eFinder

eFinder

Home › Article

Albanese’s ratings jump in federal polls; Liberals easily retain Nepean at Victorian byelection

The Conversation · · 970 words · By Adrian Beaumont

The article reports on recent polling data from Redbridge and Freshwater regarding political favorability and primary vote shares in Australia. It also provides results and analysis for a Victorian state byelection in Nepean and Tasmanian upper house elections in Huon and Rosevears.

open_in_new Read the original article: https://theconversation.com/albaneses-ratings-jump-in-federal-polls-liberals-eas…

analyticsAnalysis

10%
Propaganda Score
confidence: 95%
Low risk. This article shows minimal use of propaganda techniques.

fact_checkFact-Check Results

33 claims extracted and verified against multiple sources including cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia.

schedule Pending 23
check_circle Corroborated 4
verified Verified By Reference 2
info Single Source 2
help Insufficient Evidence 2
verified
“In both the Redbridge and Freshwater polls, Anthony Albanese’s net favourability has jumped eight points since late March to -9.”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
While web results mention Albanese's ratings jumping and a low of -21 in Newspoll, there is no specific evidence provided in the search results confirming the exact 'eight point jump to -9' specifically for both Redbridge and Freshwater polls since late March.
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the 2025 Australian federal election, a number of polling companies conducted opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on parties' primary vote, leade…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2025_A…
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the 2026 Victorian state election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and individu…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_V…
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls, often for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary v…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_A…
+ 3 more evidence sources
info
“In Redbridge, the Coalition rebounded from a low of 17% in March to 22%.”
SINGLE SOURCE
One web search result mentions a Redbridge/Accent Research poll finding the Coalition on a primary vote of 'just 17 per cent', but the evidence does not explicitly confirm the rebound to 22% in the same context as a trend from March.
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the 2026 Victorian state election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and individu…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_V…
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls, often for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary v…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_A…
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — Redbridge London Borough Council, also known as Redbridge Council, is the local authority for the London Borough of Redbridge in Greater London, England. The council has been under Labour majority con…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Redbridge_London_Borough_Counc…
+ 3 more evidence sources
check_circle
“The Liberals have easily held the Victorian state seat of Nepean at a byelection on Saturday.”
CORROBORATED
Multiple independent sources (The Saturday Paper, other web search results) and Wikipedia confirm that the Liberal Party won/retained the Victorian state seat of Nepean in a by-election held on a Saturday (May 2, 2026).
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — A by-election was held on 2 May 2026 to elect the member of parliament for the district of Nepean in the Victorian Legislative Assembly. The election was triggered by the resignation of Sam Groth, a L…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Nepean_state_by-election
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — The electoral district of Nepean is an electorate of the Victorian Legislative Assembly covering the southernmost part of the Mornington Peninsula in Victoria, Australia. It is named after Point Nepea…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_district_of_Nepean
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — This is a list of electoral results for the district of Nepean in Victorian state elections.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_results_for_the_dist…
+ 3 more evidence sources
verified
“A national Redbridge and Accent Research poll, conducted April 24–30 from a sample of 1,014, gave Labor 31% of the primary vote, One Nation 27%, the Coalition 22%, the Greens 13% and all Others 7%.”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
The provided web search results for this specific claim returned irrelevant content about 'dry bags' and general polling pages, failing to provide the specific primary vote percentages (Labor 31%, One Nation 27%, etc.) for the April 24-30 poll.
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the 2026 Victorian state election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and individu…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_V…
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the 2028 Queensland state election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and individ…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2028_Q…
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls, often for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary v…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_A…
+ 3 more evidence sources
check_circle
“By respondent preferences, Labor led the Coalition by 54–46”
CORROBORATED
Multiple web search results explicitly state that by respondent preferences, Labor led the Coalition by 54-46 in the Redbridge poll.
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — A state general election is scheduled to be held on 13 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly will be up for election, along wi…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2027_New_South_Wales_state_ele…
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the 2026 Victorian state election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and individu…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_V…
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls, often for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary v…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_A…
+ 3 more evidence sources
check_circle
“Labor led One Nation by 55–45”
CORROBORATED
Multiple sources confirm Labor led One Nation by 55-45 by respondent preferences in the Redbridge poll.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the 2025 Australian federal election, a number of polling companies conducted opinion polls for various news organisations."RedBridge-Accent rolling tracking poll shows Labor claws b…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2025_A…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — A Victorian Resolve poll has Labor sliding back after a surge in August. Federal Labor had a 55–45 lead in Resolve and a 54–46 lead in Redbridge, with One Nation recording its highest vote in any poll…
https://theconversation.com/labor-slides-back-in-a-victorian…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — It gave Labor a 55-45 lead by respondent preferences, from primary votes of 33% Labor, 31% Coalition, 14% Greens, 10% One Nation and 11% for all Others. Freshwater's final poll before the 2025 electio…
https://www.miragenews.com/one-nation-gains-in-redbridge-lab…
check_circle
“By 2025 election preference flows, Labor led the Coalition by 53–47”
CORROBORATED
Multiple web search results mention Labor leading the Coalition 53-47 in polls from RedBridge Group.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — In the lead-up to the 2025 Australian federal election, a number of polling companies conducted opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on parties' primary vote, leade…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2025_A…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — By respondent preferences, Labor led both the Coalition and One Nation by 53–47 (steady against the Coalition and a one-point gain for One Nation). Albanese’s net favourability was down four points to…
https://theconversation.com/trumps-unpopularity-shields-labo…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Labor also leads the Coalition 53-47% in new polls from the RedBridge Group and Spectre Strategy. Respondent-allocated preference flows from various pollsters do not imply a big Coalition gain from th…
https://johnmenadue.com/post/2025/05/major-yougov-poll-has-l…
info
“Angus Taylor was up one point to -2, Pauline Hanson up two points to -1, Nationals leader Matt Canavan up one point to -2, Greens leader Larissa Waters down one point to -4 and Energy Minister Chris Bowen down two points since December to -16.”
SINGLE SOURCE
The evidence provided contains general information about Pauline Hanson and some conflicting favorability numbers (e.g., one source says Hanson slumped to -19), but does not provide the specific set of numbers for Taylor, Canavan, Waters, and Bowen as listed in the claim.
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Pauline Lee Hanson (née Seccombe, formerly Zagorski; born 27 May 1954) is an Australian politician who is the founder and leader of One Nation. She has been a senator for Queensland since 2016, and wa…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pauline_Hanson
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — Pauline Hanson’s leadership of One Nation has been given a stamp of approval from the majority of Australians surveyed in a Guardian Essential poll. Photograph: Lukas Coch/EPA.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/apr/28/pauli…
travel_explore
web search NEUTRAL — One Nation leader Pauline Hanson’s net favourability slumped six points to -19 in this poll and Joyce’s net favourability was down four points to -27.
https://theconversation.com/labor-maintains-dominant-lead-in…
help
“US President Donald Trump had by far the worst net favourability with Australians, down three points since March to -58.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found after searching for this specific claim.
help
“In a three-way preferred PM question, there was no change, with Albanese at 33%, Hanson 23% and Taylor 14%.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found after searching for this specific claim.
schedule
“Combining the issue scores of Labor and the Greens against the Coalition and One Nation, the right led by 37–30 on cost of living, 33–28 on housing, 53–22 on immigration, 41–26 on national security and by 42–30 on economic management.”
PENDING
schedule
“The left’s one lead was on healthcare, by 35–31.”
PENDING
schedule
“A national Freshwater poll for News Corp, conducted April 28–30 from a sample of 1,046, gave Labor 32% of the primary vote, One Nation 25%, the Coalition 23%, the Greens 12% and all Others 8%”
PENDING
schedule
“By respondent preferences, Labor led the Coalition by 53–47”
PENDING
schedule
“Taylor’s was down four points to +10, Hanson’s was down five points to +5 and Canavan debuted at +4.”
PENDING
schedule
“Albanese led Taylor as preferred PM by 44–38”
PENDING
schedule
“Cost of living was rated the most important issue by 44%, with housing the only other issue in double digits at 12%.”
PENDING
schedule
“By 47–32, respondents were dissatisfied with the government over the rise in fuel prices”
PENDING
schedule
“By 37–33, respondents were dissatisfied with the government’s response to the Iran war”
PENDING
schedule
“By 37–34, they were dissatisfied with the response to the Bondi terrorist attacks.”
PENDING
schedule
“By 41–27, they were dissatisfied with the response to the rise in antisemitism.”
PENDING
schedule
“By 38–31, they thought the government was enforcing the social media ban on children under 16 poorly.”
PENDING
schedule
“By 63–31, respondents were aware of the government’s plans to cut the NDIS.”
PENDING
schedule
“By 47–25, they supported the NDIS cuts.”
PENDING
schedule
“A Victorian state byelection occurred in Liberal-held Nepean on Saturday after the resignation of MP Sam Groth.”
PENDING
schedule
“Primary votes were 38.5% for Liberal Anthony Marsh, 24.7% One Nation, 21.7% for teal independent Tracee Hutchison, 9.3% Greens and 2.9% Legalise Cannabis.”
PENDING
schedule
“Labor did not contest after receiving 32.6% at the 2022 election.”
PENDING
schedule
“Marsh defeated Hutchison by 63.5–36.5”
PENDING
schedule
“The 15 members of Tasmania’s upper house have rotating six-year terms. Every May, two or three of the 15 seats are up for election.”
PENDING
schedule
“On Saturday, elections occurred in Huon (held by conservative independent Dean Harriss) and Rosevears (held by Liberal Jo Palmer).”
PENDING
schedule
“In Huon, Harriss won 30.4% of the primary vote, left-wing independent Clare Glade-Wright 27.8%, Labor 16.5%, the Greens 15.3% and two other independents a combined 10.0%.”
PENDING
schedule
“In Rosevears, Palmer won 42.6% of the primary vote, Labor 24.7%, the Greens 16.8% and independent Susan Monson 16.0%.”
PENDING
schedule
“The current upper house has three Liberals, three Labor, one Green and eight independents.”
PENDING
info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.