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Cheap AI could derail OpenAI and Anthropic's IPOs

Cnbc · · 1178 words · By Deirdre Bosa; Jasmine Wu
Enterprise AI Adoption AI Market Economics US-China Tech Competition
open_in_new Read the original article: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/20/cheap-ai-could-derail-openai-and-anthropics-ipos…

psychologyDetected Techniques

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Loaded Language 80% confidence
Using words with strong emotional connotations to influence an audience.
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Exaggeration / Hyperbole 70% confidence
Overstating facts or claims to create a stronger emotional response.

fact_checkFact-Check Results

17 claims extracted and verified against multiple sources including cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia.

schedule Pending 7
verified Verified By Reference 3
info Single Source 2
help Insufficient Evidence 2
cancel Disputed 1
report Misleading 1
check_circle Corroborated 1
verified
“Meta, Shopify, Spotify, and Pinterest all flagged rising AI and inference costs as a drag on margins.”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
The provided evidence mentions general AI coding startup struggles and Shopify's general business, but does not contain specific reports from Meta, Shopify, Spotify, and Pinterest collectively flagging AI inference costs as a drag on margins.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Reddit ( RED-it, formerly stylized reddit) is an American proprietary social news aggregation and forum social media platform. Registered users (commonly referred to as "redditors") submit content to…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reddit
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — An Internet entrepreneur is an owner, founder or manager of an Internet-based business. This list includes Internet company founders and people brought on to companies for their general business or ac…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Internet_entrepreneurs
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This is a list of unicorn startup companies: In finance, a unicorn is a privately held startup company with a current valuation of US$1 billion or more. Notable lists of unicorn companies are maintain…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_unicorn_startup_compan…
+ 3 more evidence sources
verified
“Shopify said economies of scale were "partially offset by increased LLM costs."”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
The evidence provided for Shopify is generic marketing material or general guides on profit margins; there is no specific quote or report stating that LLM costs partially offset economies of scale.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Microsoft Copilot is a generative artificial intelligence chatbot developed by Microsoft AI, a division of Microsoft. Based on OpenAI's GPT-4 and GPT-5 series of large language models, it was launched…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Microsoft_Copilot
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Ruby is a general-purpose programming language. Its design puts an emphasis on programming productivity and simplicity. In Ruby, everything is an object, including primitive data types. Yukihiro "Matz…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ruby_(programming_language)
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Toloka is a Dutch multinational data services company based in Amsterdam, Netherlands. It delivers human-in-the-loop annotation and evaluation work that supports the development of generative AI and l…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toloka
+ 3 more evidence sources
cancel
“OpenAI's and Anthropic's expected IPO valuations, both projected north of $800 billion.”
DISPUTED
Sources provide conflicting valuation numbers. One source mentions a combined $2 trillion wave, while another specifically estimates Anthropic at $300-350bn and OpenAI at $500bn. Neither source confirms a projected IPO valuation 'north of $800 billion' for *each* company.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Cerebras Systems Inc., headquartered in Sunnyvale, California, develops semiconductors, supercomputers, and related software to power artificial intelligence deep-learning applications such as inferen…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cerebras_Systems
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — OpenAI is an American artificial intelligence (AI) research organization headquartered in San Francisco, consisting of a for-profit public benefit corporation (PBC) partially controlled by a nonprofit…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OpenAI
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Six AI Tigers (Chinese: 大模型六小虎; pinyin: Dà móxíng liù xiǎohǔ; lit. 'Six Little Tigers of Large Models') is a collective designation for six China-based artificial intelligence startup companies es…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Six_AI_tigers
+ 3 more evidence sources
info
“OpenAI's confidential filing coming as soon as this week”
SINGLE SOURCE
The search results for OpenAI's filing are generic Wikipedia or GitHub pages and do not mention a confidential filing coming 'this week'.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — OpenAI is an American artificial intelligence (AI) research organization headquartered in San Francisco, consisting of a for-profit public benefit corporation (PBC) partially controlled by a nonprofit…
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Openai
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web search NEUTRAL — OpenOpenAI offers AI-powered solutions and tools for diverse applications, enhancing productivity and innovation.
https://www.open-openai.com/app
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web search NEUTRAL — OpenAI has 248 repositories available. Follow their code on GitHub.
https://github.com/openai/
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“Some 45% of companies surveyed by cloud cost firm CloudZero said they spent more than $100,000 a month on AI in 2025, up from 20% the year before.”
MISLEADING
The evidence from CloudZero mentions that organizations planning to invest over $100,000 monthly 'more than doubled from 20%', but it does not explicitly state that 45% of companies spent more than $100,000 a month in 2025. The numbers provided in the claim are not directly supported by the snippet.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Artificial intelligence (AI) is the capability of computational systems to perform tasks typically associated with human intelligence, such as learning, reasoning, problem-solving, perception, and dec…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_intelligence
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Cloud computing is defined by the International Organization for Standardization (ISO) as "a paradigm for enabling network access to a scalable and elastic pool of shareable physical or virtual resour…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cloud_computing
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Google Cloud is a suite of cloud computing services offered by Google that provides a series of modular cloud services including computing, data storage, data analytics, and machine learning, alongsid…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Google_Cloud_Platform
+ 3 more evidence sources
verified
“For each lab's most capable model: Anthropic's Claude came in at $4,811. OpenAI's ChatGPT: $3,357. DeepSeek: $1,071. Kimi: $948. Zhipu's GLM: $544.”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
While Artificial Analysis is identified as a benchmark platform, the specific cost figures ($4,811, $3,357, etc.) are not present in the provided evidence snippets.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Claude is a series of large language models developed by American software company Anthropic. Claude was released as a AI chatbot in March 2023. It is also used in AI-assisted software development. Cl…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Claude_(language_model)
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Hangzhou DeepSeek Artificial Intelligence Basic Technology Research Co., Ltd., doing business as DeepSeek, is a Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) company that develops large language models (LLMs).…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DeepSeek
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — A generative pre-trained transformer (GPT) is a type of large language model (LLM) that is widely used in generative artificial intelligence chatbots. GPTs are based on a deep learning architecture ca…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Generative_pre-trained_transfo…
+ 3 more evidence sources
info
“At its I/O developer conference this week, CEO Sundar Pichai said "many companies are already blowing through their annual token budgets, and it's only May"”
SINGLE SOURCE
The evidence provides general information about Sundar Pichai and Google I/O, but does not contain the specific quote regarding companies 'blowing through their annual token budgets'.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Pichai Sundararajan, better known as Sundar Pichai, is an American business executive who has been the CEO of Google since 2015 and the CEO of its parent company Alphabet Inc. since 2019.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sundar_Pichai
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Google & Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai sits down exclusively with Bloomberg Originals Host & Executive Producer Emily Chang to discuss the future of search, reb...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5puu3kN9l7c
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web search NEUTRAL — Картинки. Войти. Google. Расширенный поиск.
https://www.google.com/
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“If the largest Google Cloud customers shifted 80% of their workloads from frontier models to Gemini 3.5 Flash, Pichai said, they would save more than $1 billion a year.”
CORROBORATED
Two independent web search results explicitly confirm that Sundar Pichai stated shifting 80% of workloads to Gemini 3.5 Flash would save largest customers over $1 billion annually.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — The first model from the new family, 3.5 Flash, is out now and already powering the Gemini app and AI Mode in Search.If they shifted 80 per cent of their workloads from other frontier models to 3.5 Fl…
https://www.theage.com.au/technology/google-unveils-new-sear…
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web search NEUTRAL — If they shifted 80% of their workloads from other frontier models to 3.5 Flash, they’d save over $1 billion dollars annually. That is real savings they can pour back into their company.
https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/sundar-pichai-io-2026/
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Google shipped Gemini 3.5 Flash across AI Mode, Antigravity, Spark and enterprise products while asking developers to wait for Pro. The release puts speed under the agent layer first.
https://www.implicator.ai/gemini-3-5-flash-lands-inside-sear…
help
“DeepSeek... released a preview of its next-generation model last month that matches or nearly matches the latest from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google on coding, agentic, and knowledge benchmarks.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was provided for this claim.
help
“Models from other Chinese labs, including Moonshot, Xiaomi, and Zhipu, have shipped at similar capability levels in the past four months.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was provided for this claim.
schedule
“On OpenRouter... Chinese models went from about 1% of usage in 2024 to more than 60% in May.”
PENDING
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“Figma is selling features that cut customers' token consumption by 20 to 30%.”
PENDING
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“Cohere's revenue grew sixfold last year selling into [banks, defense agencies, and other regulated industries].”
PENDING
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“Reflection AI raised at a multibillion-dollar valuation specifically to build American open-source models for enterprises”
PENDING
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“the U.S. government's AI Safety Institute... documented that downloads have risen nearly 1,000% since the R1 release in January 2025.”
PENDING
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“In a policy paper released in May, [Anthropic] said U.S. models are only "several months ahead" of Chinese ones, and warned that Beijing is "winning in global adoption on cost."”
PENDING
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“every release of a new frontier model, including GPT-5.5 last month, has driven a surge in API and product usage”
PENDING
info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.