While the evidence confirms California's enrollment is declining and that projections exist, the specific figures—a 15.7% drop by 2031 from a 5.9 million base—are not independently corroborated across the provided search results or Wikipedia entries. The evidence mentions general declines but lacks the specific, multi-sourced data points to verify this precise projection.

One web search result explicitly states that 'The decline is nearly three times worse than the national average, which is projected to drop 5.5% by 2031.' However, this specific comparison (3x worse than 5.5% national average) is only found in one web search result and is not corroborated by other sources.

The claim attributes the reasons for departure (skyrocketing housing prices and eroding school quality) to a specific report from 'Garry’s List.' While the web search results confirm the *theme* of people leaving due to cost/quality issues, the specific attribution to 'Garry’s List' and the combination of both factors is only present in the context of the provided web search results, making it single-sourced.

The claim attributes the finding that young families are the most price-sensitive demographic to 'Garry’s List' based on 'Census data.' While the web search results mention housing prices and demographics, the specific finding regarding 'young families being the most price-sensitive' based on cited Census data is only present in the context of the provided web search results, making it single-sourced.

The claim links the departure of families with school-age children directly to the median home price exceeding $800,000. This specific threshold and causal link are mentioned in a web search result, but this specific causal mechanism is not corroborated by other independent sources.