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2026 Masters picks: Best long-shot bets at Augusta National

Nypost · · 819 words · By Michael Leboff
Long-shot betting strategies Golf betting analysis Historical Masters tournament performance
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What to know about Long-shot betting strategies

The chalk has ruled the Masters in recent years.

Claims checked 16
Techniques found 1
Topics 3

Coverage spectrum

Coverage gap: Low Left coverage
Left0%
Center75%
Right25%

4 sources compared across this story cluster. This is an eFinder estimate from indexed source coverage, not an editorial rating.

What happened

The chalk has ruled the Masters in recent years.

Why it matters

The past four winners, Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler (twice), and Jon Rahm, went off with average odds of +940, and were each among the top-three favorites before Round 1.

Common ground

Scheffler and McIlroy, the last two winners, were 5/1 and +650, respectively, before their triumph.

Perspective signals

The tension in the story is sharpened by Appeal to Authority: language that can make the dispute feel more urgent, personal, or adversarial than the underlying facts alone.

open_in_new Read the original article: https://nypost.com/2026/04/08/betting/2026-masters-picks-best-long-shot-bets-at-…

psychologyPropaganda Techniques Detected

eFinder identified 1 propaganda technique in this article. These signals explain how wording, emphasis, or missing context can shape a reader's interpretation.

warning
Appeal to Authority 30% confidence
Citing an authority figure as evidence, even when the authority is not qualified on the topic.
Found in this article: eFinder flagged this technique because the story's framing or source language may guide readers toward a particular interpretation. Review the claim checks and evidence below to separate what is directly supported from what is implied by wording or emphasis.
Why it matters: Recognizing appeal to authority helps readers compare the article's framing with the underlying facts and with coverage from other sources.

fact_checkClaims Checked

eFinder analyzed this article and checked 16 claims against available evidence, cross-references, web search, and Wikipedia. Here is what the fact-checking layer found.

help Insufficient Evidence 7
schedule Pending 6
verified Verified By Reference 3
help
Claim 1: “Phil Mickelson finished T2 behind Rahm in 2023 as a long shot”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence found in any sources to confirm Phil Mickelson's T2 finish or his odds in the 2023 Masters.
schedule
Claim 2: “Angel Cabrera won the Masters in 2009 with triple-digit odds”
PENDING
This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.
help
Claim 3: “Max Homa finished third in 2024 with odds of 80/1”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence found in any sources to confirm Max Homa's third-place finish or his 80/1 odds in the 2024 Masters.
help
Claim 4: “Between 2007 and 2011, four different players won the Green Jacket with triple-digit odds”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence found in any sources to confirm the four winners (2007–2011) had triple-digit odds.
help
Claim 5: “Patrick Reed won the Masters in 2018 with odds of 50/1”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence found in any sources to confirm Patrick Reed's 50/1 odds for his 2018 Masters win.
schedule
Claim 6: “Jason Day has attended the Masters 14 times, with notable finishes (runner-up in 2011, T8 in 2025)”
PENDING
This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.
help
Claim 7: “Hideki Matsuyama won the Masters in 2021 with odds of 45/1”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence found in any sources to confirm Hideki Matsuyama's 45/1 odds for his 2021 Masters win.
verified
Claim 8: “Scheffler and McIlroy, the last two winners, were 5/1 and +650”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
No evidence found in Wikipedia entries or other sources that confirm Scottie Scheffler's 5/1 odds or Rory McIlroy's +650 odds before their wins.
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — The 2025 Masters Tournament was the 89th edition of the Masters Tournament and the first of the men's four major golf championships held in 2025. The tournament was played from April 10–13 at Augusta …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Masters_Tournament
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — Scott Alexander Scheffler (born June 21, 1996) is an American professional golfer who plays on the PGA Tour. He is currently ranked world number one in the Official World Golf Ranking, a position he h…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scottie_Scheffler
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — The Match is a series of exhibition match play golf challenge matches that began in 2018. The event features major professional golfers or other notable athletes facing each other in a head-to-head co…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Match_(golf)
schedule
Claim 9: “Corey Conners has two T6 finishes and a T8 in 2025 at the Masters”
PENDING
This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.
verified
Claim 10: “The past four winners, Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler (twice), and Jon Rahm, went off with average odds of +940”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
No evidence found in Wikipedia entries or other sources that mention the average odds of +940 for the past four Masters winners.
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — The 2022 Masters Tournament was the 86th edition of the Masters Tournament, the first of the four major golf championships of 2022, held April 7–10 at Augusta National Golf Club in Augusta, Georgia. F…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Masters_Tournament
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — The 2024 Masters Tournament was the 88th edition of the Masters Tournament and the first of the men's four major golf championships held in 2024. The tournament was played from April 11–14 at Augusta …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Masters_Tournament
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — The 2025 Masters Tournament was the 89th edition of the Masters Tournament and the first of the men's four major golf championships held in 2025. The tournament was played from April 10–13 at Augusta …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Masters_Tournament
schedule
Claim 11: “Dustin Johnson won the Masters in 2020 and was a runner-up in 2019”
PENDING
This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.
schedule
Claim 12: “Sungjae Im finished T2 in the 2020 Masters and had a T5 in the previous year”
PENDING
This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.
verified
Claim 13: “Justin Rose had odds of 110/1 before losing to McIlroy in last year's playoff”
VERIFIED BY REFERENCE
No evidence found in Wikipedia entries or other sources that mention Justin Rose's 110/1 odds before losing to Rory McIlroy in a playoff.
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — The 2011 Masters Tournament was the 75th Masters Tournament, held April 7–10 at Augusta National Golf Club. Charl Schwartzel birdied the final four holes to win his first major championship, two strok…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_Masters_Tournament
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — The 2025 Masters Tournament was the 89th edition of the Masters Tournament and the first of the men's four major golf championships held in 2025. The tournament was played from April 10–13 at Augusta …
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Masters_Tournament
menu_book
wikipedia NEUTRAL — Justin Peter Rose (born 30 July 1980) is an English professional golfer. At age 17, Rose came to prominence when he finished in fourth place as an amateur at the 1998 Open Championship. He turned prof…
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Justin_Rose
schedule
Claim 14: “Charl Schwartzel won the Masters in 2011 with triple-digit odds”
PENDING
This claim was extracted as a checkable statement from the article. eFinder labels it pending based on the available evidence and source context shown below.
help
Claim 15: “Trevor Immelman won the Masters in 2008 with triple-digit odds”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence found in any sources to confirm Trevor Immelman's 2008 Masters win or his odds.
help
Claim 16: “Zach Johnson won the Masters in 2007 with triple-digit odds”
INSUFFICIENT EVIDENCE
No evidence found in any sources to confirm Zach Johnson's 2007 Masters win or his odds.
info Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI and should be used as a starting point for critical thinking, not as definitive truth. Claims are verified against publicly available sources. Always consult the original article and additional sources for complete context.