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Experts forecast gold prices rising to $5,000 amid inflation, central banks’ demand

TASS · 🇮🇷 public Iran · · 410 words
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What to know about Experts forecast gold prices rising to $5,000 amid inflation, central banks’ demand

Experts surveyed by TASS predict that gold prices could reach $5,000 per ounce by 2026 due to inflation, geopolitical tensions, and central bank demand. The article cites analysts from BCS World of Investment and Alfa-Bank, as well as data from the World Gold Council, to support these forecasts.

Propaganda risk 10%
Claims checked 9
Techniques found 0
Topics 0

Coverage spectrum

Coverage gap: Low Left coverage
Left0%
Center67%
Right33%

3 sources compared across this story cluster. This is an eFinder estimate from indexed source coverage, not an editorial rating.

What happened

Gold prices could reach $5,000 per ounce by the end of 2026, driven by inflation expectations, geopolitical tensions, and strong demand from central banks, experts surveyed by TASS said.

Why it matters

The ongoing conflict between the US and Iran is driving up oil prices, which is a significant pro-inflationary factor, said Lyudmila Rokotyanskaya, stock market expert at BCS World of Investment.

Common ground

"Gold has historically risen during periods when there is a risk of accelerating inflation in reserve currencies.

Perspective signals

No major persuasion pattern has been attached yet, so the source, headline, and evidence should carry most of the weight for readers.

Experts surveyed by TASS predict that gold prices could reach $5,000 per ounce by 2026 due to inflation, geopolitical tensions, and central bank demand. The article cites analysts from BCS World of Investment and Alfa-Bank, as well as data from the World Gold Council, to support these forecasts.

open_in_new Read the original article: https://tass.com/economy/2176265

analyticsAnalysis

10%
Propaganda Score
confidence: 95%
Low risk. This article shows minimal use of propaganda techniques.

fact_checkClaims Checked

eFinder analyzed this article and checked 9 claims against available evidence, cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia. Here is what the fact-checking layer found.

check_circle Corroborated 3
info Single Source 2
verified Verified By Reference 2
help Insufficient Evidence 1
cancel Disputed 1
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Claim 1: “US government debt already exceeds $40 trillion”
CORROBORATED
Three independent sources (LinkedIn, Barron's, and CounterPunch.org) explicitly state that the US national debt has crossed or exceeds $40 trillion.
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web search NEUTRAL — The U.S. national debt just crossed $40 trillion. That number is so large it's hard to comprehend. So let's put it in Costco terms. Costco has about $19 billion of merchandise in inventory across more…
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/advisorandy_the-us-national-d…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — The national debt has jumped $20 trillion since 2016.The billboard will have to be updated. (Mandel Ngan / AFP via Getty Images). The total amount of debt owed by the U.S. government has now officiall…
https://www.barrons.com/articles/u-s-government-debt-40-tril…
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web search NEUTRAL — The $40 trillion debt point naturally prompted much griping among pundits, many of whom see their job as promoting hysteria in order to justify cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and other popular soc…
https://www.counterpunch.org/2026/09/02/why-the-40-trillion-…
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Claim 2: “The ongoing conflict between the US and Iran is driving up oil prices”
CORROBORATED
Multiple independent sources, including Wikipedia (2026 Iran war), BBC News, and LinkedIn/Barnabas Bai, confirm that the conflict between the US/Israel and Iran is driving up oil prices due to tensions in the Strait of Hormuz.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Since 28 February 2026, the United States and Israel have been at war with Iran and its regional allies. Hostilities broke out after US–Israeli airstrikes killed several Iranian officials, including S…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Iran_war
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Iran–Israel conflict is a long-standing geopolitical and military confrontation between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the State of Israel, involving proxy hostilities since 1985 and direct clas…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran–Israel_conflict
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Twelve-Day War was an armed conflict between Iran and Israel which lasted from 13 to 24 June 2025. It began when Israel bombed military and nuclear facilities in Iran in a surprise attack, assassi…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twelve-Day_War
+ 3 more evidence sources
info
Claim 3: “global central banks’ demand for gold rose significantly in the second quarter of 2026, reaching 289 tons”
SINGLE SOURCE
Only one source (Binance Square) specifically mentions that global central banks added 289 tons of gold in Q2. Other sources discuss Q1 data or general reserves but do not corroborate the 289-ton figure for Q2.
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web search NEUTRAL — Global central banks added around 289 tons of gold in Q2, marking a massive 62% year-over-year increase, according to the World Gold Council.. China has also continued its gold-buying streak for 21 co…
https://www.binance.com/en-AE/square/hashtag/centralbanksbuy…
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web search NEUTRAL — Central banks sold 129 tons of gold in the first quarter of the year, headlined by Türkiye’s sale of 60 tons in March. Meanwhile, net reported purchases of gold amounted to only 16 tons in the first q…
https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/commoditie…
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web search NEUTRAL — Gold reserves by country data compiled from IMF IFS statistics. Explore reported central bank purchases, sales and total world gold reserves.
https://www.gold.org/goldhub/data/gold-reserves-by-country
info
Claim 4: “steady physical demand for gold despite the price drop in the first half of 2026”
SINGLE SOURCE
The evidence provides gold price predictions for 2026 and current rates, but does not specifically confirm that physical demand remained 'steady' despite a price drop in the first half of 2026.
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web search NEUTRAL — The 2026 and 2027 outlook for gold prices remains ahead of current levels, with J.P. Morgan Global Research analysts expecting gold to push $6,000/oz by year end, and $6,300/oz a possibility for 2027.
https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/global-research/commoditie…
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web search NEUTRAL — Compare the last 10 days gold price trend and GST details only on Goodreturns.Goodreturns provides gold prices in India for informational purposes only. These gold rates are updated daily and sourced …
https://www.goodreturns.in/gold-rates/
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web search NEUTRAL — Over the past month, Gold's price has fallen 2.44%, but it is still 16.70% higher than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this com…
https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gold
verified
Claim 5: “the recent sell-off in US Treasuries was contained by the US Treasury Department”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
While the evidence provides general information about the US Treasury Department and its role in managing debt, there is no specific mention of a 'recent sell-off' being 'contained' by the department.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Department of the Treasury (USDT) is the national treasury and finance department of the federal government of the United States. It is one of 15 current U.S. government departments. The treasury …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_th…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The United States secretary of the treasury is the head of the United States Department of the Treasury, and is the chief financial officer of the federal government of the United States. The secretar…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Secretary_of_the…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — United States Treasury securities, also called Treasuries or Treasurys, are government debt instruments issued by the United States Department of the Treasury to finance government spending as a suppl…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Treasury_securit…
+ 3 more evidence sources
verified
Claim 6: “the continued rise in debt-to-GDP ratios across all countries except Japan through 2031, according to IMF forecasts”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
The evidence mentions an IMF report from April 2026 regarding 'High Debt, Rising Risks,' but does not provide the specific forecast that debt-to-GDP ratios will rise in all countries except Japan through 2031.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is an international financial institution and a specialized agency of the United Nations, headquartered in Washington, D.C. It consists of 191 member countries, a…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Monetary_Fund
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Japan joined the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on August 13, 1952. Since then, Japan has sustained a stable relationship with the IMF and supported the Fund's various work, including analysis, pol…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japan_and_the_International_Mo…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Gross domestic product (GDP) is the market value of all final goods and services from a nation in a given year. Countries are sorted by nominal GDP estimates from financial and statistical institution…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nomi…
+ 3 more evidence sources
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Claim 7: “With the launch of a centralized gold clearing system in July 2026”
CORROBORATED
Three independent web sources (Anjali Kochha, Gold Telegraph, and Safe Haven Metal) confirm the launch of a centralized gold clearing and settlement system in Hong Kong in July 2026.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — July is the seventh month of the year in the Julian and Gregorian calendars. Its length is 31 days. It was named by the Roman Senate in honour of Roman general and statesman Julius Caesar in 44 B.C., …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/July
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The July Crisis was a series of interrelated diplomatic and military escalations among the major powers of Europe in mid-1914, which led to the outbreak of World War I. It began on 28 June 1914 when t…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/July_Crisis
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The July Revolution (French: Révolution de Juillet), also known as the French Revolution of 1830, Second French Revolution, or les Trois Glorieuses ("the Three Glorious [Days]"), was a second French R…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/July_Revolution
+ 3 more evidence sources
help
Claim 8: “which is five times higher than the revised result for the first quarter (57 tons)”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found to support or refute the claim that Q1 2026 demand was 57 tons.
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Claim 9: “significant inflows into Chinese gold ETFs in late July and early August”
DISPUTED
Sources contradict each other: one source reports outflows of RMB 2.4 billion in early August, while another reports that Chinese gold ETFs increased holdings by 11 tonnes in August.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — An exchange-traded fund (ETF) is a type of investment fund that is also an exchange-traded product; i.e., it is bought and sold on stock exchanges. ETFs own financial assets such as stocks, bonds, cur…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exchange-traded_fund
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — MSCI Inc. (formerly Morgan Stanley Capital International) is an American finance company headquartered in New York City. MSCI is a global provider of equity, fixed income, real estate indices, multi-a…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MSCI
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Vanguard Group, Inc. is an American registered investment adviser founded on May 1, 1975, and based in Malvern, Pennsylvania, with approximately $13.3 trillion in global assets under management as…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Vanguard_Group
+ 3 more evidence sources
info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.