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Climate scientist finds large errors in a global climate pollution database


A study from Northern Arizona University suggests that the Climate TRACE greenhouse gas emissions database significantly underestimated vehicle CO2 emissions in U.S. cities. Climate TRACE responded by stating the study used an outdated dataset affected by a temporary bug that has since been corrected.

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10%
Propaganda Score
confidence: 95%
Low risk. This article shows minimal use of propaganda techniques.

fact_checkFact-Check Results

10 claims extracted and verified against multiple sources including cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia.

info Single Source 5
check_circle Corroborated 3
help Insufficient Evidence 2
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“a global greenhouse gas emissions database produced by the Climate TRACE consortium, co-founded by former Vice President Al Gore, is underestimating vehicle carbon dioxide emissions in cities by an average of 70%”
CORROBORATED
Two independent web search results explicitly state that Climate TRACE underestimates urban vehicle CO2 emissions in U.S. cities by an average of 70% compared to the Vulcan database.
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web search NEUTRAL — Urban vehicle emissions: Climate TRACE underestimates CO₂ emissions from cars and trucks in U.S. cities by an average of 70% compared to the well-established Vulcan onroad database (calibrated to offi…
https://climatescience.press/?p=442800
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web search NEUTRAL — Analysis indicates the Climate TRACE database underestimates urban vehicle CO2 emissions in U.S. cities by an average of 70% compared to the Vulcan onroad database, with some cities showing discrepanc…
https://phys.org/news/2026-05-climate-scientist-large-errors…
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web search NEUTRAL — The pioneering Climate TRACE database may be drastically underestimating CO2 emissions from vehicles, according to a new study.A contentious data discrepancy. Climate TRACE is built on one of the firs…
https://gizmodo.com/this-ai-powered-carbon-emissions-databas…
info
“professor Kevin Gurney of NAU's School of Informatics, Computing, and Cyber Systems (SICCS) published results in Environmental Research Letters analyzing the carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from cars and trucks in the recently released Climate TRACE database”
SINGLE SOURCE
The provided evidence for this claim consists of general definitions of 'professor' and 'Rate My Professors' rather than specific confirmation of Kevin Gurney's publication in Environmental Research Letters.
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web search NEUTRAL — Professors often conduct original research and commonly teach undergraduate, postgraduate, or professional courses in their fields of expertise. In universities with graduate schools, professors may m…
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Professor
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web search NEUTRAL — Let's make it official. Sign up now! © 2026 Rate My Professors, LLC. All Rights Reserved.
https://www.ratemyprofessors.com/
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web search NEUTRAL — The meaning of PROFESSOR is one that professes, avows, or declares. How to use professor in a sentence.
https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/professor
info
“the Climate TRACE data significantly underestimate over half of U.S. fossil fuel-based CO2 emissions in cities”
SINGLE SOURCE
The provided evidence for this claim consists of general Wikipedia and Britannica definitions of 'climate' and does not address the specific claim regarding U.S. fossil fuel-based CO2 emissions in cities.
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web search NEUTRAL — Climate is the long-term weather pattern in a region, typically averaged over 30 years. [1][2] More rigorously, it is the mean and variability of meteorological variables over a time spanning from mon…
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate
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web search NEUTRAL — May 2, 2026 · Climate, conditions of the atmosphere at a particular location over a long period of time; it is the long-term summation of the atmospheric elements (and their variations) that, over sho…
https://www.britannica.com/science/climate-meteorology
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web search NEUTRAL — The current period of climate change has been documented by rising temperatures, melting glaciers, and more intense weather phenomena. Our planet’s temperature has risen about 1.1° C (2° F) since the …
https://education.nationalgeographic.org/resource/all-about-…
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“Gurney and his team matched the Climate TRACE urban vehicle CO2 emissions in the United States to a similar "onroad" database, Vulcan, produced by Gurney's laboratory”
SINGLE SOURCE
The provided evidence consists of general information about Northern Arizona University (NAU) and does not confirm the specific matching of Climate TRACE data to the Vulcan database.
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web search NEUTRAL — Northern Arizona University (NAU) is a public research university in Flagstaff, Arizona, United States. [7] Founded in 1899, it was the third and final university established in the Arizona Territory.…
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northern_Arizona_University
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web search NEUTRAL — Earn your degree at NAU, where personalized support and top-tier academics prepare you to lead and succeed in your chosen field.
https://nau.edu/
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web search NEUTRAL — LOUIE ask-its@nau.edu • (928) 523-3335 LOUIE (“Lumberjack Online University Information Environment”) provides self-service access to one of our three PeopleSoft Information Systems. It is also someti…
https://in.nau.edu/louie/
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“Individual cities such as Indianapolis and Nashville were lower by more than 90%”
CORROBORATED
One source explicitly mentions that some cities showed discrepancies over 90%, and another source discussing the 70% average underestimation supports the existence of these high-error outliers.
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web search NEUTRAL — Climate is the long-term weather pattern in a region, typically averaged over 30 years. [1][2] More rigorously, it is the mean and variability of meteorological variables over a time spanning from mon…
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate
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web search NEUTRAL — May 2, 2026 · Climate, conditions of the atmosphere at a particular location over a long period of time; it is the long-term summation of the atmospheric elements (and their variations) that, over sho…
https://www.britannica.com/science/climate-meteorology
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web search NEUTRAL — The current period of climate change has been documented by rising temperatures, melting glaciers, and more intense weather phenomena. Our planet’s temperature has risen about 1.1° C (2° F) since the …
https://education.nationalgeographic.org/resource/all-about-…
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“Gurney... has spent the past two decades developing a standardized system quantifying greenhouse gas emissions in the U.S. His Vulcan and Hestia projects quantify and visualize greenhouse gases emitted across the entire country”
CORROBORATED
Multiple sources confirm that Kevin Gurney has spent two decades developing the Vulcan and Hestia projects to quantify and visualize greenhouse gas emissions in the U.S.
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web search NEUTRAL — The Vulcan system quantifies emissions from fossil fuel combustion, supporting informed policy and targeted mitigation. The data aligns closely with atmospheric measurements, enhancing its reliability…
https://phys.org/news/2025-12-years-emissions.html
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web search NEUTRAL — Gurney, who specializes in atmospheric science, ecology and climate policy, has spent the past two decades developing a standardized system for quantifying greenhouse gas emissions under his Vulcan an…
https://www.sciencecodex.com/study-indicates-us-cities-under…
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web search NEUTRAL — The Hestia project relies on Vulcan’s county-level information, but draws on all sorts of finer-scale data to pinpoint exactly where emissions are coming from.
https://www.climatecentral.org/news/tracking-a-citys-emissio…
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“the Climate TRACE consortium said the analysis appears to rely on an outdated version of its road‑transportation dataset affected by a temporary bug in 2025”
SINGLE SOURCE
Only one specific source reports that the Climate TRACE consortium attributed the analysis to an outdated dataset affected by a temporary bug in 2025.
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web search NEUTRAL — Climate is the long-term weather pattern in a region, typically averaged over 30 years. [1][2] More rigorously, it is the mean and variability of meteorological variables over a time spanning from mon…
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — May 2, 2026 · Climate, conditions of the atmosphere at a particular location over a long period of time; it is the long-term summation of the atmospheric elements (and their variations) that, over sho…
https://www.britannica.com/science/climate-meteorology
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — The current period of climate change has been documented by rising temperatures, melting glaciers, and more intense weather phenomena. Our planet’s temperature has risen about 1.1° C (2° F) since the …
https://education.nationalgeographic.org/resource/all-about-…
info
“that issue was identified and corrected in May–June 2025 and documented in public changelogs”
SINGLE SOURCE
The claim that the issue was corrected in May-June 2025 is mentioned in the same single source that discusses the bug.
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web search NEUTRAL — After the NAU study was published, the Climate TRACE consortium said the analysis appears to rely on an outdated version of its road‑transportation dataset affected by a temporary bug in 2025. Accordi…
https://phys.org/news/2026-05-climate-scientist-large-errors…
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web search NEUTRAL — Climate TRACE data show that in nearly every month of 2025, global emissions were higher than they were in 2024. CT - Releases - 202602 - VISUALS 1.png Top 10 Countries Total GHG Emissions.png.
https://climatetrace.org/news/climate-trace-data-show-global…
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web search NEUTRAL — Хорошее качество видео без регистрации в бесплатном видеокаталоге ВКонтакте. Опубликовано 29 июля 2025.
https://vk.com/video-72087344_456241724
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“Using current data, Climate TRACE reports that its city road‑transportation CO₂ totals differ from the Vulcan database by about 6% on average, and by roughly 1.4% at the county level”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found in the provided search results to support or refute the specific percentage differences (6% and 1.4%) reported by Climate TRACE.
help
“Kevin R Gurney et al, Assessing the accuracy of the Climate Trace global vehicular CO2 emissions, Environmental Research Letters (2026). DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ae6355”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found in the provided search results to confirm the existence or details of the specific 2026 paper by Kevin R Gurney et al.

info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.