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Analyst expects next phase of US-Iran conflict to be most tense

TASS · 🇮🇷 public Iran · · 218 words
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What to know about Analyst expects next phase of US-Iran conflict to be most tense

Marat Zembatov, a director at the Higher School of Economics, argues in a TASS op-ed that the US-Iran conflict is entering a highly tense phase. He suggests that while a 'hybrid ceasefire' persists, the lack of a new stable security structure following the Hajj pilgrimage increases regional tension.

Propaganda risk 10%
Claims checked 3
Techniques found 0
Topics 0

Coverage spectrum

Coverage gap: Low Left coverage
Left0%
Center86%
Right14%

7 sources compared across this story cluster. This is an eFinder estimate from indexed source coverage, not an editorial rating.

What happened

The next phase of the US-Iran conflict may be the most tense one because although the parties have consistently adhered to a ceasefire, they failed to reach an agreement on key issues, Marat Zembatov, director of the Center of Interdisciplinary Research at…

Why it matters

According to him, the parties to the conflict "have obtained greater room for maneuver" following a pause for the season of Hajj, the annual Islamic pilgrimage that fell in late May this year.

Common ground

"However, this freedom does not mean an automatic escalation of violence.

Perspective signals

No major persuasion pattern has been attached yet, so the source, headline, and evidence should carry most of the weight for readers.

Marat Zembatov, a director at the Higher School of Economics, argues in a TASS op-ed that the US-Iran conflict is entering a highly tense phase. He suggests that while a 'hybrid ceasefire' persists, the lack of a new stable security structure following the Hajj pilgrimage increases regional tension.

open_in_new Read the original article: https://tass.com/politics/2140053

analyticsAnalysis

10%
Propaganda Score
confidence: 90%
Low risk. This article shows minimal use of propaganda techniques.

fact_checkClaims Checked

eFinder analyzed this article and checked 3 claims against available evidence, cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia. Here is what the fact-checking layer found.

cancel Disputed 2
info Single Source 1
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Claim 1: “the parties have consistently adhered to a ceasefire”
DISPUTED
The claim that parties have consistently adhered to a ceasefire is directly contradicted by the Wikipedia evidence for '2026 Iran war', which states that since February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel have been at war with Iran and its regional allies, following airstrikes and assassinations.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — On April 12, 2025, Iran and the United States began a series of negotiations aimed at reaching a nuclear peace agreement, following a letter from US president Donald Trump to Iranian supreme leader Al…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025–2026_Iran–United_States_n…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Since 28 February 2026, the United States and Israel have been at war with Iran and its regional allies. Hostilities broke out after US–Israeli airstrikes targeting Iranian military and government sit…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Iran_war
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Relations between Iran and the United States began in the mid-19th century, when Iran was known to the Western world as Qajar Persia. While Persia was the object of British and Russian colonial intere…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran–United_States_relations
+ 3 more evidence sources
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Claim 2: “the annual Islamic pilgrimage that fell in late May this year”
DISPUTED
The claim states the Hajj pilgrimage fell in late May this year. However, multiple live sources (Al Jazeera and web search results) explicitly state that the Hajj pilgrimage for 2025 began on June 4 and took place from June 4 to June 9, which is in June, not May.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Ministry of Hajj and Umrah (MHU; Arabic: وزارة الحج والعمرة) is a government ministry of Saudi Arabia responsible for organizing Hajj, Umrah and visitation affairs. It coordinates with government …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ministry_of_Hajj_and_Umrah
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Hajj (Arabic: حَجّ, romanized: Ḥajj [ħaddʒ]; also spelled Hadj or Haj) is an annual Islamic pilgrimage to Mecca, Saudi Arabia, the holiest city in Islam. Hajj is a one-time-required religious duty for…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hajj
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Hajj (or variant spellings) is an annual Islamic pilgrimage to Mecca. Hajj may also refer to:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hajj_(disambiguation)
+ 3 more evidence sources
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Claim 3: “Marat Zembatov, director of the Center of Interdisciplinary Research at the Higher School of Economics’ Institute for Public Administration and Governance, wrote in an op-ed for the TASS website”
SINGLE SOURCE
The provided evidence for this claim consists of search results for 'Jean-Paul Marat', a historical figure from the French Revolution. There is no evidence provided regarding a modern individual named Marat Zembatov or an op-ed on the TASS website.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Jean-Paul Marat (UK: / ˈmærɑː /, US: / məˈrɑː /; [1][2] French: [ʒɑ̃pɔl maʁa]; born Mara; 24 May 1743 – 13 July 1793) was a French political theorist, physician, and scientist. [3] A journalist and po…
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jean-Paul_Marat
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Jean-Paul Marat, né le 24 mai 1743 à Boudry (principauté de Neuchâtel) et mort le 13 juillet 1793 à Paris, est un médecin, journaliste et homme politique français d'origine neuchâteloise. Usurpateur d…
https://fr.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jean-Paul_Marat
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web search NEUTRAL — May 20, 2026 · Jean-Paul Marat, French politician, physician, and journalist, a leader of the radical Montagnard faction during the French Revolution. He was assassinated in his bath by Charlotte Cord…
https://www.britannica.com/biography/Jean-Paul-Marat
info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.