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Bank of America earnings, Kalshi's DC charm offensive, a United-American merger and more in Morning Squawk

Cnbc · · 897 words · By Josephine Rozzelle
open_in_new Read the original article: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/15/5-things-to-know-before-the-market-opens.html

fact_checkFact-Check Results

23 claims extracted and verified against multiple sources including cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia.

schedule Pending 13
info Single Source 4
verified Verified By Reference 2
help Insufficient Evidence 2
cancel Disputed 1
check_circle Corroborated 1
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“the average tax refund this year is more than 10% higher than the same time a year ago, according to IRS data”
DISPUTED
Two different web search results provide contradictory IRS data for the same period. One source claims refunds are nearly 11% higher ($2,290), while another reports a slight uptick of only 1.6% ($3,052).
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web search NEUTRAL — 6, 2026, tax refunds averaged $2,290, up nearly 11% from the same point last year. “Average refund amounts are strong,” the IRS said in a statement last week. Forecasters have predicted filers would b…
https://www.wcbi.com/average-tax-refund-is-nearly-11-higher-…
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web search NEUTRAL — Internal Revenue Service data indicates larger tax refunds this year, but experts warn that over-withholding could be hurting the average taxpayer's bottom line.
https://washingtonmorning.com/2026/03/12/internal-revenue-se…
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web search NEUTRAL — The IRS reported a slight uptick in total tax returns and the average tax refund amount for the 2025 tax season compared to mid-October of last year. The average filer received $3,052 this year, up 1.…
https://economynews.us/irs-data-shows-average-tax-refund-amo…
info
“the index posted its ninth positive session in 10 yesterday”
SINGLE SOURCE
The evidence provided consists of dictionary and alphabet definitions for the letter 'S' and does not contain any financial data or stock index performance for the S&P 500.
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web search NEUTRAL — S (minuscule: s) is the nineteenth letter of the Latin alphabet, used in the English alphabet, the alphabets of other western European languages and other latin alphabets worldwide.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/S
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web search NEUTRAL — Jul 30, 2020 · Learn to recognize the upper and lowercase letter S, how to write the letter S s and the sound that letter S makes. This series incorporates the modalities of visual, auditory and...
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=vniciwSnfH8
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web search NEUTRAL — Apr 3, 2026 · S (upper case, lower case s, plural Ss or S's) The nineteenth letter of the English alphabet, called ess and written in the Latin script.
https://en.m.wiktionary.org/wiki/S
info
“All three major indexes climbed for a second straight day yesterday”
SINGLE SOURCE
The evidence provided consists of a Wikipedia entry for the number 3 and unrelated business websites; there is no information regarding stock index movements.
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web search NEUTRAL — Find food pantries, drive-thru food distributions, and meal sites operated by our partners in the Southern Nevada area.
https://www.threesquare.org/find-food
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web search NEUTRAL — Careers at Three. We were the first operator to offer mobile broadband anywhere in the world over 10 years ago, and since then, Three has continued to lead the way by offering people what they really …
https://www.three.com/?from=sst
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web search NEUTRAL — 3 (three) is a number, numeral and digit. It is the natural number following 2 and preceding 4, and is the smallest odd prime number and the only prime preceding a square number. It has religious and …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/3
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“President Donald Trump said in a Fox Business interview aired this morning that the Iran war is "very close to over"”
CORROBORATED
The claim is corroborated by a cross-reference from EuroNews and a web search result, both confirming Trump stated in a Fox Business interview that he views the war as 'very close to over'.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — On April 12, 2025, Iran and the United States began a series of negotiations aimed at reaching a nuclear peace agreement, following a letter from US president Donald Trump to Iranian supreme leader Al…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025–2026_Iran–United_States_n…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — On 13 April 2026, the United States imposed a naval blockade on Iran following the failure of the Islamabad Talks to end the 2026 Iran war. The US military said the blockade had begun on Monday, 13 Ap…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_naval_block…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — "Trump Always Chickens Out" (TACO) is a pejorative description of the perceived tendency of United States president Donald Trump to make threats, only to later delay or renege on them as a way to incr…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trump_Always_Chickens_Out
+ 4 more evidence sources
verified
“A White House official told CNBC yesterday that a second round of talks between the U.S. and Iran is under discussion”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
While evidence discusses the first round of talks and the general state of the Iran war in 2026, there is no specific mention of a White House official telling CNBC about a 'second round of talks' being under discussion.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — On June 22, 2025, the United States Air Force and Navy attacked three nuclear facilities in Iran as part of the Twelve-Day War, under the code name Operation Midnight Hammer. The Fordow Uranium Enrich…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_United_States_strikes_on_…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — On 8 April 2026, the United States and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire in the 2026 Iran war, mediated by Pakistan. Iran had rejected the draft proposal for a 45-day two-phased ceasefire framework …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Iran_war_ceasefire
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — On the evening of April 25, 2026, gunshots were fired near the main security screening area for the annual White House Correspondents' Dinner at the Washington Hilton in Washington, D.C. President Don…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_White_House_Correspondent…
+ 3 more evidence sources
info
“U.S. crude oil futures closed down nearly 8% yesterday”
SINGLE SOURCE
The evidence provides general information on crude oil futures and inventory levels, but does not mention a specific closing drop of nearly 8% for yesterday.
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web search NEUTRAL — U.S. Crude Oil and Gasoline Inventories Fall, Distillate Stocks Rise. 4 hours ago.EIA: US crude oil inventories down by 2.3M barrels. 7 days ago. Save for later.
https://news.google.com/stories/CAAqNggKIjBDQklTSGpvSmMzUnZj…
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web search NEUTRAL — Futures Expiry Calendar. Crude Oil WTI (OIL). Explore in-depth financial insights on Crude Oil Futures. Gain instant access to the live Crude Oil price, key market metrics, trading details, and intric…
https://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil
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web search NEUTRAL — Crude oil inventories in the United States decreased by 6.2 million barrels during the week ending April 24, according to…The front month contract is the oil futures contract with an expiration date c…
https://oilprice.com/futures/brent/
info
“Oracle closed Tuesday's session nearly 5% higher”
SINGLE SOURCE
The evidence provided is general corporate information about Oracle and does not include stock price movements for any specific Tuesday session.
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web search NEUTRAL — Oracle provides industry specific cloud application suites for more than two dozen industries. These are modern SaaS applications with built-in AI, machine learning, and analytics.
https://www.oracle.com/
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web search NEUTRAL — This position has overall accountability for MEP maintenance in accordance with Oracle’s stringent standards and Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) requirements, while also partnering collaborative…
https://eeho.fa.us2.oraclecloud.com/hcmUI/CandidateExperienc…
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web search NEUTRAL — Oracle Corporation is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Austin, Texas. [5]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oracle_Corporation
verified
“Shares of Nvidia rose for a tenth straight day. It's the stocks longest win streak since 2023”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
The evidence consists of general company descriptions and product lists for Nvidia; it contains no data regarding stock price trends or winning streaks.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Nvidia Jetson is a series of embedded computing boards from Nvidia. The Jetson TK1, TX1 and TX2 models all carry a Tegra processor (or SoC) from Nvidia that integrates an ARM architecture central proc…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nvidia_Jetson
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — This list contains general information about graphics processing units (GPUs) and video cards from Nvidia, based on official specifications. In addition some Nvidia motherboards come with integrated o…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Nvidia_graphics_proces…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Nvidia Corporation ( en-VID-ee-ə) is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Santa Clara, California. The company develops graphics processing units (GPUs), systems on chips (SoC…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nvidia
+ 3 more evidence sources
help
“Shares of Bank of America rose 1.2% in premarket trading after the company beat expectations on both lines and reported its highest earnings per share figure in nearly 20 years”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found after searching for this claim.
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“Morgan Stanley also topped analysts' estimates, sending its shares nearly 3% higher before the bell”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found after searching for this claim.
schedule
“The bank said revenue rose 16% from the same time a year ago”
PENDING
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“Shares of Broadcom rose more than 3% in extended trading after Meta announced an expanded partnership with the chipmaker yesterday”
PENDING
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“The agreement included a commitment by Meta to deploy 1 gigawatt of its custom AI chips that are supported by Broadcom technology”
PENDING
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“Broadcom CEO Hock Tan will not seek re-election to Meta's board and will instead transition to an advisor role”
PENDING
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“Meta revealed new versions of its in-house Training and Inference Accelerator chips last month”
PENDING
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“The company [Kalshi] opened a Washington, D.C., office in January”
PENDING
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“Members of Congress have introduced at least eight bills focused on reining in prediction markets this year”
PENDING
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“United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby reportedly pitched a merger with American Airlines to the Trump administration earlier this year”
PENDING
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“a merger between United and American would produce the world's largest airline”
PENDING
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“The resulting company would boast roughly 40% of domestic capacity, according to airline data firm OAG”
PENDING
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“Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy told CNBC's Phil LeBeau last week that there is "room for some mergers in the aviation industry."”
PENDING
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“Warsh's approximate holdings: $135 million-$226 million”
PENDING
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“Warsh and his wife's approximate holdings: $192 million+”
PENDING
info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.