‘Erosion of a country’s future’: What has the war cost Sudan?

Al Jazeera · Apr 15, 2026 · 1403 words · By Mariem Bah

Economic Collapse Humanitarian Crisis Infrastructure Destruction

open_in_new Read the original article: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/15/erosion-of-a-countrys-future-what-has-t…

psychologyDetected Techniques

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Loaded Language 90% confidence

Using words with strong emotional connotations to influence an audience.

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Appeal to Pity 80% confidence

Evoking sympathy to win support rather than using logical arguments.

fact_checkFact-Check Results

24 claims extracted and verified against multiple sources including cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia.

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info Single Source 3

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verified Verified By Reference 1

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“Sudan’s civil war, which erupted three years ago, has devastated civilian infrastructure and pushed millions into misery.”

DISPUTED

The claim states the war erupted 'three years ago'. However, multiple authoritative sources (Wikipedia, web search) explicitly state the current civil war began in April 2023. As of the current date, it has been approximately 1.5 to 2 years, not three.

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web search NEUTRAL — Sudan, [a] officially the Republic of the Sudan, [b] is a country in Northeast Africa. It borders the Central African Republic to the southwest, Chad to the west, Libya to the northwest, Egypt to the …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudan

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web search NEUTRAL — 5 days ago · Sudan, country located in northeastern Africa at the southern edge of the Sahara. Sudan’s capital, Khartoum, is located roughly in the center of the country, at the junction of the Blue N…
https://www.britannica.com/place/Sudan

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web search NEUTRAL — Discover Sudan. Explore Sudan facts, culture, history & comprehensive country profile with maps, statistics & research resources for students & travelers.
https://www.countryreports.org/country/sudan.htm

+ 1 more evidence source

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“more than 40,000 people killed”

CORROBORATED

The Guardian reports that the war has killed more than 40,000 people according to UN figures. Another source mentions a higher figure (150,000), but the specific claim of 'more than 40,000' is supported by the UN-cited data in the Guardian.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Since April 2023, there has been a civil war in Sudan between two primary factions of the country's military government. The conflict involves the internationally recognized government of Sudan, contr…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudanese_civil_war_(2023–prese…

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Sudanese Arabs (Arabic: عرب سودانيون, romanized: ʿarab sūdāniyyūn) are the inhabitants of Sudan who identify as Arabs and speak Arabic as their mother tongue. Sudanese Arabs make up 70% of the popula…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudanese_Arabs

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The term Sudanese Civil War refers to at least three separate conflicts, intermittently ongoing for more than 70 years, in Sudan: First Sudanese Civil War (1955–1972) Second Sudanese Civil War (1983–…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudanese_Civil_War

+ 3 more evidence sources

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“about 14 million of its people – a quarter of the population – forced to flee their homes”

SINGLE SOURCE

While one source mentions 12 million people fleeing, the specific figure of 14 million (one-quarter of the population) is not corroborated by the provided evidence snippets, which contain mostly dictionary definitions of 'approximately' or general country info.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — South Sudan (), officially the Republic of South Sudan, is a landlocked country in East Africa. It is bordered by Sudan to the north, Ethiopia to the east, Kenya to the southeast, Uganda to the south,…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Sudan

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Sudan, officially the Republic of the Sudan, is a country in Northeast Africa. It borders the Central African Republic to the southwest, Chad to the west, Libya to the northwest, Egypt to the north, t…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudan

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+ 3 more evidence sources

verified

“economic collapse since the war began in 2023 due to a power struggle between the army and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF).”

VERIFIED BY REFERENCE

Wikipedia and multiple web sources confirm the civil war began in April 2023 as a power struggle between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF).

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Sudanese Greeks, or Greeks in Sudan, are ethnic Greeks from modern-day Sudan; they are small in number (estimated at around 150 in 2015), but still a very prominent community in the country. Histo…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudanese_Greeks

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The following is a timeline of the Sudanese civil war in 2026. This timeline is a dynamic and fluid list, and as such may never satisfy criteria of completeness. Moreover, some events may only be full…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_Sudanese_civil…

+ 3 more evidence sources

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“Even under the most optimistic scenario of peace being achieved in 2026, Sudan would still lose an estimated $18.8bn in its gross domestic product (GDP) by 2043”

SINGLE SOURCE

The provided evidence mentions a UNDP estimate regarding a $6.4bn loss in 2023, but the specific projection of $18.8bn loss by 2043 if peace is achieved in 2026 is not explicitly detailed in the snippets provided, although the source 'Erosion of a country’s future' is cited for the 2023 loss.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — South Sudan has a developing economy that is considered low-income and highly dependent on its energy sector. The nation became the world's newest as Africa's 55th state in 2011, which sparked an exte…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_South_Sudan

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Sudan has a developing economy largely based on agriculture and oil exports, with additional revenue coming from mining and manufacturing. GDP growth registered more than 10% per year in 2006 and 2007…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Sudan

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“Sudan lost $6.4bn in its GDP in 2023 alone”

CORROBORATED

The source 'Erosion of a country’s future' explicitly states that according to UNDP estimates, Sudan lost $6.4bn in its GDP in 2023 alone.

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — GDP (PPP) means gross domestic product based on purchasing power parity. This article includes a list of countries by their forecast estimated GDP (PPP). Countries are sorted by GDP (PPP) forecast e…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(PPP)

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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Gross domestic product (GDP) is the market value of all final goods and services from a nation in a given year. Countries are sorted by nominal GDP estimates from financial and statistical institution…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nomi…

+ 3 more evidence sources

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“Sudan’s GDP was $26bn in 2023”

DISPUTED

One source (Wikipedia) mentions a GDP of $30.873 billion in 2019. The World Bank snippet for 2023 shows a figure of 7,241.24 (likely in different units or a specific metric), which contradicts a flat $26bn figure. There is no consistent evidence for exactly $26bn in 2023.

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web search NEUTRAL — Sudan had $30.873 billion by gross domestic product as of 2019, and has been working with the International Monetary Fund to implement macroeconomic reforms, including a managed float of the exchange …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Sudan

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web search NEUTRAL — Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total monetary value of all goods and services produced and sold within a country over one year. (Learn more). Nominal (or "Current") GDP reflects current prices an…
https://www.worldometers.info/gdp/gdp-by-country/

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web search NEUTRAL — English Español Français العربية 中文. GDP (current US$). Sudan.2023. 7,241.24. Central African Republic.
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?location…

info

“contributing to a 15 percent drop in cultivated land.”

SINGLE SOURCE

The search results for this claim returned irrelevant information about a Reddit search interface (GWASI) and provided no data on Sudanese cultivated land.

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — Edit 2: User u/fermaw has made a much more sophisticated GWA search (it doesn't rely on the Reddit search at all, thank goodness) that anyone who finds my page useful will want to check out. Their ori…
https://www.reddit.com/r/gonewildaudio/comments/ko3349/meta_…

travel_explore

web search NEUTRAL — Jan 10, 2021 · I was thinking about making a similar website for audios on Youtube (mostly sfw stuff). Any advice from you would be great, like what technologies you used for the frontend and backend …
https://www.reddit.com/r/gwasi/comments/ku6gpc/gonewildaudio…

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web search NEUTRAL — GWASI has totally changed and vastly improved my experience with GWA as a listener and even an aspiring writer, hehe. So, thank you so much for everything you do!! 💖💖💖 I honestly can't imagine going b…
https://www.reddit.com/r/gwasi/comments/160egz3/gwasicom_upd…

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“destruction of factories and the power supply has caused industrial activity to collapse by about 90 percent”

INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE

No evidence was found after searching for industrial activity collapse percentages.

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“Up to 40 percent of power generation capacity has been lost”

INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE

No evidence was found after searching for power generation capacity loss percentages.

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“The World Health Organization has verified more than 200 attacks on healthcare facilities with fewer than 14 percent fully operational in conflict areas.”

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“Agriculture, which had employed about 65 percent of the workforce”

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“average incomes have fallen back to levels last seen in 1992”

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“About 90 percent of manufacturing activity has been destroyed in key economic hubs”

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“The Khartoum refinery (Al-Jaili), which previously processed up to 100,000 barrels per day and supplied about half of Sudan’s fuel needs, has been out of operation since July 2023.”

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“Although recaptured by the army in 2025, the facility remains nonoperational.”

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“The pound has fallen from about 570 per dollar before the war to between 3,500 and 3,600 today, according to the Sudan Central Bureau of Statistics.”

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“Nearly half the population is now experiencing acute food shortages, according to the UNDP”

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“nearly 90 percent of displaced households report they cannot afford enough food.”

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“About 34 million people are now in need of assistance, and 19 million are facing acute food shortages.”

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“About 5.6 million children have been born since the war began”

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“Education has been severely disrupted for about 19 million children, according to the UNDP, as only about 20 percent of schools currently are operational in some areas.”

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“If the conflict continues to 2030, Sudan’s economy in 2043 would be about $34.5bn smaller than it would have been without the war, and GDP per capita would drop by roughly $1,700, according to UNDP estimates.”

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“Extreme poverty would rise above 60 percent of the population, pushing an additional 34 million people into deprivation.”

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info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.

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‘Erosion of a country’s future’: What has the war cost Sudan?

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