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Act fast: SA can create 2.4m new jobs by 2030 without new plans, BER finds | News24

· 1266 words · By News
open_in_new Read the original article: https://www.news24.com/business/economy/act-fast-sa-can-create-24m-new-jobs-by-2…

fact_checkFact-Check Results

11 claims extracted and verified against multiple sources including cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia.

help Insufficient Evidence 7
verified Verified By Reference 3
schedule Pending 1
verified
“The Bureau of Economic Research has developed three new economic scenarios for South Africa.”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
Wikipedia entries reference unrelated organizations (U.S. Bureau of Economic and Business Affairs, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research, India's Intelligence Bureau), none of which are the South African Bureau of Economic Research. No evidence confirms the claim.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Bureau of Economic and Business Affairs (EB) is a bureau within the U.S. Department of State tasked with promoting economic security and prosperity at home and abroad. It reports to the Under Secr…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bureau_of_Economic_and_Busines…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The East Asian Bureau of Economic Research (EABER) is a forum for economic research and analysis of the major issues facing the economies of East Asia. Based at the Crawford School of Public Policy at…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/East_Asian_Bureau_of_Economic_…
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Intelligence Bureau (IB) is India's internal security and counterintelligence agency under the Ministry of Home Affairs. It was founded in 1887 as the Central Special Branch. The IB is often regar…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intelligence_Bureau_(India)
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“The most positive so-called 'fish eagle' scenario sets out 3% growth, a 3% budget deficit, and 3% inflation within three years, which would create a minimum of 2.4 million more jobs by 2030 than the economy produced in 2025.”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
Wikipedia results mention the year 2030, FIFA World Cup, and Sustainable Development Goals but provide no information about economic scenarios, job projections, or the 'fish eagle' model.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — 2030 (MMXXX) will be a common year starting on Tuesday of the Gregorian calendar, the 2030th year of the Common Era (CE) and Anno Domini (AD) designations, the 30th year of the 3rd millennium and the…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2030
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The 2030 FIFA World Cup will be the 24th FIFA World Cup, a quadrennial international football tournament contested by the men's national teams of the member associations of FIFA. The tournament will b…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2030_FIFA_World_Cup
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Sustainable Development Goals (abbr. by all United Nations (UN) members for the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. The aim of the 17 global goals is "peace and prosperity for people and the pl…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sustainable_Development_Goals
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“Importantly, no new plans are required, just better and faster execution of existing initiatives.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found in any searched sources to confirm or refute the claim about execution of existing initiatives.
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“South Africa is facing critical choices that will determine whether the economy collapses back to 0.5% growth or soars to 3% by 2030.”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
Wikipedia entries about 2030, FIFA World Cup, and World Cup hosts provide no economic data about South Africa's growth projections.
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — 2030 (MMXXX) will be a common year starting on Tuesday of the Gregorian calendar, the 2030th year of the Common Era (CE) and Anno Domini (AD) designations, the 30th year of the 3rd millennium and the…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2030
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — The 2030 FIFA World Cup will be the 24th FIFA World Cup, a quadrennial international football tournament contested by the men's national teams of the member associations of FIFA. The tournament will b…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2030_FIFA_World_Cup
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wikipedia NEUTRAL — Eighteen countries have hosted the FIFA World Cup in the competition's twenty-two tournaments since the inaugural World Cup in 1930. The organisation at first awarded hosting to countries at meetings …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_FIFA_World_Cup_hosts
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“The BER report notes that SA is also highly vulnerable to external economic shocks, like the current war in the Middle East.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found in any searched sources to confirm or refute the claim about South Africa's vulnerability to external shocks.
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“Fixed investments declined by 2.5% in 2025, the second annual decline, even though, on a quarterly basis, there was growth in the third and fourth quarters.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found in any searched sources to confirm or refute the claim about fixed investment declines in 2025.
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“The BER crafted different scenarios for SA’s outlook around the hadeda (in which the status quo prevails), the marabou stork (in which South Africa slides towards becoming a failed state), and the African fish eagle (in which growth rises to 3% or more).”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found in any searched sources to confirm or refute the claim about BER's hadeda, marabou stork, and fish eagle scenarios.
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“In the hadeda scenario: SA continues to muddle through... growth will remain below 2%.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found in any searched sources to confirm or refute the claim about the hadeda scenario's growth projections.
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“The marabou scenario: a repeat of the lost decade of 2009-2019... growth would slow back to 0.5%.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found in any searched sources to confirm or refute the claim about the marabou stork scenario's growth projections.
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“The African fish eagle scenario: sustained economic growth of 3% or higher... would mean the creation of 2.4 million more jobs by 2030 than the economy produced in 2025.”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence was found in any searched sources to confirm or refute the claim about the fish eagle scenario's job projections.
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“BER’s baseline forecast is for economic growth to average only about 1.7% over the longer term.”
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info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.