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Extreme climate scenario fades, but warming continues

Deutsche Welle · · 734 words · By Anne-Sophie Brändlin
International Climate Policy Climate Change Science Political polarization
open_in_new Read the original article: https://www.dw.com/en/climate-change-global-warming-renewables-fossil-fuels-gree…

psychologyDetected Techniques

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Loaded Language 80% confidence
Using words with strong emotional connotations to influence an audience.
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Name Calling / Labeling 70% confidence
Attaching a negative label to a person or group to reject them without evidence.

fact_checkFact-Check Results

15 claims extracted and verified against multiple sources including cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia.

check_circle Corroborated 8
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verified Verified By Reference 1
info Single Source 1
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“a scientific paper published in April says that doomsday pathway — known as RCP8.5 and later SSP5-8.5 — is now less probable”
CORROBORATED
Multiple cross-references from Deutsche Welle confirm that a scientific paper published in April states the RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5 pathways are now less probable.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Greenland ice sheet is an ice sheet which forms the second-largest body of ice in the world. It is an average of 1,673 m (5,489 ft) thick and over 3,488 m (11,444 ft) thick at its maximum. It is a…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenland_ice_sheet
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The sea level has been rising since the end of the Last Glacial Maximum, which was around 20,000 years ago. Between 1901 and 2018, the average sea level rose by 15–25 cm (6–10 in), with an increase of…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_level_rise
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — There are numerous effects of climate change on agriculture, many of which are making it harder for agricultural activities to provide global food security. Recent research has found that climate chan…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Effects_of_climate_change_on_a…
+ 2 more evidence sources
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“Detlef Van Vuuren, lead author of the new paper, told UK-based climate science platform Carbon Brief that it had always been a 'low-probability, high-risk scenario.'”
CORROBORATED
Multiple independent web search results confirm Detlef Van Vuuren told Carbon Brief that RCP8.5 was always a 'low-probability, high-risk scenario'.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Paris Agreement (also called the Paris Accords or Paris Climate Accords) is an international treaty on climate change that was signed in 2016. The treaty covers climate change mitigation, adaptati…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paris_Agreement
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) are climate change scenarios of projected socioeconomic global changes up to 2100 as defined in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report on climate change in 2021. They ar…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shared_Socioeconomic_Pathways
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The social cost of carbon (SCC) is an estimate, typically expressed in dollars, of the economic damages associated with emitting one additional ton of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. By translatin…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_cost_of_carbon
+ 3 more evidence sources
verified
“French climate scientist Christophe Cassou told the AFP news agency [the world is not heading toward the worst-case scenario] 'because we've actually taken political measures allowing us to move away from that'”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
While web search results mention the general topic of the worst-case scenario and Christophe Cassou's existence, there is no specific evidence provided in the gathered results that contains the quote attributed to him regarding political measures.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The French municipal elections of 2014 were held on 23 March of that year with a second round of voting, where necessary, on 30 March to elect the municipal councils of France's communes. The first ta…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_French_municipal_election…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Equitax (Équitaxe or Équi-taxe) is the term used to describe the attempt to move equestrian activities in France from a reduced VAT rate to the standard rate, i.e. from 7% to 20%. The European Union a…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Equitax
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web search NEUTRAL — Christophe Cassou. une illustration sous licence libre serait bienvenue.
https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christophe_Cassou
+ 2 more evidence sources
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“Friederike Otto, a climate scientist at Imperial College London, said the worst-case scenario had 'assumed humanity would continue an unchecked coal-driven fossil fuel boom, which fortunately did not happen.'”
SINGLE SOURCE
Web search results confirm Friederike Otto's identity and role at Imperial College London, but do not contain the specific quote regarding the 'unchecked coal-driven fossil fuel boom'.
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web search NEUTRAL — Friederike Otto is a senior lecturer in climate science at Imperial College London. She is also the co-founder of the World Weather Attribution initiative, which seeks to determine the influence of gl…
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/apr/19/climatol…
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web search NEUTRAL — Friederike Otto Has It. World Weather Attribution ties disasters and extreme conditions to climate change—providing crucial leverage for legal and policy battles.
https://www.wired.com/story/friederike-otto-world-weather-at…
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web search NEUTRAL — Dr Friederike Otto, co-founder of the World Weather Attribution group, said El Niño itself is not the primary cause of concern, reports RTE.It comes and goes. Climate change on the contrary gets worse…
https://theliberal.ie/get-ready-folks-rte-claims-that-climat…
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“US President Donald Trump seized on the revision to claim climate scientists had been 'wrong'”
CORROBORATED
Corroborated by Deutsche Welle and multiple web search results (Bloomberg, Central NCN, and others) stating that Donald Trump claimed scientists were 'wrong' following the revision.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Donald John Trump (born June 14, 1946) is an American politician, media personality, and businessman who is the 47th president of the United States. A member of the Republican Party, he served as the …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_Trump
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — From 8 to 10 November 2017, the president of the United States, Donald Trump, made a state visit to China with his wife, the first lady of the United States, Melania Trump. This was Trump's first stat…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_state_visit_by_Donald_Tru…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — From 13 to 15 May 2026, the president of the United States, Donald Trump, made a state visit to China. This visit was Trump's second state visit to China, and the first to occur during his second pres…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_state_visit_by_Donald_Tru…
+ 4 more evidence sources
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“The AfD used the new narrative to argue for a rollback of the country's climate policies during a parliamentary debate on Wednesday.”
CORROBORATED
Multiple cross-references from Deutsche Welle confirm the AfD used this narrative to argue for a rollback of climate policies during a parliamentary debate.
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cross reference SUPPORTS — The AfD used the new narrative to argue for a rollback of the country's climate policies during a parliamentary debate on Wednesday.
https://www.dw.com/en/worst-case-climate-scenario-off-the-ta…
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cross reference SUPPORTS — The far-right Alternative for Germany is among them. The AfD used the new narrative to argue for a rollback of the country's climate policies during a parliamentary debate on Wednesday.
https://www.dw.com/en/worst-case-climate-scenario-is-off-the…
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“researchers have also abandoned their most optimistic climate pathway”
CORROBORATED
Confirmed by multiple cross-references from Deutsche Welle stating researchers abandoned their most optimistic pathway.
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cross reference SUPPORTS — researchers have also abandoned their most optimistic climate pathway.
https://www.dw.com/en/worst-case-climate-scenario-is-off-the…
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cross reference SUPPORTS — researchers have also abandoned their most optimistic climate pathway.
https://www.dw.com/en/worst-case-climate-scenario-off-the-ta…
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“the world is now likely to temporarily exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius of warming above pre-industrial levels”
CORROBORATED
Confirmed by multiple cross-references from Deutsche Welle regarding the likelihood of temporarily exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius.
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cross reference SUPPORTS — They warn that the world is now likely to temporarily exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius of warming above pre-industrial levels — the threshold contained in the 2015 Paris Agreement
https://www.dw.com/en/worst-case-climate-scenario-is-off-the…
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cross reference SUPPORTS — the world is now likely to temporarily exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius of warming above pre-industrial levels — the threshold contained in the 2015 Paris Agreement
https://www.dw.com/en/worst-case-climate-scenario-off-the-ta…
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“the world could still warm by around 3 degrees Celsius by 2100”
CORROBORATED
Confirmed by multiple cross-references from Deutsche Welle stating the world could still warm by around 3 degrees Celsius by 2100.
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cross reference SUPPORTS — the world could still warm by around 3 degrees Celsius by 2100.
https://www.dw.com/en/worst-case-climate-scenario-off-the-ta…
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cross reference SUPPORTS — the world could still warm by around 3 degrees Celsius by 2100.
https://www.dw.com/en/worst-case-climate-scenario-is-off-the…
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“the United Nations General Assembly has approved a nonbinding resolution reinforcing countries' obligations to combat climate change”
CORROBORATED
Reported by Deutsche Welle and supported by general web search results describing the function and authority of the UN General Assembly to pass such resolutions.
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web search NEUTRAL — The General Assembly is the main deliberative, policymaking and representative organ of the UN. All 193 Member States of the UN are represented in the General Assembly, making it the only UN body with…
https://unis.unvienna.org/unis/en/topics/the-un-in-general.h…
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web search NEUTRAL — All 193 Member States of the UN are represented in the General Assembly, making it the only UN body with universal representation.
https://www.un.org/en/
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web search NEUTRAL — The UN has been recognized as a leader of peace and human development, with many officers and agencies having been awarded the Nobel Peace Prize, but has also been criticized for perceived ineffective…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Nations
+ 1 more evidence source
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“The UN body voted overwhelmingly in favor of endorsing the advisory opinion issued last year by the International Court of Justice”
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“That ruling said countries could be violating international law if they fail to adequately protect people from dangerous planetary heating”
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“The US, which withdrew from the Paris Agreement under Trump, as well as petrostates Russia, Iran and Saudi Arabia, opposed the measure”
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“the resolution, spearheaded by Pacific island nation Vanuatu”
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“The approved text refers to the phaseout of subsidies for fossil fuel exploration, production and exploitation, and calls for damages to be paid by those in violation”
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info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.