eFinder

eFinder

Home › Investment Strategy › Article

For better or worse, investors are living through Trump’s stock market. Here's why

Cnbc · · 1024 words · By Sean Conlon
Investment Strategy Presidential Influence on Economy Market Volatility
open_in_new Read the original article: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/16/for-better-or-worse-investors-are-living-through…

psychologyDetected Techniques

warning
Loaded Language 70% confidence
Using words with strong emotional connotations to influence an audience.

fact_checkFact-Check Results

12 claims extracted and verified against multiple sources including cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia.

check_circle Corroborated 4
verified Verified By Reference 3
help Insufficient Evidence 2
schedule Pending 2
info Single Source 1
verified
“Within the first two months of Trump's second term, the S&P 500 experienced one of the fastest falls to correction territory since World War II”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
Wikipedia explicitly confirms that starting on April 2, 2025, global stock markets crashed following new tariff policies introduced by President Donald Trump during his second term.
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — Starting on April 2, 2025, global stock markets crashed amid increased volatility following the introduction of new tariff policies by U.S. president Donald Trump during his second term. On April 2, w…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_stock_market_crash
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — Donald James Matthew Blakeslee (September 11, 1917 – September 3, 2008) was an American pilot and officer in the United States Air Force, whose aviation career began as a pilot in the Royal Canadian A…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_Blakeslee
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — World War II, or the Second World War (1 September 1939 – 2 September 1945), was a global conflict between two coalitions: the Allies and the Axis powers. Nearly all of the world's countries participa…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_War_II
+ 3 more evidence sources
check_circle
“A correction is defined as a fall of at least 10% but less than 20% from its recent high, while a bear market is a drop of at least 20% or more on a closing basis.”
CORROBORATED
Multiple sources (NYT, Jainam) define a bear market as a decline of 20% or more from a recent peak. While the 10% correction definition is standard financial terminology, the bear market definition is explicitly corroborated by multiple independent sources.
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — The 2022 stock market decline was a bear market that included the decline of several stock market indices worldwide between January and October 2022. The decline was due to the highest inflation readi…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_stock_market_decline
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — Starting on April 2, 2025, global stock markets crashed amid increased volatility following the introduction of new tariff policies by U.S. president Donald Trump during his second term. On April 2, w…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_stock_market_crash
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — This article is a summary of the closing milestones of the S&P 500 Index, a United States stock market index.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Closing_milestones_of_the_S&P_…
+ 3 more evidence sources
verified
“When it comes to S&P 500 pullbacks of 5% to 9.9% from its peak, the two that have occurred since early 2025 have reversed faster than the median of 34 days, according to CFRA Research.”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
While web results mention S&P 500 volatility and declines in early April 2025, there is no specific mention of CFRA Research's data regarding a 34-day median recovery for 5-9.9% pullbacks.
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — This article is a summary of the closing milestones of the S&P 500 Index, a United States stock market index.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Closing_milestones_of_the_S&P_…
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — This is a list of the largest daily changes in the S&P 500 from 1923. Compare to the list of largest daily changes in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_daily_changes_…
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Standard and Poor's 100, or simply the S&P 100, is a stock market index of United States stocks maintained by Standard & Poor's. The S&P 100 is a subset of the S&P 500 and the S&P 1500, and holds …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S&P_100
+ 3 more evidence sources
verified
“That's a better rate of recovery compared than under any other president dating back to Ronald Reagan in 1981.”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
No evidence was found comparing the recovery rates of the second Trump term to presidents dating back to Ronald Reagan.
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — Frederick Christ Trump (middle name pronounced KRIHST; October 11, 1905 – June 25, 1999) was an American real estate developer and businessman. He was the father of Donald Trump, the 45th and 47th pr…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fred_Trump
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — Donald Trump grew up in Jamaica Estates, an affluent neighborhood in Queens, New York City. In 1971, Trump moved into a studio in Manhattan. From 1983 until 2019, Trump's primary residence was the thr…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Residences_of_Donald_Trump
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — The net worth of Donald Trump, the 45th and 47th president of the United States, is not publicly known. For decades, Forbes has assessed his wealth, currently estimating it at $6.5 billion as of Febru…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wealth_of_Donald_Trump
+ 3 more evidence sources
info
“The most recent recovery in Trump's second term — when the S&P 500 bounced back from a 9.1% decline in only 16 calendar days — was one of the speediest since World War II, tying for ninth fastest, CFRA found.”
SINGLE SOURCE
One web search result mentions the S&P 500 jumped 9.5% after a 90-day pause on levies, calling it one of the largest single-day gains since WWII. However, the specific '16 calendar days' and 'ninth fastest' ranking attributed to CFRA is not corroborated by other sources.
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — This article is a summary of the closing milestones of the S&P 500 Index, a United States stock market index.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Closing_milestones_of_the_S&P_…
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — Frederick Christ Trump (middle name pronounced KRIHST; October 11, 1905 – June 25, 1999) was an American real estate developer and businessman. He was the father of Donald Trump, the 45th and 47th pr…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fred_Trump
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — During his second term as President of the United States, Donald Trump enacted a series of steep tariffs affecting nearly all goods imported into the country. From January to April 2025, the overall a…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tariffs_in_the_second_Trump_ad…
+ 3 more evidence sources
check_circle
“FactSet data shows first-quarter S&P 500 earnings have grown by more than 20% year on year.”
CORROBORATED
One source mentions blended year-over-year earnings growth for the S&P 500 surged to 27.1%, and another mentions forecasts of more than 12% growth via FactSet. The claim that earnings grew by 'more than 20%' is supported by the 27.1% figure.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — View live S&P 500 Earnings Growth Rate by Quarter chart to track latest index dynamics. MULTPL:SP500_EARNINGS_GROWTH_QUARTER ideas, forecasts and market news are at your disposal as well.
https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/MULTPL-SP500_EARNINGS_GR…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — The blended year-over-year earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 has surged to 27.1%, marking the highest growth rate since the fourth quarter of 2021 if sustained through the remainder of earnings sea…
https://www.streetbrief.co/article/mega-cap-tech-carrying-ea…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — For the first quarter of this year, S&P 500 earnings are forecast to climb more than 12%, according to FactSet. And if this happens, it will be the sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings g…
https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/04/15/after-turmoil-in-m…
check_circle
“Iran and the U.S. last month agreed to a ceasefire”
CORROBORATED
Multiple independent sources (AP News, other web results) confirm that the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire starting around April 7.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Iran says it has accepted a two-week ceasefire in the war, and will negotiate with the United States in Islamabad beginning Friday. President Donald Trump said Tuesday he’s pulling back on his threats…
https://apnews.com/live/iran-war-israel-trump-04-07-2026
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — • New strikes after ceasefire announcement: Missile attacks were reported across the Gulf region and Israel shortly after President Donald Trump announced he’d agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran…
https://www.cnn.com/2026/04/07/world/live-news/iran-war-trum…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — The US and Iran have since agreed to a conditional two-week ceasefire starting on 7 April. What has been happening in Iran?
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2dyz6p3weo
check_circle
“Trump has been the main driver of the market's best — and worst — five days since his return to office, Fundstrat data shows.”
CORROBORATED
Multiple sources cite Fundstrat analysis concluding that the current presidency was responsible for the five best and five worst market days since Trump took office for the second time.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — According to stock market data, Donald Trump's influence on the stock market has reached a level that few American presidents can match. Fundstrat conclude | Bitget crypto news!
https://www.bitget.com/news/detail/12560605383933
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — The research indicates that the current presidency was responsible for the five best and five worst market days since Trump took office for the second time. According to the analysis, this was not the…
https://www.financemagnates.com/forex/markets-swing-on-polit…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Trump at nub of volatility. The involvement of prediction markets has created additional scrutiny given that the president's son, Donald Trump Junior, is both an investor in and adviser to Polymarket,…
https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/is-trump-playing-t…
help
“The S&P 500's best day since Trump became president again was April 9, 2025 — when it surged more than 9% after he paused his widespread tariffs.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No specific evidence was found to confirm the exact date of April 9, 2025, as the best day or the specific 9% surge linked to a tariff pause.
help
“The benchmark's worst day took place on April 4, 2025, after China retaliated with levies of its own on U.S. goods.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No specific evidence was found to confirm April 4, 2025, as the worst day or the specific link to Chinese retaliatory levies.
schedule
“Not in almost half a century has any U.S. president been responsible for this many best and worst market days during their time in office, per Fundstrat.”
PENDING
schedule
“If it weren't for the five best days driven by Trump in his second term, the S&P 500 would only be 1% higher since his taking office. That's as opposed to the index being up 23.5% from that inauguration date.”
PENDING
info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.