Hormuz.
“A prolonged disruption would significantly tighten fertilizer availability in major import-dependent regions such as Brazil, India, South Asia and parts of the EU.”
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INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
— No data in archive about regional impacts of prolonged Hormuz disruptions.
“China has put import restrictions on phosphate and nitrogen fertilizers.”
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INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
— No evidence in archive to verify China's import restrictions on fertilizers.
“Gulf states import 80 to 90% of their food.”
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“Iran's inflation was already over 40% before the conflict, according to Bloomberg.”
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“The IMF warned that a sustained 10% increase in energy prices could add 0.4 percentage points to global inflation.”
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“India relies on the Gulf for up to two-thirds of its nitrogen fertilizer imports.”
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“Brazil depends on Gulf-sourced urea for roughly 40% of its nitrogen needs.”
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“Brent crude prices remain around $100 after reaching $119.50.”
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“Sub-Saharan Africa uses fertilizer at rates far below those needed for decent yields.”
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